Identifying the most critical transportation intersections using social network analysis

Traffic congestion negatively impacts our society. Most of the traditional transportation planning techniques – though effective – require rigorous amounts of data and analysis which consumes time and resources. This paper uses social network analysis (SNA) to analyze transportation networks, and consequently corroborate the effectiveness of SNA as a complementary tool for improved transportation planning. After creating the connection between the language and concepts of SNA and those of transportation systems – as well as developing a model that utilizes different SNA centrality measures within the transportation context – the authors utilize SNA to investigate traffic networks in three case studies in the state of Louisiana, analyze the results and draw conclusions. To this effect, with minimal cost and time, the model identifies the most critical intersections that should be further investigated using traditional techniques. These results are in agreement with the findings of Louisiana’s Department of Transportation and Development.     

船坞底板与钢箱板相互作用

针对半潜船等重型产品坞修时底板强度不足的问题,进行坞墩荷载作用下船坞底板与钢箱板相互作用的数值分析,对荷载沿钢箱板扩散后船坞底板内力和沉降的变化进行研究;采用有限元计算中的接触面法,较好地处理混凝土与结构钢两种不同性质材料的接触问题。结果表明:钢箱板和底板之间没有产生过大的侵入、脱开或滑移;在底板局部坞墩荷载较大处设置钢箱板,竖向荷载沿钢箱板四边进行扩散,降低底板的内力和沉降,是一种解决底板强度不足的有效方法。     

Uncertainty analysis of the large zone economic module of the simple,efficient, elegant,and effective model (SE3M) of land use and transportation

Integrated land use and transportation forecasting models are used to assist decision-makers in the policy analysis and infrastructure capital improvement selection process. These models are typically given precise, point-estimate inputs that are mathematically linked, through a series of submodels, to forecasted model outputs. These point-estimate inputs represent an unrealistic level of precision and a growing body of research is focusing on statistical techniques to model uncertainty in model inputs and parameters and tracking the effects of this uncertainty through the various submodels to the model outputs. This paper presents an uncertainty analysis of the Large Zone Economic Module (LZEM) of the Simple, Efficient, Elegant, and Effective Model (SE³M) of land use and transportation. Three case-study implementations of the model are used to obtain a reasonably sound approximation of how uncertainty affects LZEM outputs: Guam, Puerto Rico, and Oahu, Hawaii. These case studies were the subject of an early transferability study with SE³M and were selected based on both their insularity and diverse physical, economic, and demographic geographies. The findings of this research demonstrate that LZEM has a robust framework, with the potential to estimate error both in the positive and negative direction under uncertain input/parameter conditions.     

港口岸边动力配电箱外壳防护等级的选用

通过浅析GB/T4942.2-93《低压电器外壳防护等级》,叙述港口岸边使用的配电箱防护等级要求,以及现有产品在设计制造上存在的不足,讲述选用的方法,避免因配电箱存在防护能力差所引起使用不够安全的缺点,提高现代化港口建设的技术水平。     

基于相似案例推理的应急物资需求预测方法研究*

为保证突发事件应急救援的高效顺利开展,应急物资需求预测的准确性是应急救援工作的关键环节之一。针对传统应急物资需求预测方法的不足,本文通过考虑特征因素值的不精确性和各特征因素受时间变化的影响,引入了区间数的概念来描述案例的不精确属性和相应的计算方法,运用时间影响因子对特征因素影响权重系数进行调整,获得特征因素的影响权重系数,提出了目标案例关键特征因素与案例间特征因素需相符和相似的条件下,搜索出最佳相似源案例,以解决灾区应急物资需求问题的案例推理方法。最后,以实例分析了该方法的可行性和合理性。可很好地解决信息不完备条件下应急物资需求的预测,为应急决策者提供一定的理论参考依据。     

基于多Agent的编队对潜作战智能辅助决策系统研究

传统作战辅助决策系统很难满足现代海战的需要,基于多Agent的智能辅助决策系统是辅助决策系统新的发展方向。根据水面舰艇编队对潜作战特点,构建了基于多Agent的对潜作战智能辅助决策系统框架,分析了系统中各模块的功能,重点研究了基于案例推理的Agent推理技术在辅助决策系统中的应用。提出的智能辅助决策系统满足了现代海战对辅助决策系统的要求,具有一定的军事实用价值。     

主题导引下压路机造型设计方法研究

探讨了一种适合压路机的造型方法，通过实例及发展趋势分析得出设计主题，应用感性工学原理及实例推导将产品概念具象化，构建了压路机的造型库。此方法可以方便、快速、高效地对产品的造型进行设计．缩短了产品设计周期，为产品迅速占领市场提供了基础。     

4种真空预压土体固结度预测方法及其效果对比

以天津临港经济区真空预压工程实测地表沉降数据为基础,使用双曲线法、三点法、Asaoka法及孔压固结度法对地基的固结度进行预测。结果表明：使用双曲线法预测结果较小且人为影响大,影响工程经济性;三点法预测结果较大,不能保证工程质量;从欠固结土沉降计算理论出发,认为孔压固结度法计算结果可以作为预测结果下限值,而Asaoka法与实测结果较吻合。建议在类似工程中改变单一的双曲线评价方法,采用3种预测方法对比分析为主、孔压固结度法为辅的方法综合评判。     

PR系统中利用规划库建立、修正与更新规划假设

探讨了在规划识别系统中检索规划库内规划的方法，着重研究基于态势索引的检索问题。提出了基于事实及其属性的态势描述方法和建立状态库以便比较态势的相似性。此种方法适合于规划识别系统在初始情况下在规划库中找到较为完整的规划作为初始假设。还就在规划假设的确认、修正与更新中检索动作、动作序列和局部规划的方法进行了初步探讨。     

液压滑套式动力头用多轴箱特点及共CAD系统

本文对自行开发的多轴箱从结构特点上作了介绍,并对其配套的CAD系统的组成,功能及其中四轴设计单元的一带三算法作了介绍。