Passengers’ willingness to pay for airport ground access time savings

There are cases when passengers are willing to pay a premium to reduce the travel time, in particular when the trip has to be made. This paper aims to provide insight into factors that determine passengers’ willingness to pay to reduce travel time for their ground access to an airport. A methodology is developed that comprises two steps: the identification of the passengers with zero willingness to pay and from the rest the estimation of the additional price they are willing to pay to reduce their travel time. For the first step a Probit model was formulated and for the second a linear regression model. To this purpose, data has been collected employing stated preference from passengers at the Athens International Airport. It has been found that a high percentage of passengers have zero willingness to pay, and of the remaining ones those using public transport have a significant willingness to pay to reduce access travel time. The methodology and the models are structured in such a way that their transferability to any airport environment is possible, thus providing a useful tool for decisions relating to airport ground access measures.     

路段平均行程时间估计方法

为了有效利用线圈检测数据,精确估计路段平均行程时间,提出了一种路段平均行程时间估计方法。将路段平均行程时间分为平均行驶时间、平均排队时间和平均通过路口时间三部分。考虑线圈埋设的特点,通过估计平均行驶速度得到平均行驶时间。用分段时齐Poisson过程描述车辆驶入路段过程和驶离过程,用Markov排队模型描述车辆排队过程,用生灭过程描述排队车辆数,得到车辆排队模型,计算了路段有、无初始排队的平均排队时间。基于选取与路口相关的饱和流率和平均车长,计算了平均通过路口时间。计算结果表明:平均行程时间估计值与实测值的误差小于12%,说明路段平均行程时间估计方法可行。     

基于单调关联系统的驾驶行为可靠度计算方法

为合理评估驾驶员驾驶行为的可靠性,提出了驾驶行为可靠度计算方法,将人机系统可靠性理论与驾驶行为链相结合,构建了基于感知、判断、操作元件及模块组的驾驶行为可靠性框图,确定了单项器官元件可靠度测试与计算方法,运用单调关联系统理论给出了功能模块可靠度及驾驶行为系统可靠度的量化模型,计算了模型中各生理、心理元件概率重要度,分析了其对驾驶行为的影响度。计算结果表明:事故组与非事故组间行为可靠性存在明显差异,非事故组的可靠性整体大于事故组,但整体可靠性呈下降趋势,事故组驾驶员整体操作稳定性较差;生理因素对驾驶行为可靠度影响度前期较大后期较小,而心理因素则相反。     

浅谈概率论中数学期望的计算方法

本文介绍了用特征函数、条件数学期望、对称性等求解数学期望的方法,解法各具特色.     

高职院校单独招生改革试点工作的实践探索

按照教育部提出的“学校负责、自我约束、行政监督”的工作原则,本文结合我校2008年单独招生工作,以建立运行机制、监督机制和录取机制为切入点,在探索引导普通高中毕业生向优质高等职业院校合理分流、多样化选拔录取机制方面做了有效实践和探索。     

钢筋混凝土箱形拱桥现浇施工方案比较

钢筋混凝土箱型拱桥在无支墩拱式拱架上现浇施工时,若跨度较大,拱圈一般采用分环分段的施工方法。采用该方法施工时,先期形成的混凝土拱环与拱架的横向联合作用明显。通过两种分环方案的对比分析发现,不同的分环方案横向联合作用强度也有所差别。采用一个最优分环方案,可以利用已形成的拱环与拱架在横向的。联合作用,增加横向刚度,有利于提高施工过程中的横向稳定性。     

辽宁滨海公路潮差侵蚀路段路基顶面标高的推算方法

结合辽宁省滨海公路填海路基的实际情况,分析了确定受潮差影响路段路基顶面标高的主要影响因素,提出了滨海公路路基顶面标高的推算方法,并结合实际工程给出应用案例.     

Development of analytical procedure for selection of control measures to reduce congestions at various freeway bottlenecks

Variable speed limit (VSL) and ramp metering (RM) affect freeway traffic operations in different ways and, accordingly, result in different effects on system travel time. The primary objective of this study is to propose an analytical procedure to help determine which control measure should be selected given different freeway bottlenecks and traffic conditions. The bottlenecks considered included an isolated merge bottleneck, a merge bottleneck with a closely spaced upstream off-ramp, and a diverge bottleneck with a closely spaced upstream on-ramp. Two RM and a VSL control strategies were considered, including the ALINEA, ALINEA/Q and feedback based VSL. The maximum achievable improvements in system efficiency by various control measures were calculated and the results were tested using modified cell transmission models. A coordinated control strategy that combined ALINEA/Q and VSL control was also proposed. The effects of VSL and RM control on system travel time at different freeway bottleneck areas were compared to identify the applicable conditions of different control measures. The analytical procedure was proposed for the selection of control measures at different bottlenecks and the ex-ante estimation of control effects were also discussed.     

复合盾构土舱可视化实时监测系统研究

为了在复合盾构掘进过程中实时监测土舱的情况,获得刀盘的旋转状态、刀具的磨损状况、开挖地层的图像信息和渣土的流动特性,建立一套土舱可视化实时监测系统,该系统通过上位机监控系统实时监测前端设备的工作状态,并将摄像机采集的信号实时传输到视频采集系统。介绍该系统方案,重点探讨其结构设计、硬件设计、软件设计,并通过室内和现场试验进行验证该系统的有效性。结果表明,该系统可实现土舱的实时视频监控、录像、回放以及系统温度、湿度和压力的监测。     

岩溶富水区深埋水沟排水隧道注浆圈参数研究

为合理确定深埋水沟排水方式下隧道注浆圈特征参数,以某岩溶富水区隧道工程为依托,采用FLAC3D软件建立流固耦合计算模型,针对其注浆圈参数进行合理探讨,研究注浆圈厚度、注浆圈渗透性对隧道涌水量、衬砌水压力、结构安全性的影响规律。研究结果表明： 增加注浆圈厚度或降低注浆圈渗透性可降低衬砌水压、控制涌水量、保障结构安全,但并不代表实际工程中注浆参数需要追求最值,而应兼顾安全性和经济性,选取相对合理的注浆参数;结合模拟计算结果与同类工程案例,建议依托工程注浆圈厚度以5～6 m、渗透性比值以注浆前的1/50（渗透系数为2×10-6 cm/s）为宜,并应结合实际进行技术经济对比,合理确定现场注浆参数。