灰色线性回归组合模型在地面沉降预测中的应用

选择合适的沉降与时间的关系模型对于沉降预测而言是很重要的。根据地面沉降机理与曲线特征，对某数据序列进行了光滑性和指教规律性检验，使用线性回归和灰色模型的组合模型对该数据序列建模和预测，所得平均相对误差和均方差比值都优于GM（1，1）。研究结果表明，具有线性特征的沉降数据序列选用灰色线性回归组合模型进行短期预测效果更好。     

机车车轴疲劳问题分析与对策

通过对机车车轴常见故障及车轴的疲劳问题进行探讨,对车轴的疲劳裂纹、疲劳强度进行分析,提出了在机车车轴设计,材料、工艺选择以及运用维护中应采取的对策。     

内燃机车柴油机振动烈度评定方法探讨

从机车在"0位"时柴油机晃动现象入手,对"柴油机振动烈度评定方法"进行了分析探讨。重点对测量点、测量参数计算、评定准则进行了阐述,重新提出了"柴油机振动烈度评定方法",同时给出了振动位移的控制值。     

HXD2型大功率交流传动电力机车车体

介绍了HXD2型大功率交流传动电力机车车体的结构特点、参数、主要部件的结构设计.     

Dynamics and fishery of the Peruvian hake: Between nature and man

Mean length in the catch of Peruvian hake (Merluccius gayi peruanus) declined drastically by 8 cm in a few months in 1992. The 1991–93 El Niño event marked the beginning of changes in bottom environmental conditions, that along with other changes in the ecosystem, were the cause of the disappearance of large sized old hake from the traditional fishing grounds and the invasion of these areas by high concentrations of small sized young hake, traditionally distributed in the southern areas. A misinterpretation of this change gave an optimistic perception of the state of the stock, leading to a large increase of the fishing fleet and therefore to an increase of the fishing pressure on this resource. Catch increased quickly to very high levels in 1996, the fishery indicators of relative abundance remained stable, while global abundance of hake was diminishing. The resource responded to these natural variations of environment and to the intense fishing pressure with changes in some aspects of its biology and ecology. The most remarkable was the decrease of the length and age at first maturity that led to spawning by 1 year old (19 cm) individuals in a species whose observed longevity was 14 years.In 2002 a total and indefinite fishery closure was established by the Peruvian government and a technical commission for the hake recovery was created, which carried out continuous monitoring of the stock. After a closure of 20 months the indicators showed signs of recovery and the fishery was reopened in 2004. However, after an encouraging beginning during 2004 and the first quarter of 2005, neither abundance nor age structure had improved by the end of 2005, and in fact were deteriorating by the start of 2006. The survival of the age 2 and 3 groups was very low and few 4+ years old individuals were observed. Several factors working at different time scales have been proposed to explain the status of hake. The impact of the fishery, variations in the abiotic environment, predation by the jumbo squid (Dosidicus gigas) and cannibalism were considered as potential causal factors of this decline.     

船坞工程防渗及止水工艺介绍

本文介绍了船坞工程施工中防渗及止水工程的工艺及防渗止水效果分析。经采用多种不同的防渗、止水结构,保证了船坞有良好的防渗、止水效果。     

轨道牵引辅助变流系统中变压器绝缘强度的研究

简述了电晕放电的产生机理,结合实际对HXD1电力机车130 kVA辅助变压器的绝缘结构进行了理论分析和计算,并用试验数据说明了绝缘结构的可靠性.     

重载铁路牵引供电方案与接触网载流能力的分析

针对重载铁路以及交流传动机车的特点,对新建重载铁路牵引供电方案与接触网载流能力的关系进行了细致的分析,逐步深入的介绍了重载铁路牵引供电方案设计的几个关键步骤,以及详细的计算方法,并提出了设计中应注意的问题。     

HXD2型大功率交流传动货运电力机车牵引电传动系统

介绍HXD2型大功率交流传动货运电力机车牵引电传动系统的电气原理、技术参数、性能特点和结构组成,对牵引电传动系统的各关键部件和装置组成进行了详细的功能描述。     

准高速电力机车牵引齿轮优化设计

在对国内外机车牵引齿轮现状进行深入调查的基础上，提出了从优选材料及热处理工艺、进行齿形和参数优化设计、合理选择制造精度与工艺，优选润滑剂与润滑密度方式，改善动力学性能等五个方面提高我国准高速电力机车牵引齿轮动承载寿命的具体措施，其中在齿形和参数优化方面，设计了优选 角并能使齿根危险断面齿厚尽可能大，而应主 磨前滚刀，优选出能使啮合过程中最大闪温值为最小的变位系数，并在此了考虑机车启动、持续与高速运