一次成功的台风中救助及启示

阐述了一次成功的台风中救助的过程及采取的应对措施,并就救助中发现的问题及得到的启示作了介绍。     

铁道信号系统安全计算机状态监测方法

基于隐马尔科夫模型(Hidden Markov Model,HMM)提出了状态监测和故障诊断的原理与基本流程。通过观测数据的提取与降维,正常态模型训练与改进,故障态模型训练等一系列措施,实现了两模冗余安全计算机的状态监测,对正常态与时钟偏离1%～10%等7种不同条件进行监测。监测结果表明:对数似然概率均值从-228.98降至-1 385.60,健康状态不断恶化。对1号处理单元(PU1)故障状态进行仿真监测时,将PU1故障与PU1故障态、正常态、安全容错管理单元(FTSM)故障态、通信控制器(CC)故障态以及系统受扰故障态进行比较,得到对数似然概率均值分别为-161.95、-13.72、-14.13、-40.17及-35.69,证明了系统所发生的故障是因PU1所致。监测方法能够有效实现安全计算机健康状态的检测,为铁道信号安全计算机监测技术提供理论支撑。     

基于BMP图像的信息隐藏算法研究

介绍基于LSB算法的图像隐藏原理,分析了传统的LSB算法,提出了两种改进的方法。同时对BMP文件的属性和GRB分量提取作了分析并给出相应代码。     

紧迫危险下的船舶智能避碰决策研究

随着船舶的大型化、高速化以及通航水域船舶密度增加和会遇率的增大,船舶的碰撞事故时有发生,这就对避碰问题的研究提出了更高的要求.通过对紧迫危险及紧迫危险区域的深入研究,提出了紧迫危险距离的量化模型及紧迫危险下的避碰决策,并通过几何作图分析和模拟操纵仿真试验加以验证.     

王家桥至高县、筠连县输气管网工程安全评价分析

道化学火灾、爆炸危险指数评价法能客观地量化潜在火灾、爆炸和反应性事故的预期损失,能确定可能引起事故的设备.为论证该工程的安全可靠性,现利用道化学公司火灾、爆炸危险指数评价方法对该工程进行定量固有危险程度分析,经分析可知其安全可靠性是有保证的.     

铁路产品的风险和安全完整性

从产品的风险和安全完整性的基本概念出发,介绍了电子产品2种工作模式下的目标失效率的同一性、安全完整性级别的选取原则、风险和安全完整性的内在关系。最后用低到适当可行原理（ALARP）解释风险评估的方法,便于读者理解和贯彻ICE62278：2002和IEC62279：2002标准。     

基于隐患分析的海洋钻修机井架及底座安全评估

针对海洋钻修机井架及底座的安全评估方法的局限性,采用安全检查表法(SCL)、故障类型及影响分析法(FMEA),以及事故树分析法(FTA)从设备隐患的角度出发对井架进行全面的安全评价,结果表明:SCL可有效识别井架及底座存在的隐患,隐患发生在二层台及井架主体部位居多,安装不合理为最主要的隐患形式;FMEA方法可识别出井架...     

Fuzzy C-Means Clustering Based Phonetic Tied-Mixture HMM in Speech Recognition

A fuzzy clustering analysis based phonetic tied-mixture HMM (FPTM) was presented to decrease parameter size and improve robustness of parameter training. FPTM was synthesized from state-tied HMMs by a modified fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm. Each Gaussian codebook of FPTM was built from Gaussian components within the same root node in phonetic decision tree. The experimental results on large vocabulary Mandarin speech recognition show that compared with conventional phonetic tied-mixture HMM and state-tied HMM with approximately the same number of Gaussian mixtures, FPTM achieves word error rate reductions by 4.84% and 13.02% respectively. Combining the two schemes of mixing weights pruning and Gaussian centers fuzzy merging, a significantly parameter size reduction was achieved with little impact on recognition accuracy.     

An analysis of airport–airline vertical relationships with risk sharing contracts under asymmetric information structures

We analyze the double moral hazard problem at the joint venture type airport–airline vertical relationship, where two parties both contribute efforts to the joint venture but neither of them can see the other’s efforts. With the continuous-time stochastic dynamic programming model, we show that by the de-centralized utility maximizations of two parties under very strict conditions, i.e., optimal efforts’ cost being negligible and their risk averse parameters both asymptotically approaching to zero, the vertical contract could be agreed as the optimal sharing rule, which is the linear function of the final state with the slope being the product of their productivity difference and uncertainty (diffusion rate) level index.If both parties’ productivities are same, or the diffusion rate of the underlying process is unity, optimal linear sharing rule do not depend on the final state. If their conditions not dependent on final state are symmetric as well, then risk sharing disappears completely. In numerical examples, we illustrate the complex impact of uncertainty increase and end-of-period load factor improvement on the optimal sharing rule, and the relatively simple impact on total utility levels.     

基于危险度区划的山区灾害多发区段公路选线

提出了山区灾害多发路段公路选线的新方法.应用GIS的方法和技术,在山区灾害多发区段线路危险度区划图的基础上,进行线路方案的设计,以期从源头上减少山区公路灾害的发生,并进行了理论探讨和工程应用.