Using GPS-data to determine optimum electric vehicle ranges: A Michigan case study

Fuel-switching personal transportation from gasoline to electricity offers many advantages, including lower noise, zero local air pollution, and petroleum-independence. But alleviations of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are more nuanced, due to many factors, including the car’s battery range. We use GPS-based trip data to determine use type-specific, GHG-optimized ranges. The dataset comprises 412 cars and 384,869 individual trips in Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA. We use previously developed algorithms to determine driver types, such as using the car to commute or not. Calibrating an existing life cycle GHG model to a forecast, low-carbon grid for Ann Arbor, we find that the optimum range varies not only with the drive train architecture (plugin-hybrid versus battery-only) and charging technology (fast versus slow) but also with the driver type. Across the 108 scenarios we investigated, the range that yields lowest GHG varies from 65 km (55+ year old drivers, ultrafast charging, plugin-hybrid) to 158 km (16–34 year old drivers, overnight charging, battery-only). The optimum GHG reduction that electric cars offer – here conservatively measured versus gasoline-only hybrid cars – is fairly stable, between 29% (16–34 year old drivers, overnight charging, battery-only) and 46% (commuters, ultrafast charging, plugin-hybrid). The electrification of total distances is between 66% and 86%. However, if cars do not have the optimum range, these metrics drop substantially. We conclude that matching the range to drivers’ typical trip distances, charging technology, and drivetrain is a crucial pre-requisite for electric vehicles to achieve their highest potential to reduce GHG emissions in personal transportation.     

宜昌市夜明珠路总体方案研究

结合宜昌BRT(快速公交系统)建设对宜昌市夜明珠路进行改造,受众多因素控制,道路改造难度较高。介绍了工程建设条件及总体设计方案。总体方案结合路线两侧现状地形、控制因素等不同特点,将路线分为沿河线段和合流线段两个典型路段,并进行方案比选,综合各方面因素,得出了推荐方案。     

Bayesian network for red-light-running prediction at signalized intersections

Abstract

Red-light-running (RLR) is an important reason for the large number of intersection-related fatalities, injuries, and other losses. The accurate RLR prediction can effectively reduce crashes caused by RLR behavior. The RLR prediction is usually composed of two parts: the vehicle’s stop-or-go behavior and the arrival time when the vehicle reaches the stop line. Previous stop-or-go prediction models are usually based on embedded traffic sensors using machine learning algorithms. While based on the continuous trajectories collected by radar sensors, RLR prediction can be conducted more effectively. In this paper, a probabilistic stop-or-go prediction model based on the Bayesian network (BN) is proposed for RLR prediction. We extend the deterministic output into the probabilistic output, which provides decision-makers with greater autonomy. The causality of BN improves the interpretability of the prediction model. The BN model is calibrated and tested by the continuous trajectories data measured by radar sensors installed at a signalized intersection. We not only consider the movement measurements of individual vehicles (e.g., speed and acceleration), but also take into account the car-following behavior. As a comparison, different machine learning models and the model based on the inductive loop detection (ILD) are adopted. The results show that the proposed BN model has a high prediction accuracy and performs better in the feature interpretation. This paper provides a new way for probabilistic RLR prediction based on continuous trajectories, which will significantly improve traffic safety of signalized intersections.     

基于Delphi7的GPS数据采集器的实现研究

利用Delphi7和Jupiter 021 OEM板,开发一套GPS数据采集软件.该软件能够动态显示各可视卫星的卫星号、信号强度及信号的空间分布;以北纬、东经、海拔高度表示的三维定位结果及描述几何拓扑误差的HDOP、PDOP、VDOP等误差放大因子;生成动态存储NMEA-0183原始语句及其数据提取结果的文件,为今后分析接收机性能,确定GPS数据采集时段、采集位置,进行定位结果的优化处理等方面提供数据.     

基于空间数据模型的产业集聚发展分析

产业集聚战略已成为我国各级地方政府发展经济的一项重要政策措施.以空间统计为主要研究方法,应用格点数据模型,对地方产业集聚现象进行研究分析,可以有效了解当地经济发展状况,合理规划地区经济发展方向.     

论工程硕士教育与地方交通人才资源培育策略

依据《江西省国民经济和社会发展第十一个五年计划纲要》和《江西省综合交通"十一五"专项规划》中提出的全省交通运输行业"十一五"科技创新和人才培养目标,对江西省交通运输企业人才现状和需求进行了分析,提出依托高校交通运输工程领域学科优势和高校与企业建立起的产学研合作关系,开展工程硕士专业学位教育的研究与实践,并从人才资源与交通运输经济发展相互协调的角度,探索高层次人才资源培育途径,为全省交通运输"十一五"规划目标的顺利实现提供人才保证.     

微型扑翼飞行器空气动力学研究进展

微型扑翼飞行器(FMAV)作为一种新概念的航空器,有着广泛的功能和用途,已经受到了各国的高度重视.综述了国内外对微型扑翼飞行器的低雷诺数空气动力学问题的研究现状及未来的发展趋势,讨论了目前研究中需要解决的一些关键技术.在此基础上,总结出今后研究的重点,并为微型扑翼飞行器的设计提供了参考依据.     

资本主义创新机制的研究与借鉴

资本主义在其几百年的发展过程中,不仅创造了物质文明,而且孕育了创新文化.资本主义创造的文明是人类文明进步的一个重要台阶,我们需要研究和借鉴资本主义推动生产力不断向前发展的动力机制;不断创新的管理机制;弘扬进取的文化机制.人类创造的一切先进文明成果,我们都要积极继承和发扬.研究和借鉴资本主义是为了加速社会主义的发展.     

基于.NET框架的重大危险源管理系统的设计与开发

从重大危险源安全监管的现实需要出发,研究了重大危险源管理信息系统的总体框架及其软、硬件结构,开发出了B/S结构的重大危险源管理信息系统。介绍了系统的设计模式、基于.NET平台的多层体系构架设计,阐述了系统的集成、查询、发布和工作流的实现等关键技术,实例验证了研究的可行性。     

基于同方差的递增时间序列自回归预测的改善方法

提出了"利用反双曲正弦函数变换提高数据列光滑程度"的新结论,获得了递增时间序列改善的自回归预测新方法。