基于DEA的中国铁路物流化运营绩效评价

总结了中国铁路物流化进程中的一些政策措施,运用DEA分析法对中国铁路物流化货运组织的运营绩效进行研究,得出中国铁路向现代物流转化势在必行,刻不容缓。通过建立模型,对铁路工资总额、营业里程、机车数、货车数、货运周转量进行综合评价。分析了1984～2007年整个铁路营运绩效。1986年～1989年整个铁路运营绩效呈上升趋势。1990年～1997年的效率水平具有波动性,但总体呈下降趋势,其中1996～1998年还出现了规模收益递减。1998年至今随着现代铁路物流理念下的铁路行业技术水平提高以及铁路不断提速等,带来了铁路运营绩效的同比增长。     

美国铁路货车车钩发展及技术研究

简述了美国铁路货车车钩的发展历程、种类和规范标准,分析了美国近几年在铁路货车车钩技术方面的研究情况,找出了我国铁路货车车钩研究的差距并提出了建议。     

俄罗斯货车制动系统的改进

分析了俄罗斯国内及国外制动机的设计方案,提出了适应独联体国家铁路制动机运用检修条件的新方案。     

灰铸铁摩擦楔的整体表面淬火强化

介绍了货车转向架减振器铸铁摩擦楔在结构上采用倾斜面单一接触面方案,在工艺上采用整体表面淬火的效果。     

出口澳大利亚30t轴重ZK1—K型转向架的研制

介绍了出口澳大利亚30t轴重ZK1—K型转向架的主要技术特征、技术参数和结构,并对其强度和动力学性能进行了计算与试验。结果表明,该转向架的各项指标均满足相关标准的要求。     

铁路货车工艺工程化研究

为全面提升铁路货车制造工艺技术水平,以铁路货车设计、制造工艺现有的不足为切入点,提出设计、工艺并行理念,深化基础工艺和工艺可靠性研究,推行货车工艺的工程化,采用精益制造模式,以提升工艺研发手段来实现货车的高质量制造。     

关于提高货车制动系统关键部件可靠性方法的探讨

通过对我国现有铁路货车制动系统进行分析,并与国外先进制动系统对比,得出我国货车制动系统存在检修周期短、关键零部件可靠性不高的问题。同时,根据目前存在的问题,简要论述提高我国货车制动系统可靠性的方法。     

基于期权理论的铁路货运定价模型

为了规避铁路运输企业和协议客户在市场价格波动情况下所面临的风险,在铁路货运的定价过程中引入期权的概念,利用二叉树模型为期权定价,在此基础上构建了基于铁路运输企业和协议客户收益最大条件下的铁路货运定价模型。研究结果表明:通过铁路运输企业和协议客户的最优定价决策可以求得铁路运输企业制定的协议价格和协议客户的期权购买量;协议价格与现货市场价格正相关,与铁路运输企业的长期准备成本正相关、短期准备成本负相关;随着期权价格和期权执行价格的升高,协议客户在契约市场所购买的期权数量逐渐减少。     

Total cost analysis: An alternative to benefit-cost analysis in evaluating transportation alternatives

This paper explains the theory in support of total cost analysis (TCA) to compare transportation system alternatives. The full costs of each alternative are first aggregated, including travel time costs and monetizable environmental and social costs. Many costs which are considered on the benefits side of the equation in benefit-cost analysis (BCA) as "cost savings" are brought over to the costs side. Total cost differences among alternatives are then traded off against their estimated non-monetized benefits or impacts, just as a consumer trades off product quality against cost before deciding which product he or she will buy. One advantage of TCA over traditional BCA is that the concept of "total cost" is more easily understood by the public and by political decision-makers than BCA concepts such as "net present worth", "benefit-cost ratio" and "internal rate of return". A second advantage is that there is no suggestion that all "benefits" have been considered; decision-makers are free to use their own value judgements to trade off total cost against non-monetizable social, environmental and economic impacts, just as they trade off quality and convenience against cost when purchasing goods and services in their roles as consumers. The TCA approach is demonstrated in this paper through a case study of two systemwide alternatives for the Baltimore, MD urban area.     

Uncertain demand,modal competition and optimal price-capacity adjustments in air transportation

A new microeconomic model for the operation of an airline facing modal competition with uncertain total demand is developed to analyze optimal price capacity combinations. The novelty is the treatment of the capacity restriction, which is not viewed as affecting negatively individual preferences (e.g. probability of a full flight), but does influence aggregate utility. A mode choice model is used to represent unrestricted individual preferences assuming full availability (phone call demand); air capacity is treated as a variable that acts on the actual choice set. Restricted choices and total demand stochasticity are integrated in welfare calculations (users' benefits and profits). Numerical examples are given and results are analyzed in terms of load factors fare levels, and sensitivity to the stochasticity of requests.This research was partially funded by FONDECYT, Chile, Direction Génerale de l'Aviation Civile, France, the Andes Foundation and the Fulbright Commission.