Using longitudinal methods for analysis of a short-term transportation demonstration project

This paper documents an application of panel, or longitudinal data collection in the evaluation of a TSM (Transportation Systems Management) demonstration project. The project was a four-week demonstration of staggered work hours in downtown Honolulu during February–March 1988. The 4 wave panel survey elicited commuting experiences of approximately 2,000 downtown employees at two week intervals before and during the project. The sample involved both employees who participated in the project by shifting their work hours, and those who did not. The panel survey was augmented by floating-car observations of travel times on major routes into downtown Honolulu on the same four dates.The purpose of the analysis was to determine whether employee commute times were affected, and if so, how these changes were distributed among various employee segments. Two methods were used. First, travel time changes were estimated using paired t-tests. Second, regression equations were used to estimate project time savings as a function of trip length, route, and location of residence. Results show that travel time savings due to the project were typically small, less than ten percent. Nonparticipants experienced greater savings than participants, and some segments of participants experienced longer travel times during the project. The panel method proved to be an effective way to measure project travel time impacts and shows that the method is appropriate in short time applications.Presented at the Annual Meeting of Transportation Research Board, January 7–11. 1990, Washington, D.C.     

Coupled transport-reaction pathways and distribution patterns between siliciclastic-carbonate sediments at the Ria de Vigo

This paper examines the linkages between the space-distribution of grain sizes and the relative percentage of the amount of mineral species that result from the mixing process of siliciclastic and carbonate sediments at the Ria de Vigo (NW of Spain).The space-distribution of minerals was initially determined, starting from a detailed mineralogical study based on XRD-Rietveld analysis of the superficial sediments. Correlations between the maps obtained for grain sizes, average fractions of either siliciclastic or carbonates, as well as for individual-minerals, were further stabilised. From this analysis, spatially organized patterns were found between carbonates and several minerals involved in the siliciclastic fraction. In particular, a coupled behaviour is observed between plagioclases and carbonates, in terms of their relative percentage amounts and the grain size distribution.In order to explain these results a conceptual model is proposed, based on the interplay between chemical processes at the seawater–sediment interface and hydrodynamical factors. This model suggests the existence of chemical control mechanisms that, by selective processes of dissolution-crystallization, constrain the mixed environment's long-term evolution, inducing the formation of self-organized sedimentary patterns.     

船舶主机冷却水系统的建模与节能型控制研究

在对船舶主机高温淡水冷却水系统的各主要器件建立各自的数学模型的基础上,对其整个系统建立了数学模型.然后以主机高温淡水冷却水系统作为研究对象,提出了在此系统中采用神经元自适应控制方式替代传统的PID(比例积分微分)控制方式进行水温调节,以达到改善控制并节约能源的目的.最后以仿真结果说明了神经元自适应控制方式具有良好的适应性与抗干扰性,它比PID控制方式更适用于主机冷却水温度调节系统.     

一种新型建筑管理模式Partnering

介绍了Partnering模式的概念、组织结构和工作流程；分析了香港地铁将军澳延长线合同604在建立实施Partnering模式的一些实践做法，说明Partnering模式同样能给国内的建设项目管理带来有益的帮助。     

大型购物中心诱增交通量预测方法研究

近年来，随着人们生活水平的提高和消费观念的改变，shopping mall正在中国越来越热。shopping mall由于体量庞大，它的建设无疑会对城市道路交通体系产生较大的影响。本文在对北京mall交通影响分析实践的基础上，根据购物(休闲娱乐)出行需求的特点，提出了大型购物中心诱增交通量预测的思路，并重点阐述了商圈分析法和非集计模型在诱增交通量预测中的应用，取得了较好的效果。     

公路建设项目法人激励模型研究

项目法人在公路项目建设中起着举足轻重的作用 ,其经营水平、工作绩效的高低直接关系到项目建设期三大控制目标的实现和企业的长远发展。利用委托～代理激励理论研究了项目法人制下的项目经营者激励模型 ,以期促进和完善现代项目企业制度 ,提高项目经营者自身及企业经济效益水平。     

对中国未来10年道路交通安全状况分析与初步预测

笔者从中国现代道路交通系统的发展现状与道路交通安全状况出发，以过去10多年中国汽车、摩托车保有量的发展轨迹为基础，对中国未来一定时期（2004～2015年）机动车保有量的发展变化及政府采取不同管理对策条件下的道路交通安全状况的发展水平进行了预测。结果表明：政府管理对策对道路交通安全状况变化具有决定性影响。     

航海类高职院校“船舶管理”课程实践教学的思考与实践

航海类高职院校“船舶管理”课程的实践教学在学生船员职业品质和法律素质的形成与发展过程中具有重要作用。“船舶管理”课程实施多种实践教学环节,达到全方位、立体化的教育教学效果和课程目标的实现。     

GM(1,1)模型与指数模型在基桩沉降预测中的应用

以某大型基桩的沉降预测为例,利用灰色系统理论的GM(1,1)与Aeax曲线模型进行基桩在外荷载作用下沉降量的预测。结果表明:两种模型对于呈指数变化规律的系统能获得较好的预测结果;两种模型对基桩累计沉降的预测符合工程实际,对各级荷载作用下的本级沉降预测不够合理。对两种模型关系的研究表明,两者有内在联系,都属指数曲线预测模型,且指数曲线Aeax预测模型比GM(1,1)模型应用起来更简单,方便。     

建筑项目管理信息化意义重大

随着中国加入WTO,大量外资项目引进以及经济持续高速发展,中国工程项目在基建、房产、公路、水利、能源、勘测等方面的规模和数量急剧增长。与此相比,工程项目管理中的信息技术开发和应用水平并没有"与时俱进"。