Generalized transport costs and index numbers: A geographical analysis of economic and infrastructure fundamentals

We rely on the economic theory approach to index numbers to improve the existing definitions and decompositions of variations in generalized transport costs (GTCs). As a value index, we decompose GTCs into price and quantity indices associated to economic—market—costs and infrastructure variables—distance and time within a network. The methodology allows the accurate identification of the sources of GTCs decline. We illustrate it for the case of road freight transportation in Spain between 1980 and 2007 and at a highly detailed geographical level. Average GTCs weighted by trade flows have decreased by 16.3%, with infrastructure driving that reduction. We find large territorial disparities in GTCs, but also significant geographical clusters where the market and network indices show spatial association.     

基于顾客价值的汽车销售企业顾客满意度指标体系研究

文章采用顾客价值及层次分析法、专家赋权法、顾客赋权法等多种决策理论方法,结合广西汽车销售市场特点,建立汽车销售企业顾客满意度指标评价体系,对购车顾客满意度进行定性及定量分析,为广西汽车销售企业客观评价顾客满意度及制定更具针对性的产品服务改进策略提供方法依据.     

基于GIS技术的地质灾害易发程度分区评价系统

文中结合大连市区地质灾害调查与区划项目,建立了一套基于GIS的地质灾害易发程度分区评价模型。并将多级模糊模式识别模型引入到地质灾害易发程度分区评价中,研究和探讨GIS与地质灾害易发程度分区评价模型的结合,为解决地质灾害调查与区划项目中地质灾害易发程度分区提供新的理论方法。     

An improvement in rollover detection of articulated vehicles using the grey system theory

A Rollover Index combined with the grey system theory, called a Grey Rollover Index (GRI), is proposed to assess the rollover threat for articulated vehicles with a tractor–semitrailer combination. This index can predict future trends of vehicle dynamics based on current vehicle motion; thus, it is suitable for vehicle-rollover detection. Two difficulties are encountered when applying the GRI for rollover detection. The first difficulty is effectively predicting the rollover threat of the vehicles, and the second difficulty is achieving a definite definition of the real rollover timing of a vehicle. The following methods are used to resolve these problems. First, a nonlinear mathematical model is constructed to accurately describe the vehicle dynamics of articulated vehicles. This model is combined with the GRI to predict rollover propensity. Finally, TruckSim^? software is used to determine the real rollover timing and facilitate the accurate supply of information to the rollover detection system through the GRI. This index is used to verify the simulation based on the common manoeuvres that cause rollover accidents to reduce the occurrence of false signals and effectively increase the efficiency of the rollover detection system.     

船舶制冷系统的优化控制

制冷系统的优化控制是指优化指标的确定，系统模型的认识，控制决策及工程实现等。本文从工程操作，运行管理方面研究上述内容，并通过PLC可编程序控制，完成一个非线性系统优化实现方案。     

公路隧道技术状况评价体系研究

根据公路隧道养护工作的特点,在国内外隧道评价研究的基础上,建立了具有区域特点的多层次公路隧道技术状况评价体系,将隧道土建结构、机电设施、其他工程设施和运营安全管理统一纳入到该体系中,提出了基于AHP法和Delphi法的隧道评价方法及状态划分原则,评价结果可为隧道检测、养护和维修提供科学的决策支持.     

Origins,Management, and Measurement of Stress on the Coast of Southern Spain

A series of boater compliance studies was performed between 1995 and 1998 in order to assess the effectiveness of existing speed zones designed to protect manatees in two Florida counties (Sarasota County and Lee County). Surveys involved teams of boat- or land-based observers positioned along speed-restricted waterways. Vessel characteristics were recorded along with observed speed. Multiple survey sites were sampled within each county. A total of 26,000 vessels was observed and evaluated. Overall boater compliance was 63% in Sarasota County and 58% in Lee County. Compliance varied significantly with vessel type and size. Differences in compliance among survey sites were also significant and were related to travel patterns, traffic volume, vessel composition, sign placement, level of speed restriction, and law enforcement presence. From a management perspective, it is recommended that speed zones for the protection of manatees be evaluated on a site-by-site basis to identify specific areas of concern.     

我国足彩业发展营销对策研究——以动态凯利指数实力对比投注法为基础

本文阐述了动态凯利指数实力对比投注法的内容和使用方法,此方法是精准率高的足球彩票投注方法。对此方法进行推广,应用于我国的足彩业以及体育彩票业,并运用建立数据库和收索引擎、进行契约式联合投注、建立专门的彩票业商业信息机构等营销对策,将大力发展我国的足彩业以致体育彩票业。     

Effect of acitretin on the T helper cells of psoriasis vulgaris

Objective To investigate the effects of acitretin on T helper cell (Th) 1/Th2 balance and Th17 cells in psoriasis vulgaris (PV) patients. Methods A total of 13 men and 17 women with PV were investigated. 10 mg of acitretin was administered twice a day for 8 weeks for intervention therapy. Serum levels of interferon-gamma (IFN-γ), interleukin (IL)-4 and IL-17 were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. T, Th1, Th2 and Th17 cells in skin biopsies were counted with double-labeled immunofluorescence. Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) score was calculated before and 8 weeks after treatment. Results Before treatment PV patients had higher serum levels of IFN-γ and IL-17, and increased T, Th1 and Th17 cells in skin biopsies. After treatment, both serum levels of IFN-γ and IL-17, and T, Th1 and Th17 cells infiltrating in PV skin decreased significantly. Th1/Th2 balance was restored to normal. However, their IL-4 and Th2 cells showed no significant change throughout the therapy. Conclusion Acitretin exerts influence on dermal Th1/Th2 balance and Th17 cell infiltration, so does it on production of systematic inflammatory cytokines IFN-γ and IL-17 in PV patients. However, Th2 cells and its derivative cytokine-IL-4 are not affected.     

我国交通运输业全要素生产率测算方法

为全面掌握我国交通运输业当前的运营状况和生产率水平,更准确地分析交通运输业的经济增长点和更好地促进行业高质量发展,利用Malmquist生产率指数模型,通过对全行业及分领域的投入产出要素的测算,分析了全行业的全要素生产率水平,并对比了行业各领域的全要素生产率发展情况。结果显示：2003—2018年,全行业全要素生产率在平稳波动中有所增长,各分领域的生产率也在波动中不断变化;公路、水路、民航的全要素生产率增长较快,年均增长率在3.6%左右,主要得益于资源配置效率和技术进步率的共同提高;铁路运输业全要素生产率年均增长率较低,低于行业平均水平。根据测算结果分析,应继续推进体制改革,加快行业转型升级步伐,推动资源配置效率的最大化,以提高行业全要素生产率。