信号检测论在船舶了望中的应用

船舶海上了望的过程就是采集和处理海上信息并判断海上危险的过程,其重点是将威胁船舶安全的有关信息检测和筛选出来。这是一种信号检测的过程。利用实验心理学中的信号检测论揭示了望信息检测中的规律,可为海上了望信息的收集和处理提供理论依据,并确立“疑险从有”的海上信息处理原则。     

从马斯洛需求层次论看饭店餐饮服务质量的改进

饭店餐饮服务质量的好坏决定着餐饮企业的顾客满意度,决定了企业的利润,因此,提升饭店餐饮服务质量刻不容缓．从餐饮企业的角度来说,马斯洛需求层次理论也界定了餐饮服务需求的层次,认真分析饭店餐饮服务需求的不同层次以及不同层次的服务存在的问题,对提升饭店餐饮服务质量有着极其重要的意义．     

基于博弈论的公交枢纽规划布局方案评价

本文在对传统规划布局方案评价方法存在的不足进行分析的基础上，提出运用博弈论对公交枢纽规划布局方案进行评价，并给出了博弈模型和算法，以期达到最优布局。     

Weather and road geometry impact on longitudinal driving behavior: Exploratory analysis using an empirically supported acceleration modeling framework

The objective of this paper is to quantify and characterize driver behavior under different roadway geometries and weather conditions. In order to explore how a driver perceives the rapidly changing driving surrounding (i.e. different weather conditions and road geometry configurations) and executes acceleration maneuvers accordingly, this paper extends a Prospect Theory based acceleration modeling framework. A driving simulator is utilized to conduct 76 driving experiments. Foggy weather, icy and wet roadway surfaces, horizontal and vertical curves, and different lane and shoulder widths are simulated while having participants driving behind a yellow cab at speeds/headways of their choice. After studying the driving trends observed in the different driving experiments, the extended Prospect Theory based acceleration model is calibrated using the produced trajectory data. The extended Prospect Theory based model parameters are able to reflect a change in risk-perception and acceleration maneuvering when receiving different parameterized exogenous information. The results indicate that drivers invest more attention and effort to deal with the roadway challenges compared to the effort to deal with the weather conditions. Moreover, the calibrated model is used to simulate a highway segment and observe the produced fundamental diagram. The preliminary results suggest that the model is capable of capturing driver behavior under different roadway and weather conditions leading to changes in capacity and traffic disruptions.     

Suitability of Decision-Theoretic Models to Public Policy Issues Concerning the Provision of Shoreline Stabilization and Hazard Management

This article examines the suitability and potential advances of decision-theoretic models from finance regarding investment decisions in shoreline stabilization projects. A set of scenarios represents the dynamics of the decision-state facing the planner and identifies factors that should be incorporated into the decision-making process. It is shown that decision models from finance can account for the risk and uncertainty inherent in shoreline stabilization projects, potentially suggest improvements and refinements to presently used cost-benefit analysis procedures, and offer new tools that can aid in decisions concerning provision of shoreline stabilization. The outcomes of these scenarios justify better planning and control of existing and future building, and that of poststorm policies. Lastly, these models allow us to explore the range of our understanding of coastal processes and interactions with shoreline stabilization projects and can identify new and useful data needed in coastal management and hazard management decisions.     

汽车车身开发中的并行工程研究

并行工程为汽车产品开发快速适应市场需求与变化,降低产品开发成本提供了行之有效解决方法,文章旨在阐述并行工程在车身开发中的重要意义。文章分析车身开发中并行工程的运行机理,车身开发中并行工程的实施要素以及车身开发并行工程的主要内容,阐述了合理运用并行工程可以加快产品研发速度、缩短开发周期、降低研发和制造成本、提高产品质量。基于并行工程的车身开发已经成为汽车生产企业必行之路。     

汉英格标记对比与翻译策略研究

文章简要介绍了格理论,指出汉语和英语各有一套格标记系统,这也构成了对两种语言的格标记进行对比的基础。文章讨论了汉语格标记的常用手段,并在对汉英语格标记对比的基础上提出了在翻译实践中常可采用的相应的翻译策略。     

基于Hoek理论考虑地震力作用的楔形体稳定性计算分析

Hoek理论是楔形体问题分析及计算的常用理论,它假定各滑面均为平面,以各滑面总抗滑力与楔形体总下滑力的比值来确定安全系数。但传统的Hoek理论未考虑地震力的影响,对需要考虑地震作用的地区其应用受限。基于Hoek理论采用极限平衡法的分析原理,将地震对楔形体的作用力纳入Hoek理论,从而得到一个考虑地震作用下楔形体稳定性的计算方法,并应用在临岳高速公路边坡的稳定性分析上,与实际情况吻合,说明推导的计算方法是正确的。     

Transition to a cyclable city: Latent variables affecting bicycle commuting

An understanding of the key factors influencing bicycle commuting is essential for developing effective policies towards a cyclable city. This paper contributes to this line of research by proposing a methodology for including cycling-related indicators in mobility surveys based on the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB), and applying an exploratory factor analysis (EFA) to evaluate the structure of latent variables associated with bicycle commuting. The EFA identified six cycling latent variables: Lifestyle, Safety and comfort, Awareness, Direct disadvantages, Subjective norm, and Individual capabilities. These were complemented with a latent variable related to habit: Non-commuting cycling habit. Statistical differences and regression analysis were applied with the cycling latent variables. The study also includes the relationship between objective factors and bicycle commuting, which reveals minor associations. This methodology was applied to the “starter cycling city” of Vitoria-Gasteiz (Spain). The results confirm that in this context – in transition to a cyclable city – safety and comfort issues are not the main barriers for all commuters, although more progress needs to be made to normalise cycling. A set of customised policy initiatives is recommended in the light of the research findings, including marketing campaigns to encourage non-commuting cycling trips, bicycle measures to target social groups as opposed to individuals, bicycle-specific programs such as “Bike-to-work Days”, and cycling courses.     

大客流扰动下的北京地铁脆弱性研究

近年来大客流对北京地铁的冲击使车站负荷强度不断增大,车站日常运营存在安全隐患,地铁系统逐渐呈现出脆弱性。地铁脆弱性表现为暴露度、易感度和适应度。鉴于地铁脆弱性体系具有层级性、定性定量结合性、多专家决策性、指标灰性等特点,综合运用层次分析法、灰色理论、模糊综合评价以及多专家决策理论,构建群体灰色层次模糊评价法(GGAHP)。基于指标体系评价法,根据现场考察、专家座谈等方式完成大客流扰动对北京地铁安全运营的影响因素识别,通过模糊德尔菲法建立评价指标体系,通过定量分析与定性评价相结合的方法,对北京地铁客流压力较大的典型车站进行脆弱性评价,并对评价结果进行分析总结。