6500DWT散货船船体结构断裂分析研究

文章以6500DWT散货船为例,分析了船舶装载时船底和舷侧发生断裂的主要原因,并根据规范对本船强度进行了有限元计算,具体分析了随着装载量的不断增大对船体内部结构的影响,从而为该类船装货提供评判依据,提高船舶装载监管力度     

浅谈交通工程在交通事故中的主要问题及预防对策

安全是交通工程中需要考虑的第一因素,在交通安全研究中,发现交通事故与某些交通工程设计不合理有一定的因果关系。合理运用交通工程的相关理论,制定出相应的预防措施,对预防交通事故方面具有重要意义。     

道路交通事故发生机理与实例分析

交通事故发生机理是认识道路交通事故发生过程、交通事故预防和改善交通安全的基础。文章以道路交通系统为研究对象,分析道路交通事故的形成过程,将交通事故发生机理分为驾驶行为差错类事故发生机理、外部因素突变类事故发生机理、综合性事故发生机理三类,并在此基础上绘制了道路交通事故发生机理图,同时结合国道109线兰州八盘村路段进行了实例分析。     

基于轮胎印迹的事故再现方法研究

首先建立了相机的三维摄影测量模型,用于轮胎印迹的准确勘测和建模。然后建立了车辆运动及碰撞过程中的动力学模型,用以模拟车辆在碰撞前、碰撞过程及碰撞后的运动轨迹,和摄影测量得到的轮胎印迹模型比较,采用轨迹优化的方法实现交通事故在计算机上的三维模拟再现。最后通过在典型事故再现中的应用阐述此方法的应用价值。     

道路交通事故再现模拟分析系统的研究

本文研究开发了道路交通事故再现模拟分析系统。基于现实世界中事故形态千差万别的特点，采用人工智能技术、使用不同于其它系统的参数子集建立模型，根据特定事故形态特点进行模型假设。采用虚拟现实技术，以Opengl接口开发了三维动画演示模块，在虚拟世界中演示车辆运动，允许用户改变场景元素。系统中还开发了车辆技术参数数据库。并用此系统对实际的事故进行了模拟分析，与PC－CRASH系统的结果进行了对比，结果基本一致。     

船舶碰撞事故的预控预防

在内河船舶水上交通事故中,碰撞事故所占的比例最高,本文在分析了碰撞事故带来的危害后,从六个方面分析了事故发生的可能原因,从而提出自己对事故的预防控制的见解     

Climate change modeling and the weather-related road accidents in Canada

The objective of this research is to study the impact of climate change on the hazardous weather-related road accidents in the New Brunswick, Canada. We develop an Exposure to Weather-Accident Severity (EWAS) index multiplying accident and weather severity. The Negative Binomial Regression and Poisson regression models are applied to estimate the spatial–temporal relationship between the EWAS index and weather-related explanatory variables of road accidents. The regression results show that the surface-weather condition, weather, driver’s gender, weather-driver’s age, weather-driver’s experience, and weather-vehicle’s age have strong positive correlation with the EWAS index, while the surface-road alignment and surface-road characteristics have negative relationship with the EWAS index. The climate change model also indicates that the number of accidents declines during snowy and freezing days—most people stay at home and those who travel extra cautious—accidents do occur. The study suggests that the Road Safety Strategy 2015 of the Transport Canada should take a holistic approach to help minimize the incidences of severe road accident during the normal as well as hazardous weather conditions.     

The impact of road improvements on road safety and related characteristics

This paper presents the historical and cultural background relating to road improvement and road safety characteristics in Kenya, a developing country in East Africa. Some who come from low-developed areas of developing countries often take time to comprehend the modern transportation infrastructure, especially roads, and have difficulty assimilating and customizing the same to their culturally tailored modes.This paper discusses two case studies: one on the socio-economic impact following improvements to a 50-km, high-class, high-traffic-volume road and the other on the monitoring and evaluation of road safety aspects along the Northern Corridor in Kenya also following major road improvements.The road improvements to the Nairobi-Thika Highway (a trunk road) have attracted many investors along the highway corridor. The high-speed road has also brought with it the unfortunate consequence of speeding vehicles colliding with pedestrians crossing the road at undesignated locations.The Northern Corridor, the transportation corridor that links the Great Lakes Countries of the Democratic Republic of Congo, Burundi, Rwanda, and Uganda from the port of Mombasa in Kenya, has had high accident rates for a considerable amount of time. The results of monitoring and evaluation exercises on the Northern Corridor have shown that drivers are the major contributors in causing accidents, with a component ratio of 49.4%; pedestrians are next at 21.7%. Data also shows that 24% of the accidents along the Northern Corridor are fatal, which is of major concern. The study additionally indicated that the majority of road users have not been exposed to education or training on road safety.This paper presents a number of recommendations arising from the road safety study regarding possible improvements in aspects of road safety along the corridor and potential applications of those changes to other roads in general. For example, there are recommendations related to the geometric design of the road, driver training and behavior, vehicle maintenance, and the need to enhance road safety through the utilization of road safety parks where road users can undergo training and drills on road safety aspects.In conclusion, we argue that the rehabilitation of the Northern Corridor from Mombasa on the Kenyan coast to the border with Uganda has led to significant road safety improvement.     

Predicting duration of traffic accidents based on cost-sensitive Bayesian network and weighted K-nearest neighbor

Abstract

With the development of urbanization, road congestion has become increasingly serious, and an important cause is the traffic accidents. In this article, we aim to predict the duration of traffic accidents given a set of historical records and the feature of the new accident, which can be collected from the vehicle sensors, in order to help guide the congestion and restore the road. Existing work on predicting the duration of accidents seldom consider the imbalance of samples, the interaction of attributes, and the cost-sensitive problem sufficiently. Therefore, in this article, we propose a two-level model, which consists of a cost-sensitive Bayesian network and a weighted K-nearest neighbor model, to predict the duration of accidents. After data preprocessing and variance analysis on the traffic accident data of Xiamen City in 2015, the model uses some important discrete attributes for classification, and then utilizes the remaining attributes for K-nearest neighbor regression prediction. The experiment results show that our proposed approach to predicting the duration of accidents achieves higher accuracy compared with classical models.     

基于最小二乘法的事故再现分析

从提高计算机模拟汽车碰撞事故的实用性出发，以物理学和力学为基础，结合恢复系数、摩擦系数等建立车辆碰撞的力学模型，以已知的碰撞参数离差最小为目标，提出采用穷举法，通过计算机编程来实现基于最小二乘法模型的目标函数求解，进行汽车碰撞事故再现分析，通过对一实际交通事故案例的分析，验证了所采用的方法对事故再现的实用性。