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961.
Vehicles instrumented with Global Positioning Systems, also known as GPS probe vehicles, have become increasingly popular for collecting traffic flow data. Previous studies have explored the probe vehicle data for estimating speeds and travel time; however, there is very limited research on predicting queue dynamics from such data. In this research, a methodology was developed for identifying the lane position of the GPS-instrumented vehicles when they are standing in the queue at signalized intersections with multiple lanes, particularly in the case of unequal queue. Various supervised and unsupervised clustering methods were tested on data generated from a microsimulation model. Among the tested methods, the Optimal Bayes Rule that utilizes probability density functions estimated using bivariate statistical mixture models was found to be effective in identifying the lanes. The methodology for lane identification was tested for queue length estimation. This research confirms that the lane identification is an important step required prior to the queue length estimation. The accuracies of the models for lane identification and queue length estimation were evaluated at varying levels of demand and probe vehicle market penetrations. In general, as the market penetration increases, the accuracy improves as expected. The result shows that 40% market penetration rate is adequate to reach about 90% accuracy. 相似文献
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The parallel processing based on the free running model test was adopted to predict the interac-tion force coefficients (flow straightening coefficient and wake fraction) of ship maneuvering. And the multi-population genetic algorithm (MPGA) based on real coding that can contemporarily process the data of freerunning model and simulation of ship maneuvering was applied to solve the problem. Accordingly the optimalindividual was obtained using the method of genetic algorithm. The parallel processing of multi-populationsolved the prematurity in the identification for single population, meanwhile, the parallel processing of the dataof ship maneuvering (turning motion and zigzag motion) is an attempt to solve the coefficient drift problem.In order to validate the method, the interaction force coefficients were verified by the procedure and thesecoefficients measured were compared with those ones identified. The maximum error is less than 5%, and theidentification is an effective method. 相似文献
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包装系统可看作是多自由度系统,将该系统的暂态响应信号用Prony方法进行拟合,可求出系统各模态参数.介绍了确定系统阶数的方法,并且利用高阶Prony模型和时反信号可在噪声中准确求出各模态参数.模拟结果表明,本方法具有良好的稳健性,可用于识别包装系统的阶数和各模态参数. 相似文献
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采用流体分析软件Fluent,对典型船舶密闭舱室双层底进行二氧化碳气体保护焊接作业时的局部通风风流流场、有害气体CO2及CO浓度场分布进行数值模拟分析,确定有害气体扩散的数学模型。通过设置组分源项的方法利用组分输运方程得出在一定通风量的情况下CO2及CO气体的浓度分布规律,并与实测数据作对比,结果基本一致,由此可根据不同通风条件下确定焊接作业危险区域,为防止CO2集聚和CO中毒采取有效措施提供理论依据。 相似文献
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