街道设计理念下工程实践的若干思考

“完整街道”、“街道设计”等城市道路改造设计理念开始广泛应用于城市道路旧改等实际工程项目。然而，街道设计理念与传统的设计习惯、道路管理模式及使用者的接受程度，依然在现实应用以及工程实施上存在较大的分歧。以深圳市罗湖区道路设施品质提升工程和深圳市罗湖区精品示范路工程两个项目为工程背景，分别从宏观的街道空间改造和部分微观细节设计两个角度，分析项目实施过程中存在的难点和优化处置方案，为后续工程实践以及相关街道设计导则优化提供借鉴。     

城市综合交通调查的规范与创新

城市综合交通调查在中国已有30余年的广泛实践,当前的信息化和大数据背景下正历经发展与变革.在分析城市综合交通调查现状问题的基础上,提出制定《城市综合交通体系规划交通调查导则》(以下简称《导则》)的必要性.从目标与总体框架、调查项目分类、术语定义、调查内容与问题选项分类、调查流程规范几个层面对《导则》的主要思想与关键内容进行解析.提出城市综合交通调查未来发展方向应是将信息化技术与传统调查手段结合,提高调查效率与质量,关注信息化手段未能涵盖的交通特征.     

Using the built environment to oversample walk,transit, and bicycle travel

Characteristics of the built environment (BE) have been associated with walk, transit, and bicycle travel. These BE characteristics can be used by transportation researchers to oversample households from areas where walk, transit, or bicycle travel is more likely, resulting in more observations of these uncommon travel behaviors. Little guidance, however, is available on the effectiveness of such built environment oversampling strategies. This article presents measures that can be used to assess the effectiveness of BE oversampling strategies and inform future efforts to oversample households with uncommon travel behaviors. The measures are sensitivity and specificity, positive likelihood ratio (LR+), and positive predictive value (PPV). To illustrate these measures, they were calculated for 10 BE-defined oversampling strata applied post-hoc to a Seattle area household travel survey. Strata with an average block size of <10 acres within a ¼ mile of household residences held the single greatest potential for oversampling households that walk, use transit, and/or bicycle.     

Multi-step prediction of experienced travel times using agent-based modeling

This paper develops an agent-based modeling approach to predict multi-step ahead experienced travel times using real-time and historical spatiotemporal traffic data. At the microscopic level, each agent represents an expert in a decision-making system. Each expert predicts the travel time for each time interval according to experiences from a historical dataset. A set of agent interactions is developed to preserve agents that correspond to traffic patterns similar to the real-time measurements and replace invalid agents or agents associated with negligible weights with new agents. Consequently, the aggregation of each agent’s recommendation (predicted travel time with associated weight) provides a macroscopic level of output, namely the predicted travel time distribution. Probe vehicle data from a 95-mile freeway stretch along I-64 and I-264 are used to test different predictors. The results show that the agent-based modeling approach produces the least prediction error compared to other state-of-the-practice and state-of-the-art methods (instantaneous travel time, historical average and k-nearest neighbor), and maintains less than a 9% prediction error for trip departures up to 60 min into the future for a two-hour trip. Moreover, the confidence boundaries of the predicted travel times demonstrate that the proposed approach also provides high accuracy in predicting travel time confidence intervals. Finally, the proposed approach does not require offline training thus making it easily transferable to other locations and the fast algorithm computation allows the proposed approach to be implemented in real-time applications in Traffic Management Centers.     

谈防止船舶碰撞的方法

防止船舶发生碰撞事故，是保证船舶安全航行的重要环节，是驾驶人员在航行值班中的首要职责。笔者在长期教学和实践中总结而得的“各走自己的航路”、“加强嘹望”、“使用安全航速”、“正确使用信号”等方法，对防止船舶碰撞起到了一定的作用。     

中心城区主干路改造的设计要点探讨

中心城区主干路一般建成时间较早,随着城市化进程的加快和社会经济的发展,现状市政交通、管线已不能满足沿线用户的需求;路面出现不同程度损坏,影响了行车的安全性和舒适性;沿线各类城市市政设施缺乏统一性和规范性,严重影响了道路交通和城市周边形象,制约了城市形象的提升和进一步发展.针对中心城区主干路改造的设计要点,从道路功能定位、纵断面控制、路面材料、轨道交通协调与管理、现有乔木的处理等方面进行阐述.     

旧路改造期间运营安全评价

旧路改造期间不断交施工,交通量较大,应对其运营安全预先分析评价。通过对沿线设施预先危险性分析可知,危险因素等级均为Ⅱ级,并提出防范措施。通过对改建期运营预先危险性分析可知,危险因素中车辆伤害、起重伤害等级为Ⅲ级,对可能造成人员重大伤亡及设施严重破坏的灾难性事故,应立即采取防范对策。     

基于EDR数据的无轮胎印迹交通事故重建方法研究

交通事故重建是交通事故分析、交通事故司法鉴定、交通事故深度调查的重要手段。传统的交通事故重建方法对现场轮胎印迹及车体痕迹依赖程度较高,随着汽车主动安全技术的发展,交通事故中的轮胎印迹越来越少,交通事故重建的技术难度逐渐增大。与此同时汽车ECU数据处理能力不断提高,以EDR为代表的数据记录装置为交通事故重建提供了新途径。     

下穿铁路框架桥纵横梁加固体系的改进和应用

顶进框架桥的线路加固系统的安全性及稳定性决定了桥涵顶进施工的顺利与否,特别是在地下水位高、软土地区进行此类施工时,路基塌方成为了重大危险源。结合金钟路下穿北环铁路框架桥工程,介绍了大纵梁线路加固体系,施工实践证明此加固体系提高了该类地区顶进框架桥施工的安全系数。     

MAS在机场路面路径优化中的应用研究

利用多Agent技术,研究进出港航班滑行路径的优化问题,为刚降落和即将出港的航班规划最短滑行路径,判断航班在规划的滑行路径上是否会发生对头相遇.由于多Agent技术更能体现人类的社会智能,更适合开放的、动态的社会环境,因此引进这一技术对进出航班滑行路径进行优化.文中将每架飞机被看作是一个Agent;将跑道,滑行道,停机位等看作是资源Agent;在多Agent环境下,优化出最佳的滑行路径.