基于船模试验数据库的快速性预报研究

充分利用已发展成熟的计算机技术，依托上海船研所的船模试验数据库，进行基于船模试验数据库的快速性预报研究．并据此开发一套快速、高效、实用的新船快速性预报系统，给传统的母型船预报法注入新的活力。最后，给出算例并对其结果进行分析对比。本系统关键是数据库的准确和丰富，预报的水平则取决于所选的母型船。     

轮对纵向振动与机车车辆相关问题研究

借助于1个整车模型,观察到轮对相对于构架实际上始终存在纵向振动,而且这种振动在某些中低速范围内有可能发展为强烈的共振;另一方面,轮对相对构架的强烈振动,也可能成为车轮非正常磨耗即剥离以及某些波长轨道波磨的一个重要因素。本文对轮对纵向共振的形成条件进行了分析,给出了近似计算判据,并对车辆主要参数对共振的影响进行了分析,最后给出了一种抑制纵向振动的建议方案。     

流固耦合振动流体边界元拟湿模态综合法

本文用流体边界元结合結构模态综合技术对大型结构的流固耦合问题的计算方法进行了研究。基于对用常数边界元计算附连水质量的物理意义的研究,并结合结构部分的计算,提出了一种假设的模态——拟湿模态。数值计算表明,本文的理论结果有足够的精度。     

1/32° real-time global ocean prediction and value-added over 1/16° resolution

A 1/32° global ocean nowcast/forecast system has been developed by the Naval Research Laboratory at the Stennis Space Center. It started running at the Naval Oceanographic Office in near real-time on 1 Nov. 2003 and has been running daily in real-time since 1 Mar. 2005. It became an operational system on 6 March 2006, replacing the existing 1/16° system which ceased operation on 12 March 2006. Both systems use the NRL Layered Ocean Model (NLOM) with assimilation of sea surface height from satellite altimeters and sea surface temperature from multi-channel satellite infrared radiometers. Real-time and archived results are available online at http://www.ocean.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_nlom. The 1/32° system has improvements over the earlier system that can be grouped into two categories: (1) better resolution and representation of dynamical processes and (2) design modifications. The design modifications are the result of accrued knowledge since the development of the earlier 1/16° system. The improved horizontal resolution of the 1/32° system has significant dynamical benefits which increase the ability of the model to accurately nowcast and skillfully forecast. At the finer resolution, current pathways and their transports become more accurate, the sea surface height (SSH) variability increases and becomes more realistic and even the global ocean circulation experiences some changes (including inter-basin exchange). These improvements make the 1/32° system a better dynamical interpolator of assimilated satellite altimeter track data, using a one-day model forecast as the first guess. The result is quantitatively more accurate nowcasts, as is illustrated by several model-data comparisons. Based on comparisons with ocean color imagery in the northwestern Arabian Sea and the Gulf of Oman, the 1/32° system has even demonstrated the ability to map small eddies, 25–75 km in diameter, with 70% reliability and a median eddy center location error of 22.5 km, a surprising and unanticipated result from assimilation of altimeter track data. For all of the eddies (50% small eddies), the reliability was 80% and the median eddy center location error was 29 km. The 1/32° system also exhibits improved forecast skill in relation to the 1/16° system. This is due to (a) a more accurate initial condition for the forecast and (b) better resolution and representation of critical dynamical processes (such as upper ocean – topographic coupling via mesoscale flow instabilities) which allow the model to more accurately evolve these features in time while running in forecast mode (forecast atmospheric forcing for the first 5 days, then gradually reverting toward climatology for the remainder of the 30-day forecast period). At 1/32° resolution, forecast SSH generally compares better with unassimilated observations and the anomaly correlation of the forecast SSH exceeds that from persistence by a larger amount than found in the 1/16° system.     

组合预测模型在上海内河港口吞吐量预测中的应用

建立时间序列和二元线性回归的组合预测模型,对上海内河港口2010年、2015年和2020年的货物吞吐量水平进行了预测。研究发现,组合预测模型相比单个预测方法具有较高的精度,能够较准确地预测上海内河港口货物吞吐量。     

潜艇结构振动声辐射数值计算

采用有限元／边界元法对潜艇水下辐射噪声特性进行了研究。依据潜艇各种真实的结构尺寸和设备参数，利用有限元软件ANSYS建立了接近于真实潜艇的有限元模型，并利用该模型来计算潜艇在水下低速航行时200Hz以下频率段的辐射噪声。首先计算了潜艇在电机激励时非耐压壳体表面节点的位移，然后将计算所得的位移结果转换成节点速度导入SYSNOISE边界元模型，以作为边界元计算时的边界条件来研究潜艇的辐射噪声，最后将计算结果与实际测量结果进行了对比，结果显示，在63Hz以下的准确性较高，而在63—200Hz频率段的误差则较大。     

斜拉拱桥自振特性分析

以湘潭市湘江四桥为例,利用大型通用有限元程序建立了斜拉拱桥的2种三维空间有限元模型,计算该桥梁结构的自振频率和振型,分析主要结构参数对振动特性的影响,并与同等跨度的系杆拱桥自振特性进行对比分析。从计算数据可以看出,梁杆系模型具有足够的精度,是一种较为合理适用的分析方法。横向刚度对结构的稳定性起控制作用,该桥横撑位置和数目的变化对结构的自振特性影响较大,其数目适当增加,能有效提高结构的横向刚度,而斜拉索和索塔刚度对其影响相对较小。上述结果和结论可为该桥的设计、施工以及使用阶段的健康检测和维护提供技术参数和依据。     

基于Hilbert-Huang变换的柴油机气门漏气故障诊断研究

分析柴油机漏气故障的振动诊断机理,阐明Hilbert谱与傅里叶谱的区别,通过引入Hilbert-Huang变换这种新的时频分析方法成功诊断了气门漏气故障。     

振动压路机工作振动对民宅影响的监测与分析

为评价振动压路机施工振动对民宅的影响,对京福高速公路徐州西绕城8标小山村路段压路振动进行了实地监测。用简化的地面振动衰减公式计算回归振动压路机地面振动数据,得出在该地质条件下地面振动衰减关系,并对该地质条件下振动压路机工作振动的影响进行了分析和评价。