城市轨道交通工程计价体系探讨

城市轨道交通工程投资大、投资回收期长、财务效益差,因此如何合理确定和有效控制轨道交通工程投资对轨道交通工程健康、可持续发展具有十分重要的意义,而确定和控制投资需要科学、完善的计价体系。然而各城市轨道交通工程计价体系在定额采用、定额水平、其它费用内容及水平等方面存在着较大的差异,对轨道交通工程投资确定和控制造成不利影响。因此建立新的城市轨道交通计价体系刻不容缓。     

基于《建设工程工程量清单计价规范》（2008年版）的承包商投标策略技巧

结合新颁布的《建设工程工程量清单计价规范》（2008年版）,就投标报价策略技巧中采用的不平衡报价法进行探讨,并针对开发商的反不平衡报价措施提出了应对措施,对工程投标有一定借鉴意义。     

EPC项目专业设计计划管理技术与方法研究

本文针对大多数从事海洋工程项目设计计划管理过程中经常遇到的一些问题,结合海洋石油工程股份有限公司近年来在设计信息化管理方面的一些实践经验,以及借鉴行业一些先进经验,引入项目总控计划和设计执行计划分级管理方法,基于专业设计成果清单,以专业设计计划为核心,结合IT技术,对项目设计计划管理和任务管理方法进行优化设计,并用于指导《自升式钻井平台设计建造信息化管理技术研究》项目中设计管理模块的管理模式设计和信息系统开发工作,管理模式的设计思路和信息系统实现效果,获得相关方肯定。     

基于PHA-LEC-SCL法公路隧道施工安全评价研究

为了制定科学的公路隧道施工安全评价的基本模式,针对公路隧道施工的危险、有害因素的危害程度及特殊工艺,将公路隧道施工系统分为隧道开挖、爆破、施工用电、施工通风、出碴与洞内运输、支护衬砌等6个主要子系统.运用预先危险性分析法(PHA)对公路隧道施工的危险、危害因素进行辨识和定性分析,结合作业条件危险性评价法(LEC)对公路隧道施工系统中各子系统进行危险性评价,定量分析计算PHA中的子系统各个危险因素的危险等级,并采用安全检查表(SCL)对公路隧道施工现场进行安全综合评价,建立了安全评价方法之间的内在联系.PHA-LEC-SCL法确立了公路隧道施工安全评价的基本模式.     

Performance Evaluation of List Sphere Detector

IntroductionThis paper aims to address two problems ithe design of“list sphere detector”(LSD)[1]insystem with no system-level iteration between thMIMO detector and the channel decoder. The firsproblem is how to reduce its complexity. Here it ishown that a much smaller list size can be used ithe soft output is approximated appropriately. Alist size of 40 is adequate for a 4× 4 16QAMVBLAST MIMO system. Compared to a 1 02long list used for the same system in Ref.[1], thilist size redu…     

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在进行公共交通换乘行为变化敏感度分析以及公交票价的制定过程中,均需将出行时间和费用联系起来考虑,出行时间价值是联系出行时间和费用的纽带．本文首先分析了基于随机效用最大化理论的Multinomial Logit（MNL）方式选择模型的基本思想,用MNL方式选择模型的简化模型对出行时间价值进行了量化．接着以北京市为例,考虑出行者的出行时间、费用以及收入等因素,估算出了北京市各种收入群所对应的出行时间价值．然后通过对选择公共交通出行者属性的分析,加权平均各种收入群对应的出行时间价值,最终估计出了北京市城市公共交通的出行时间价值．估算结果符合北京市的实际情况.     

Effect of risk preference on the valuation of time charter contracts with extension options

ABSTRACT

The literature on valuation of time charter contracts and real options in shipping generally relies on the complete markets hypothesis and the risk-neutrality of agents. However, these assumptions fail completely in some shipping market segments. This study proposes a numerical approach—based on discounting the certainty equivalent payoff at the risk-free rate—which incorporates the agent’s risk preferences through an exponential utility function. The method comprises an iterative Monte Carlo nested simulation with the real probability measure. This method is applied to a case of Suezmax tankers. The stochastic evolution of the time charter rates is modelled as a geometric mean-reverting process. The case study supports the applicability of the proposed method and evidences that the effect of risk preference may be significant, mainly for more risk-averse agents. Although the method involves intensive computation, it has the benefits of theoretical ease and flexibility, which could encourage utilisation by practitioners.     

Some economic aspects of conflicts over land use in the coastal zone

Abstract

Recent land use legislation pays particular attention to the coastal zone where age‐old conflicts have recently accelerated. Flexibility is required in policy because visible conflicts are tied into complex physical and social systems which may require changing patterns of land use over time. Public policy is altering property rights and a thorough understanding of the economic and social roles played by those rights is required. Economic models can be used to understand some major changes such as types of alteration of the environment, but may be ignored or misused unless a better understanding of coastal decision processes is developed.     

INTERGRAPH系统在海洋工程电缆清册制作中的应用

文章以INTERGRAPH(鹰图)系统在世界首座圆筒式钻井储油平台SEVAN 650电缆清册制作中的应用为例,介绍了电缆清册制作的新模式,为快捷准确完成海工项目电缆清册制作提供了参考方案。     

Towards improved port capacity investment decisions under uncertainty: a real options approach

ABSTRACT

Port activity plays an important role in facilitating international trade. Sufficient capacity is indispensable for a port to attract flows to a region and retain them. The capacity decision is the result of a trade-off between investment and waiting costs. Traditional methods to value expansion projects do not deal adequately with managerial flexibility in the face of uncertainty from different sources in the complex port environment. In this paper, real options (RO) models are identified as an alternative method to making project valuations and investment decisions, as they attribute the correct value to managerial flexibility under uncertainty. In order to be able to build and use such RO models for port capacity investment decisions, the sources and implications of uncertainty in the port and the different RO model specifications need to be understood. To this end, both the literature about uncertainty in the port context and the literature about real options models are reviewed in order to provide researchers who want to build their own decision-making models, with the necessary knowledge of both fields. The review makes clear that the complex interactions in and competition between the logistics chains and their actors coming together in ports have significant impacts on port capacity. Uncertainty is also caused by uncertain international trade flows and changes in legislation following new technologies and environmental impacts. An analysis of the components of some general RO models shows how the options of flexible output, investment size and timing are valued by RO models in a setting with demand uncertainty. Moreover, the review presents researchers with insights in how to deal with cooperative and competitive interactions in the chain, time to build, cyclical markets and legislation changes. It also shows how to value the expansion and the phased investment options. The new insights resulting from this review are subsequently combined in a framework that serves as a guideline to build RO models for port capacity investments. Finally, an exemplifying application of the framework is used to build an actual port capacity investment decision model.