A Football Field Lost Every 45 Minutes: Evaluating Local Capacity to Implement Louisiana's Coastal Master Plan

As Louisiana continues to experience substantial coastal wetland loss—at the rate of a football field every 45 min—and multiple disasters, state and federal officials struggle with implementing restoration plans in this highly productive ecosystem. The 2007 Louisiana Comprehensive Master Plan for a Sustainable Coast is the first large-scale restoration plan in the United States to incorporate hazard mitigation. However, there is no mandate for local governments to adhere to this plan. Building upon the planning quality and evaluation literature, this study analyzes comprehensive land use plans in Louisiana's coastal zone to systematically assess the quality of the plans within the context of a non-mandated, $50 billion large-scale state restoration plan. Results indicate a great disparity in plan quality; a majority of the local governments lack the capacity to implement the nonstructural programmatic elements of the state's plan. The study concludes with a discussion and recommendations for practice and future research.     

三峡库尾礁石子急滩成因分析及航道整治

针对长江上游变动回水区河段在三峡水库消落期表现出的复杂通航环境,以广阳坝礁石子河段整治为例,研究该河段浅滩和急滩复合碍航特性。采用船舶阻力计算方法,确定5 000吨级船型的自航上滩水力指标,通过定床物理模型试验,得出该河段滩险成因并提出整体治理思路与滩险整治方案。分析整治效果可知,工程实施后,航道尺度达到通航设计标准,可满足5 000吨级船舶通航的水流条件。     

向量式有限元法在管土相互作用中的应用

向量式有限元法是基于向量式力学和数值计算的一种创新性的结构行为分析方法。文章采用三种弹簧模型模拟海床,将向量式有限元法用于钢悬链线立管触地段与海床土体相互作用研究中,编制相应Matlab求解程序,计算了端部施加一定位移下立管的位形和弯曲应力,并与他人基于有限差分法及ABAQUS的模拟结果进行对比,同时运用该方法分析了弹簧模型、土体刚度、土体吸力系数等参数对立管触地段变形和弯曲应力的影响。结果表明向量式有限元法在模拟静态端部位移加载下的管-土相互作用是准确和可行的,能够直接求解变形和内力,具有相对简洁性,此方法是对立管力学行为的模拟,符合实际运动变形过程。为模拟管-土相互作用提供了新方法,同时为进一步研究实际循环载荷下管-土相互作用奠定了基础。     

田德铁路百安隧道涌水量预测方法探讨

田德铁路百安隧道穿过桂西南岩溶强烈发育的峰丛洼地带,隧道位于岩溶垂直入渗带内,具有枯水季节隧道内涌水较小,暴雨后涌水量大,隧道通过洼地段发生突水可能性较大的特点。预测隧道开挖后涌水量的大小,除需掌握区域水文地质特征外,还必须合理选择水文地质参数。准确预测隧道涌水量大小及隧道可能突水段落,可为工程设计提供较为准确的参数,预防隧道涌水危害。     

Surface chlorophyll in the Black Sea over 1978–1986 derived from satellite and in situ data

Absolute values of chlorophyll a concentration and its spatial and seasonal variations in the Black Sea were assessed by using satellite CZCS and in situ data. Since the satellite CZCS had operated for the 1978–1986 period, CZCS data was used for assessing the past state of the Black Sea just before the onset of drastic changes observed in late 1980s. The approach used for the calculation of the absolute values of chlorophyll a concentration from CZCS data was based on the direct comparison of in situ chlorophyll a data and those of CZCS and by applying the algorithm developed for the transformation of CZCS data into chlorophyll a values. CZCS Level 2 data related with pigment concentration having a spatial resolution of 1 km at nadir were used. The daily Level 3 files were derived by binning Level 2 values into 4-km grid cells and the monthly and seasonal Level 3 files were created by averaging the daily Level 3 files over the corresponding period. In situ chlorophyll a data were obtained by spectrophotometric and fluorometric methods in 15 scientific cruises over the 1978–1986 period. Total number of ship-measured data used for the comparison with those CZCS values was 590.Chlorophyll a concentration (Chl) was derived from CZCS values (C) with regression equations Chl=kC; the coefficient of transformation k was calculated from six different data sets by taking into account distinctions between subregions and seasons. The reasons for difference in the k values have been analyzed.Statistical comparison of the chlorophyll a values measured in situ and those derived from CZCS data was based on log-transformed data and gave the following results: regression SLOPE=0.842, regression INTERCEPT=−0.081, coefficient of determination (R²)=0.806, root–mean–square ERROR=0.195. The mean monthly chlorophyll a distributions derived from CZCS data over 1978–1986 have been constructed and the mean seasonal chlorophyll a values in different regions have been calculated and analyzed. The significant difference in chlorophyll concentration between the western shelf regions and the open part of the Black Sea has been demonstrated, especially in warm season. At almost all seasons, the highest chlorophyll concentration is observed in the western interior shelf region which is under strong influence of Danube. The summer mean chlorophyll concentration in this region is 18 times higher than that in the open parts and about nine times higher than in the eastern shelf region. The greatest seasonal variations are observed in the open part of the Black Sea: chlorophyll concentration in cold season is four to six times higher than in summer and three to five times higher than in April and October. To the contrary, in the western interior shelf regions, the concentration is higher in May–October (about twice than that in November–March). Seasonal variations in the western outer shelf regions are smoothed out as compared with both the western interior shelf and the open regions.     

Atmospheric CO2 measurements and error analysis on seasonal air–sea CO2 fluxes in the Bay of Biscay

Atmospheric molar fraction of CO₂ (xCO₂^atm) measurements obtained on board of ships of opportunity are used to parameterize the seasonal cycle of atmospheric xCO₂ (xCO₂^atm) in three regions of the eastern North Atlantic (Galician and French offshore and Bay of Biscay). Three selection criteria are established to eliminate spurious values and identify xCO₂^atm data representative of atmospheric background values. The filtered data set is fitted to seasonal curve, consisting of an annual trend plus a seasonal cycle. Although the fitted curves are consistent with the seasonal evolution of xCO₂^atm data series from land meteorological stations, only ship-board measurements can report the presence of winter xCO₂^atm minimum on Bay of Biscay. Weekly air–sea CO₂ flux differences (mmol C·m^− 2 day^− 1) produced by the several options of xCO₂^atm usually used (ship-board measurements, data from land meteorological stations and annually averaged values) were calculated in Bay of Biscay throughout 2003. Flux error using fitted seasonal curve relative to on board measurements was minimal, whereas land stations and annual means yielded random (− 0.2 ± 0.3 mmol C·m^− 2·day^− 1) and systematic (− 0.1 ± 0.4 mmol C·m^− 2 day^− 1), respectively. The effect of different available sources of sea level pressure, wind speed and transfer velocity were also evaluated. Wind speed and transfer velocity parameters are found as the most critical choice in the estimate of CO₂ fluxes reaching a flux uncertainty of 7 mmol C·m^− 2·day^− 1 during springtime. The atmospheric pressure shows a notable relative effect during summertime although its influence is quantitatively slight on annual scale (0.3 ± 0.2 mmol C·m^− 2·day^− 1). All results confirms the role of the Bay of Biscay as CO₂ sink for the 2003 with an annual mean CO₂ flux around − 5 ± 5 mmol C m^− 2 day^− 1.     

舰船防火主竖区优化设置初探

对三型舰艇的防火主竖区划分情况进行了统计和分析，提出防火主竖区设置的基本准则，指出现行消防规范的不合理之处，最后，综合长度和面积两方面因素，提出了舰船防火主竖区划分方法，并验证了其合理可行性。     

提速铁路过渡段的动力响应测试分析

为了评价提速线路路桥过渡段对于轨道结构动力响应的改善程度,本文对京九线过渡段的设计及轨道动力响应测试进行了研究,过渡段的设计采用20m的级配碎石填筑,轨道动力响应测试参数为钢轨垂直力、钢轨加速度、轨枕加速度。测试表明,当路桥连接处设了轨道过渡段时,列车从低刚度轨道到高刚度轨道时,钢轨垂直力、钢轨加速度、轨枕加速度是由小逐渐增大的,没有突变;当列车从高刚度轨道到低刚度轨道时,钢轨垂直力、钢轨加速度、轨枕加速度是由大逐渐减小,没有突变。当路桥连接处没有设置轨道过渡段时,列车从高刚度轨道到低刚度轨道运行时,其动力响应突然减小,有突变。通过对设有过渡段及没有设过渡段的路桥连接处实测分析可知,当列车速度小于200 km／h时,采用长度为20 m的级配碎石填筑轨道过渡段,对减小过渡段轨道动力响应非常有利。     

青藏铁路加筋路堤试验工程监测方法

结合工程实例 ,简要分析在青藏高原多年冻土区修建的铁路路堤易遇到的变形问题 ,重点探讨路堤变形的监测方法。     

关于OD调查中交通小区区号的程序匹配研究

提出使用匹配程序完成在OD调查中关于地址信息转换为对应交通小区区号的工作,结果表明,程序自动匹配是可行的,而且可大大提高工作效率,节省大量的人力物力。今后应在调查技术和方法上进行更深入的研究,引进先进科学的方法,从而更好地满足相关科研工作对交通调查的需求。