Integrated models of land use and transportation for the autonomous vehicle revolution

ABSTRACT

The advent of the autonomous vehicle (AV) will affect not only the transportation system, but also future patterns of land development. Integrated land use and transportation models will be critical tools in assessing the path forward with this technology. Key questions with respect to land use impacts of AVs arise from potential changes in sensitivity to travel and reduced demand for parking. It is an open question whether AVs will induce urban sprawl, or whether spatial economies of agglomeration will mitigate any reductions in travel time sensitivity. The deployment of shared fleets of AVs would likely reduce parking demand, producing yet to be explored impacts on property development within existing urban footprints. We perform a critical assessment of currently operational models and their ability to represent the adoption of AVs. We identify the representation of time in such models as a vital component requiring additional development to model this new technology. Existing model applications have focused on the discrete addition of new infrastructure or policy at a fixed point in time, whereas AV adoption will occur incrementally through time. Stated adaptation surveys are recommended as tools to quantify preferences and develop relevant model inputs. It is argued that existing models that assume comparatively static equilibrium have been convenient in the past, but are insufficient to model technology adoption. In contrast, dynamic model frameworks lack sufficient structure to maintain reasonability under large perturbations from base conditions. The ongoing advancement of computing has allowed models to move away from being mechanistic aggregate tools, towards behaviourally rich depictions of individual persons and firms. However, much work remains to move from projections of existing conditions into the future, to the evolution of the spatial economy as it evolves through time in response to new technologies and exogenous stresses. Principles from complex and evolutionary systems theory will be important in the development of models with the capacity to consider such dynamics.     

施工导流在内河航道干地开挖工程中的应用

通过施工导流在内河航道干地开挖施工中的应用，结合内河航道干地开挖的具体特点，分析影响施工导流成败的主要因素．介绍了在施工中应注意的主要技术要点。     

Development and Deployment of Public Transport Policy and Planning in Taiwan

Over the past decade, the escalating roadway congestion and environmental deterioration due to heavy use of private vehicles have provoked the Taiwan government to realize the importance of public transport systems. Under the “carrot-and-stick” rationales, the government has formulated public transport policies and exercised a series of related initiatives by providing sufficient and higher quality of public transport services so as to attract more private vehicle users. In this paper, the planning philosophy and policy formulation of Taiwan’s public transport development are highlighted. The most important initiatives, including the Five-year Enhancement of Mass Transportation Program and the upgrading public transport schemes in the National Development Plan are examined. Based on previous experience and lessons, we point out the most challenging issues that the government will encounter. Suggestions for the future of public transport planning are also addressed.     

论国土资源管理领域中的地质工作

地质工作与国土资源管理工作联系紧密,地质学科的专业知识在管理工作中应用广泛。最近十几年来,地质管理工作的深度和广度不足。由于政府的重视,地质工作重新得到了充分的肯定,地质工作在国土资源管理领域做出了越来越大的贡献。建立系统项目库、与信息技术的结合、加强地质人才的培养及促进人与地质环境和谐是地质工作发挥更大作用的几个发展方向。     

加强领导落实责任认真做好青藏铁路建设用地管理工作

铁路建设用地验收交接的技术性、专业性、政策性较强,涉及面广。青藏铁路公司建设管理部采取“结合实际、突出重点、全面指导、整体推进”的做法,加强与地方政府土地管理部门的联系,参加建设用地的征用和施工用地的管理工作;主动与建设单位沟通,共商建设用地管理的对策;统一竣工资料的标准,保证竣工资料的齐全、规范;牢固树立为运输生产服务的理念,依法、规范、科学地管理铁路建设用地,保证建设用地交接完整、准确、规范地进行。     

Aggregate expenditure elasticity for transport and communication in Australia

For the purpose of estimating Engel elasticity, one needs to find the best functional form among various alternatives. In this paper, a new function, which is called the double semi-log Engel function turns out to be the best functional form for the transport and communication items in Australia on the basis of the distance function (D²) criterion, and the non-nested hypothesis testing procedure. This function is then used to estimate total expenditure elasticity, and the percentage change in consumer demand due to changes in total expenditure and total expenditure inequalities; using the 1975–76 Household Expenditure Survey data. The results of the analyses demonstrate that transport and communication is a necessary item in Australia on the basis of two criteria, viz., its elasticity is not significantly greater than unity, and the percentage change in demand increases with a decrease of the total expenditure inequality [emphasised by Iyengar (I960)]. Policy implication of the analyses has also been discussed.     

液化天然气(LNG)接卸港工程

介绍了LNG国际贸易、接收站建设、LNG运输船、接卸港口工程的选址及设计、分销输运方式，讨论了关于《液化天然气码头设计规程》（试行）的修订意见。     

沉箱箱壁计算分析和局部优化

采用结构计算程序AN SY S,对北方某港拟建的15万吨级矿石转水码头大直径圆沉箱箱壁进行了计算。对桥梁计算中通用的影响线加载程序进行修改,编制成适用于卸船机荷载的动态规划程序,并嵌入结构分析程序中,计算出最不利组合工况下的沉箱箱壁受力;同时参考AN SY S拓扑优化结果,对沉箱消浪孔形式和布置位置等进行了调整,计算分析后给出了受力性能更为合理的细部构造布置。     

关于构建环首都经济圈城际铁路网的研究

近年来,随着我国经济发展的突飞猛进和社会进步的日新月异,经济全球化和区域经济一体化已成为必然趋势,新经济形势下对区域经济的统一规划布局、生产力配置,统一开发、调配区域资源提出了更高的要求。环首都经济圈的建设和发展将成为中国经济增长的第三极,随之而来的便是完善环首都经济圈城市群之间的综合交通运输体系,实现城市群之间交通一体化。对国内的城际铁路发展现状及其对都市经济圈发展的促进进行了简要的分析,阐述了城际铁路对构建环首都经济圈发展的重要作用。     

局域轨道交通系统规划编制思路和方法探讨——以上海市宝山区为例

宝山区作为上海市北部门户,要积极加强对外辐射和对内联系,推动上海大都市圈一体化协同发展,客观上需要进一步强化交通功能,完善综合运输体系,形成上海北部枢纽。从轨道交通市域线、市区线、局域线三个层次,对区内轨道交通系统规划编制思路、客流预测、线网规模、布局方案等进行了探讨,以期对区域总体规划编制提供参考和借鉴。