Transportation agencies experiences with decision support systems for airport ground access planning

This article reports on a field investigation into the ways that transportation agencies use quantitative and qualitative information for making strategic decisions regarding airport ground access. The study analyzes the value of this information for planning airport ground access improvements at seven major international airport sites.The major finding of the research is that quantitative modeling for strategic decision support is very difficult, costly and time consuming. Modelers are confident that the models are accurate and reliable but executives generally lack confidence in the results. Transportation officials believe that the information supplied is flawed by a number of defects that minimize its value for strategic decision makers. The information defects described in this article provide an analysis of the structural difficulty of using quantitative modeling for transportation problems of strategic importance. To date, qualitative information is not frequently used, but some transportation agencies are considering its application to designing transportation services. Although this study is limited to airport ground access, the authors feel that this evidence, in conjunction with the evidence from other studies in the transportation area, dictates a need for wariness in the development of decision support systems for transportation planners. Developers of decision support systems for transportation planners must be aware of modeling costs and defects and consider how to improve the timeliness, relevance and credibility of information quantitative models provide transportation executives. Fundamentally it is important to recognize that decision makers tend, either singularly or in concert with other individuals or groups, to be the champions of a long-term vision for the community. When modeling produces inconsistent or wide ranging results that contradict their position, decision makers may not only discard modeling activities, but lose confidence in the models altogether. As a consequence, transportation planners are faced with the challenge of how to improve quantitative modeling. The most reliable and effective means for improvement is incorporation of qualitative techniques which provide greater understanding of customer perceptions and human behavior.     

关于海事行政执法自由裁量权的几点思考

文章论述了海事行政执法自由裁量权的定义、种类和目前行使海事行政执法自由裁量权存在的问题及造成这种问题的原因，提出了正确行使规范海事行政执法自由裁量权的建议。     

基于自适应粒子群算法的隧道窑温度模糊控制策略

针对隧道窑燃烧过程中的大惯性、纯滞后、多变量、时变参数以及工作机理复杂等特征,利用清晰集构造模糊集法确定模糊控制器输入量和输出量的隶属函数,并基于自适应粒子群算法给出了隧道窑新的温度模糊控制策略。运用模糊控制系统对隧道窑温度进行仿真研究和实时控制,结果表明,该模糊控制器能够克服许多干扰因素,具有良好的控制效果。     

基于自适应插值的符号定时恢复算法

在分析插值滤波器和均衡器的基础上,讨论了一种自适应插值的定时恢复算法,并进行了仿真.仿真结果表明,这一方法优于拉格朗日插值算法和LMS均衡算法.该算法在完成了对定时误差的插值运算的同时,也消除了衰落引起的码间干扰,性能良好.     

决策树法在施工合同管理中的应用

决策树法是投标决策阶段常用的一种定量分析方法，但在施工阶段应用较少，此文介绍它的操作原理，并举例阐述在项目实施阶段合同管理方面的应用。     

基于模糊投影决策模型的铁路客运专线融资结构优化研究

通过对融资结构优化决策特点的分析，指出铁路客运专线融资结构优化决策实际上是复杂的多目标决策问题。在此基础上，建立铁路客运专线融资结构优化决策递阶结构模型、决策指标组合权重熵值法与专家主观意见相结合的计算模型以及模糊投影决策评价模型；并编制了决策系统和分析软件；给出了应用实例进行验证，证明此文建立的评价模型能充分利用信息，对表面上看起来复杂的方案进行优劣次序排列，且能使理论和经验结合起来。排序结果能够比较客观公正地反映我国铁路客运专线融资结构的实际情况，可为铁路客运专线的融资结构提供指标评价及方案优选服务，避免因主观原因而造成的决策偏差。     

减摇鳍/水舱联合减摇系统模糊自适应滑模控制

针对减摇鳍和被动式减摇水舱设备在不同航速下的减摇特点,建立了船舶减摇鳍/水舱联合减摇系统的横摇数学模型。结合模糊自适应控制良好的逼近特性和滑模控制算法对扰动和模型参数变化的不灵敏性,设计了减摇鳍/水舱联合减摇系统的模糊自适应滑模控制器。采用实船参数的仿真结果表明,所设计的控制器具有良好的自适应性和鲁棒性,减摇鳍/水舱联合减摇控制系统在不同海况和不同航速下均具有良好的减摇效果。     

不完全信息下的CGF主体决策行为及模型研究

着重分析了决策的风险特性,建立了CGF主体的决策行为模型。分析加入感知行为后对决策行为复杂性的影响;提出了一种不确定型决策方法用于处理不完全感知信息对决策行为的影响;最后用示例说明了该方法的有效性。     

深海采矿双波浪补偿系统自适应跟踪控制

为满足深海采矿过程中管道的快速自动对接要求,设计了一种能够同时进行布放回收和升沉补偿的双波浪液压补偿系统.基于波波夫超稳定理论,设计了上波浪补偿的自适应跟踪控制律.仿真实验结果表明,上波浪补偿系统能够在自适应跟踪控制律作用下,迅速跟踪下波浪补偿系统的升沉运动,其跟踪精度能够满足同步对接要求.     

Design of an adaptive controller for dive-plane control of a torpedo-shaped AUV

Underwater vehicles operating in complex ocean conditions present difficulties in determining accurate dynamic models. To guarantee robustness against parameter uncertainty, an adaptive controller for dive-plane control, based on Lyapunov theory and back-stepping techniques, was proposed. In the closed-loop system, asymptotic tracking of the reference depth and pitch angle trajectories was accomplished. Simulation results were presented which show effective dive-plane control in spite of the uncertainties in the system parameters.