多源交通信息条件下的出行行为选择研究

在考虑多源交通信息可能导致信息过剩,从而影响决策者出行选择的条件下,引入决策论的思想,通过对多源交通信息方式发布的特点分析,应用模糊物元理论,建立个体出行的行为选择模型,在熵值法确定客观权重的条件下,根据贴近度的大小对决策方案进行选择,克服出行者的主观经验判断。通过实例计算,证明了不确定型决策在多源交通信息影响下出行者路径选择方面的可用性,客观上能为其提供最优的出行路径。     

全国治理超载超限信息管理系统的数据存储与传输

文章针对目前全国治理公路车辆超载超限信息管理系统的现状,从全国联网的角度分析系统的需求、组网方案、数据存储与传输等关键问题,着重阐述了系统建设中的多业务大数据量的SAN数据存储和流媒体QOS控制方法,为完善全国联网治超系统的建设提供参考。     

时变耦合对含相位阻尼J-C模型线性熵的影响

在腔场为相干态场,原子处于等概率叠加态的初始条件下,采用色散近似方法,研究了存在相位耗散且含与时间成正比变化的场-原子耦合的Jaynes-Cummings模型的线性熵演化特征.数值计算结果表明,与常系数耦合相比较,时变耦合不改变原子和腔场复合系统的线性熵的时间演化,但破坏原子线性熵及场线性熵的振荡周期性.在系统演化初期,时变耦合抑制并延迟原子和场相干性的丢失.耦合系数突变会显著提高子系统线性熵的振荡频率.     

Passenger waiting time and information acquisition using automatic vehicle location for verification

Bus riders utilize a variety of information media to learn how to travel to their destinations and to learn when they should arrive at bus stops. As part of the OCTA (Orange County Transit Authority) Transit Probe evaluation, 1199 passengers were surveyed to measure relationships between information acquisition and waiting time. A unique aspect of the survey was that some of the data could be correlated with automatic‐vehicle‐location (AVL) measurements of bus lateness at stops. Insights are provided as to the types of information riders acquire based on the nature of the trip and demographic characteristics. Insights are also provided as to factors affecting perceived waiting time. We found age group, whether a person needs to arrive at a destination by a specific time, primary language, and whether the person is a first‐time user of the bus line to be significant causal factors.     

基于ANP和粗糙集计算权重的绿色铁路客站评估

建设满足"节能环保"要求的绿色铁路客站,是我国铁路发展的趋势所在,因此铁路客站的绿色等级评估是极有必要的。通过建立绿色铁路客站"四节一环保"评价指标体系,以网络层次分析法(ANP)确定指标主观权重,经典粗糙集理论确定指标客观权重,再通过最小相对熵原理对二者进行优化结合,最后用得出的指标综合权重对银川新铁路客站进行绿色星级评估。结果表明:该权重确定方法既克服了因未考虑各指标之间的依存反馈关系而使主观权重不够准确的弊端,又利用相对熵原理优化并减小了主、客观权重结合的偏差,得出科学合理的组合权重,体现本文指标权重确定方法的有效性和优越性,为更加准确地评估铁路客站的绿色等级提供参考。     

基于模糊综合评价法的馈能悬架结构方案评价

馈能型悬架是可以回收悬架之间振动能量的新型悬架,研究国内外几种馈能型悬架方案的结构和工作原理,运用模糊综合评价法对馈能型悬架的结构方案进行评价.结果表明液电馈能型悬架方案具有明显的优势,是最可行的馈能型悬架结构方案.     

Monitoring marine plankton ecosystems: Identification of the most relevant indicators of the state of an ecosystem

The number of variables involved in the monitoring of an ecosystem can be high and often one of the first stages in the analysis is to reduce the number of variables. We describe a method developed for geological purposes, using the information theory, that enables selection of the most relevant variables. This technique also allows the examination of the asymmetrical relationships between variables. Applied to a set of physical and biological variables (plankton assemblages in four areas of the North Sea), the method shows that biological variables are more informative than physical variables although the controlling factors are mainly physical (sea surface temperature in winter and spring). Among biological variables, diversity measures and warm-water species assemblages are informative for the state of the North Sea pelagic ecosystems while among physical variables sea surface temperature in late winter and early spring are highly informative. Although often used in bioclimatology, the utilisation of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index does not seem to provide a lot of information. The method reveals that only the extreme states of this index has an influence on North Sea pelagic ecosystems. The substantial and persistent changes that were detected in the dynamic regime of the North Sea ecosystems and called regime shift are detected by the method and corresponds to the timing of other shifts described in the literature for some European Systems such as the Baltic and the Mediterranean Sea when both physical and biological variables are considered.     

一种面向海事分支机构的船舶安全管理信息系统的设计

针对直属海事局分支机构船舶安全管理业务的需求，提出一种船舶安全管理信息系统的设计思路。该系统将电子海图平台、船舶交通动态数据和船舶安全管理信息集成，以实现船舶安全管理数字化、信息化、网络化。从系统技术实现角度，对信息管理系统作出详细的设计与分析。     

国内信息

交通部认真做好2008年春节运输工作；交通部开展暴风雷应对准备工作检查确保水上交通安全；交通部公布全国主要港口引航员登轮点。     

C~3Ⅰ系统抗攻击能力评估研究

介绍一种评估C3Ⅰ系统抗攻击能力的方法。首先提出用网络熵的方法进行定量分析,然后用模糊综合评判的方法进行评估,最后结合实例对该方法进行验证,得出评估结论。