灰色模糊估算模型在工程造价中的应用

通过选择预估工程按照模型计算分析,系统研究将灰色系统理论应用到模糊估算中,灰色模糊估算模型计算的单方工程造价既考虑各个工程横向特征的相似程度,也考虑纵向发展态势的变化。将两者结合起来,探讨建立一个新的指标-综合相似度。     

高速公路社会影响分析与评价实证分析——以京化高速公路土木至胶泥湾段为例

在分析京化高速公路土木至胶泥湾段社会影响评价重要性的基础上,采用二层次模糊综合评价模型对其进行社会影响评价,可为高速公路项目的立项决策提供参考依据。     

基于模糊-粒子群算法的舰船主锅炉燃烧控制

针对舰船主锅炉燃烧控制系统负荷突变时主蒸汽压力波动大、空气和燃油调节速度慢以及风油配比易偏离最佳值的问题,在变偏置双交叉限幅燃烧控制系统的基础上,提出模糊-粒子群算法整定变偏置函数的偏置参数,制定大步长控制策略。在Simulink中建立模糊-粒子群控制器和燃烧控制系统模型,仿真试验结果表明:引入模糊-粒子群算法改进的燃烧控制系统主蒸汽压力超调量更小,调节时间更短,空燃比维持在良好范围内,可有效提升主锅炉燃烧控制系统的稳定性、快速性和经济性。     

基于模糊聚类算法的船舶故障诊断技术

由于大型设备故障症状与故障原因之间关系十分复杂，使得传统诊断方法在实际应用中效果不理想。研究采用模糊C-均值聚类算法，将被诊断对象间故障和症状的特征通过建立模糊关系矩阵进行了故障分类，用当前所得的故障征兆群与过去该设备故障征兆结果相对照，找出最相似的结果，从而确定其故障。通过船舶主机轴系诊断的实例，充分证明了该方法的有效性。     

索赔风险的模糊综合与辨识模型的应用

对工程各涉及方来讲,索赔风险的发现与识别既是索赔管理的首要任务,也是一个难点问题。运用索赔风险的模糊综合与辨识模型分析索赔风险,可以迅速而准确地解决这一难题。     

舰船导航设备故障分析方法研究

研究基于卷积的扩展修正的模糊故障树分析方法。通过该方法在电罗经模糊故障树分析中的应用，证明该方法能够有效解决经典模糊算法在电罗经的模糊故障树分析中出现的结果扩散性大、可解释性不强的缺点，并可广泛应用于其他导航设备的故障分析。     

A three-stage decision-making model for selecting electric vehicle battery technology

This study proposes a three-stage decision-making model for the selection of electric vehicle battery technology. Data used for analysis include surveys completed by 45 technology experts from industry, academia, and research throughout Taiwan. A three-stage model that includes developing multiple-criteria during the first stage, integrating the importance of criteria assessment using the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process in the second stage, and using patent analysis tools to further identify the patent portfolio of the technology selected by experts in the third stage are employed. The empirical results indicate that power source management technology and battery module technology are the key technologies for development by the electric vehicle industry. Battery energy storage management and cooling technology are found to be the key for building patent portfolios. When faced with substantial technical and market uncertainty, multiple-criteria for research and development (R&D) selection and stage-wise integration of decision tool must be employed by battery firms to effectively allocate the resources for R&D decisions.     

基于公路建设质量行为评价的监督方式初探

基于质量行为与实体质量有着较好的相关性,提出了公路建设质量行为评价指标,并鉴于质量行为评价的模糊性,采用层次分析和模糊综合评价方法对建设过程中的质量行为进行了分析,实现了建设质量行为的科学准确评价,最后依据评价结果对工程建设的监督方式做了初探,从而实现公路工程政府监督的差别化和动态化。     

Consensus Building in Oil Spill Response Planning Using a Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

Major accidental oil spills still affect ecologically and economically sensitive marine areas and shorelines, even though environmental programs and policies have led to an increase of ship safety measures. The aim of decision making during oil spill response management is to minimize pollution effects on coastal areas, once spills occur. However, limited equipments or options prevent such a globally satisfying combat strategy. Thus, often preferences between different coastal areas or uses, respectively, have to be made in an operational way. Such a management issue is here taken as a multigroup multicriteria decision-making problem involving a variety of stakeholders and natural dynamic environments. For solving such a complex problem, this article proposes a second order fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) model, which takes the influence of multiple criteria and the knowledge of different interested groups into account and further provides a basis for simulating a voting-based decision process. With the combination of oil fate simulations and FCE technique, managers are able to realize an integrated management for oil spill. Through a case study of the Prestige accident off the Spanish coast in 2002, it is demonstrated that the model provides a simple, effective and adaptable method to solve operational management problems related to complex human nature interactions as realized during oil spill management. Moreover, a series of analyses and comparisons are focused on to explore potentials and limitations of the FCE for further applications in the field of multigroup multicriteria decision making.     

路堑环境协调性评价指标体系与评价方法

为了评价路堑与环境的协调性,构建了路堑协调性评价指标体系。由视觉环境协调、生态环境协调、交通环境协调构成了准则层,线形等8项内容构成子准则层,公路线形与地形的协调程度等22个指标构成指标层,利用层次分析法给出了各级指标的权重,利用多级模糊综合评价获得了路堑协调性评价的结果,并给出了基于层次分析法的多级模糊综合评价方法算例。