A methodology for evaluating the performance of model-based traffic prediction systems

Model-based traffic prediction systems (mbTPS) are a central component of the decision support and ICM (integrated corridor management) systems currently used in several large urban traffic management centers. These models are intended to generate real-time predictions of the system’s response to candidate operational interventions. They must therefore be kept calibrated and trustworthy. The methodologies currently available for tracking the validity of a mbTPS have been adapted from approaches originally designed for off-line operational planning models. These approaches are insensitive to the complexity of the network and to the amount and quality of the data available. They also require significant human intervention and are therefore not suitable for real-time monitoring. This paper outlines a set of criteria for designing tests that are appropriate for the mbTPS task. It also proposes a test that meets the criteria. The test compares the predictions of the mbTPS in question to those of a model-less alternative. A t-test is used to determine whether the predictions of the mbTPS are superior to those of the model-less predictor. The approach is applied to two different systems using data from the I-210 freeway in Southern California.     

Statistical assessment of EV usage potential from user’s perspective considering rapid-charging technology

The aim of the German Government is the licensing of one million electric vehicles (EV) in Germany until 2020. However, the number of battery electric vehicles (EVs) today still is just above 25,000. There are several reasons for deciding against an EV, but especially low battery ranges as well as too long perceived charging duration inhibit the usage of an EV. To eliminate the negative influence of these two reasons on the decision to purchase an EV, a novel charging technology is established. The rapid-charging technology enables the user to recharge the battery to 80% of its state of charge (SOC) within 20–30 min. For the examination of the technology’s impact from (potential) user’s perspective, users and nonusers of battery electric vehicles were questioned about the perceived additional value of public rapid-charging infrastructure by taking into account different trip purposes and running comparisons to regular charging options. The results show an increased perceived value especially for trips with leisure purpose, considering their share of all trip purposes in Germany, according to the MiD 2008. In order to increase the number of licensed EVs in Germany, the study’s results also suggest further dissemination of information on rapid charging which might influence the perceived usefulness of the technology and consequentially the perceived usefulness of an EV.     

采空区治理中“混凝土墩柱式支撑”施工工艺探讨

通过在某高速公路特殊路段采空区治理中首次使用“混凝土墩柱式支撑”方法的施工，该方法对于埋深较浅、顶板较好、存在有明显空腔且充水的采空区治理有明显的效果。     

广西交通科技资源共享平台建设探讨

文章针对广西交通科技项目管理系统现状,分析了建设交通科技资源共享平台的必要性,阐述了交通科技资源共享平台建设的关键技术、创新点及主要内容,指出该共享平台的建设可改善和提高交通运输科技项目质量及监管水平。     

混凝土在路桥桩基施工中的作用及技术

路桥桩基混凝土施工中，为了保障灌注桩混凝土的质量，必须加强对准备工作及施工工艺的重视。通过对混凝土及其施工质量要求进行分析，探讨了混凝土在路桥桩基施工中的配合比、泵送等，并阐述了路桥桩基施工技术。     

基于沉降差的填石路堤施工工艺与质量控制研究

结合南方地区填石路堤施工,通过填石路堤试验段研究,介绍了填石路堤的施工工艺和质量控制要求,并通过沉降差检测分析,说明了沉降差作为填石路堤质量控制指标的可行性,为同类工程提供参考.     

隧道瓦斯地段施工技术浅析

结合临吉高速公路S12合同段瓦窑岭隧道的瓦斯地段施工技术,从超前探孔、瓦斯监测、开挖支护及初衬等方面阐述了瓦斯隧道施工时的重点和注意事项。     

隧道工程建设地质预报及信息化技术的主要进展及发展方向

复杂的不良地质条件是制约隧道安全高效建设的主要因素,要实现隧道工程的安全高效建设,首先要提高地质预测预报技术水平及其信息化程度。1)介绍我国复杂不良地质隧道超前预报的方法进展及其应用,包括突水突泥灾害源超前探测方法与设备、断层破碎带超前预报、城市地铁溶洞和孤石等探测的进展及应用等;2)介绍我国隧道岩爆监测预警方法及其应用,预报清楚之后就要加强安全风险过程监控;3)介绍基于BIM技术的建筑物(隧道工程)安全风险监控最新进展,包括安全风险实时感知系统和实时预警系统;4)指出隧道工程建设信息化技术的发展方向,包括开展基于大数据技术的TBM/盾构施工的分析与控制研究以及数字隧道向智慧隧道(建设和运营维护)的发展。     

海域围堰上软下硬地层中地下连续墙施工技术研究与实践

汕头市苏埃通道南岸明挖隧道位于海域围堰内,围堰内上软下硬的特殊地层给地下连续墙施工过程中的泥浆护壁、成槽造成极大的困扰。地下连续墙成槽施工前期主要采用"抓—冲结合"成槽工艺;在淤泥层、砂层、全风化岩层采用液压抓斗成槽机直接成槽;在强风化、中风化、微风化岩层采用冲击钻机冲孔、修槽成孔工艺。单元槽段成槽时一般完成1个槽段需要20 d以上,最长1个槽段达40 d,严重影响工期进度。为了改变地下连续墙施工状况,结合类似工程实践经验,在旋挖钻的基础上进行改造,将钻头设计为牙轮钻钻头,对强、中风化岩层钻孔取芯,通过组合使用"成槽机+冲击锤+旋挖钻(牙轮钻)"后,实现了地下连续墙施工效率的极大提升。经过成槽施工方案比选、入岩墙深设计优化、孤石破碎和基岩处理工艺探讨,顺利完成了该基坑工程,积累了在该类上部淤泥下部基岩地层中地下连续墙施工的经验。     

现代造船模式下船厂舾装技术实施情况的研究与对策

现代造船模式是以中间产品组织生产为基本特征的总装造船模式,作为其技术构成之一的先进舾装技术在我国船厂还未全面实施,文章通过目前国内舾装技术的分析进而提出合理的对策和建议。