Changes in fuel economy: An analysis of the Spanish car market

This paper estimates the role that technological change and car characteristics have played in the rate of fuel consumption of vehicles over time. Using data from the Spanish car market from 1988 to 2013, we estimate a reduced form equation that relates fuel consumption with a set of car characteristics. The results for the sales-weighted sample of vehicles show that energy efficiency would have improved by 30% and 42% for petrol and diesel cars respectively had car characteristics been held constant at 1988 values. However, the shift to bigger and more fuel-consuming cars reduced the gains from technological progress. Additionally, using the results of the fuel equation we show that, besides a natural growth rate of 1.1%, technological progress is affected by both the international price of oil and the adoption of mandatory emission standards. Moreover, according to our estimations, a 1% growth in GDP would modify car characteristics in such a way that fuel consumption would increase by around 0.23% for petrol cars and 0.35% for diesel cars.     

Driving cycle prediction model based on bus route features

Bus fuel economy is deeply influenced by the driving cycles, which vary for different route conditions. Buses optimized for a standard driving cycle are not necessarily suitable for actual driving conditions, and, therefore, it is critical to predict the driving cycles based on the route conditions. To conveniently predict representative driving cycles of special bus routes, this paper proposed a prediction model based on bus route features, which supports bus optimization. The relations between 27 inter-station characteristics and bus fuel economy were analyzed. According to the analysis, five inter-station route characteristics were abstracted to represent the bus route features, and four inter-station driving characteristics were abstracted to represent the driving cycle features between bus stations. Inter-station driving characteristic equations were established based on the multiple linear regression, reflecting the linear relationships between the five inter-station route characteristics and the four inter-station driving characteristics. Using kinematic segment classification, a basic driving cycle database was established, including 4704 different transmission matrices. Based on the inter-station driving characteristic equations and the basic driving cycle database, the driving cycle prediction model was developed, generating drive cycles by the iterative Markov chain for the assigned bus lines. The model was finally validated by more than 2 years of acquired data. The experimental results show that the predicted driving cycle is consistent with the historical average velocity profile, and the prediction similarity is 78.69%. The proposed model can be an effective way for the driving cycle prediction of bus routes.     

基于语义的可定制数据切分和动态加载方法

文章提供一种基于语义的可定制数据切分和动态加载方法，它能够对源数据库建立基于语义的元数据描述，根据不同用户的数据需求，依据数据的语义相关性，转化并归纳为通用的策略模版，基于策略进行数据的切割和数据的级联抽取。之后，采用容错式动态加载方法。这在一定程度上实现了异构数据库之间的批量数据迁移。     

Centrifuge modelling of pipe-soil interaction in clay with crust layer

Seabed in regions, such as the Gulf of Guinea and North West Shelf of Australia, may exhibit a crust layer where the undrained shear strength can be an order of magnitude higher than that of the immediately underlying sediment. This can complicate design of steel catenary risers, where fatigue depends on the cyclic vertical stiffness of the pipe-soil interaction. Potential punch-through of the riser into the underlying soft soil may invalidate design assumptions based on the pipe-soil stiffness within the crust layer. The long-term evolution of pipe-soil stiffness within the crust layer, which exhibits similar properties to an over-consolidated soil, is also poorly understood. This paper describes centrifuge model tests undertaken in a clay sample with a crust layer, simulating the punch-through process of a pipe under load control and investigating the pipe-soil stiffness during long-term cyclic loading tests under displacement control. Results confirm that the potential for punching-through the crust layer depends strongly on the relative ratio of pipe diameter to crust layer thickness. The long-term evolution of pipe-soil stiffness showed a steady increase after an initial remoulding stage in contractile soils (normally consolidated and lightly over-consolidated), but a steady reduction in the heavily over-consolidated, more dilatant, crust. The magnitude of pipe-soil stiffness changes (during both remoulding and reconsolidation) is governed by the over-consolidation ratio of the soil and the amplitude of the cyclic displacements. This study provides insights on the relevant cyclic stiffness to consider when assessing SCR fatigue life in over-consolidated soils and soils exhibiting a superficial crust layer.     

考虑游览船运营特征的航道通过能力评价方法

为构建客货船舶协同动态运行控制技术体系，以经典航道通过能力模型为基础，构建基于游览船运营特征(发船高峰性和航线集中度)的航道通过能力模型.根据黄浦江游览核心区船舶自动识别系统(AIS)数据，对所提出的航道通过能力模型进行实证分析.研究结果表明，本文航道通过能力模型能够较为准确地评价研究区域的实际航道通过能力.游览船发船高峰时期与现有航线规划条件下，黄浦江游览核心区航道通过能力(76艘/h)趋近饱和状态；当过境船到达超过69艘/h时，建议海事相关部门采取“错峰”航行等相关政策.     

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通过常规阶段和奥运期间对出租车运行特征的监测与对比分析,研究奥运期间在交通限行背景下出租车出行规律和特征,评价出租车客运系统供给能力和运行效率,研究影响交通特征变化的有关因素,从而为今后大型活动的交通保障工作积累经验。研究结果表明,奥运期间出租车出车率达到92.26%,日均客运量较赛前增加19.2%,出租车空驶率由赛前的46.05%降低到37.06%;76.31%的受访者认为出租车运行速度较赛前有明显提高,而仅28.85%的受访者认为出租车候车时间明显变短,出租车服务水平还有待进一步提高。     

大城市中心区实施拥堵收费的影响评价研究

文章在分析大城市中心区拥堵收费实施条件与方式的基础上,定性分析实施拥堵收费对居民出行行为以及中心区动静态交通的影响,最后提出基于模糊评价理论的中心区拥堵收费影响评价模型.     

城市轨道交通网络可靠性分析

为预防突发事件对城市轨道交通网络的影响,提高应变能力、增强运营稳定性,有必要对其网络可靠性进行分析。以上海市轨道交通网络为实证对象,基于L空间和P空间方法建立两种网络拓扑结构,分析其复杂网络的静态特性。提出针对车站删除方法的4种攻击策略,并对各种攻击策略下网络可靠性的变化进行比较分析。结果表明,轨道交通车站网络和换乘网络对随机攻击具有鲁棒性,对蓄意攻击具有脆弱性;动态攻击策略对网络可靠性的影响比静态攻击策略更大。     

塞拉利昂Pepel地区淤泥质软土工程地质特性

根据塞拉利昂Pepel地区沿岸港口工程的地质勘察资料,通过对该区域淤泥质软土的物理、力学性质指标进行统计与分析,探讨Pepel地区淤泥质软土的工程地质特性,为该地区港口工程规划和水工建(构)筑物的设计提供必要参考。     

高速高频船舶舵机系统动态特性分析与研究

为船舶高速高频舵机的设计提供理论依据和技术支撑,提出了基于ADAMS、SIMULINK和AMESim的联合仿真分析的新方法,分析了船舶舵机分系统单元、非线性因素与整机系统动态特性的关系。基于ADAMS、SIMULINK和AMESim建立了船舶舵机系统联合仿真模型,从时频角度研究了变量泵、控制系统、反馈机构及传感器的特性,以及间隙、死区、泄露、灵敏度等非线性因素对舵机系统频响特性的影响关系和规律,得出了高速高频舵机设计的一般准则。