Time taken for residents to adopt a new public transport service: examining heterogeneity through duration modelling

When a new public transport service is introduced it would be valuable for public authorities, financing organisations and transport operators to know how long it will take for people to start to use the service and what factors influence this. This paper presents results from research analysing the time taken for residents living close to a new guided bus service to start to use (or adopt) the service. Data was obtained from a sample of residents on whether they used the new service and the number of weeks after the service was introduced before they first used it. Duration modelling has been used to analyse how the likelihood of starting to use the new service changes over time (after the introduction of the service) and to examine what factors influence this. It is found that residents who have not used the new service are increasingly unlikely to use it as time passes. Those residents gaining greater accessibility benefits from the new service are found to be quicker to use the service, although the size of this effect is modest compared to that of other between-resident differences. Allowance for the possibility that there existed a proportion of the sample that would never use the new service was tested using a split population model (SPD) model. The SPD model indicates that 36% of residents will never use the new service and is informative in differentiating factors that influence whether Route 20 is used and when it is used.

基于桥梁挠度长期监测值的动态预测

文章针对重庆高家花园嘉陵江大桥实时健康监测系统的挠度长期监测数据,根据监测信息的时间序列呈季节、循环等非平稳状态特点,介绍采用ARMA时间序列预测模型,对挠度监测数据中所包含的外荷载的变化趋势及结构抗力的衰变信息进行动态预测,同时建立了结构外效应的预测函数。结果表明,采用低阶模型能对挠度监测值进行较好的动态预测。     

BIM与GIS融合技术在航道整治工程中的应用

针对航道整治工程中BIM技术无法管理条带状工程、难以表达工程周边地理信息等难点,通过梳理BIM与GIS数据特点,研究探索BIM与GIS融合技术,提出了通过格式转换、坐标转换和数据关联实现BIM与GIS融合的方法。将研究成果应用在蕲春水道航道整治工程,验证了BIM与GIS融合方法的可行性,实现了BIM与GIS数据一体化浏览、显示、管理、分析等功能,解决了BIM无法管理大范围工程、无法反映工程周边环境的不足,为BIM与GIS技术在航道整治工程中的应用提供了技术支撑。     

基于BIM的数字建造工业化平台中业务管理的多源数据集成关键技术研究

随着BIM技术的不断发展,BIM平台在施工全过程的应用逐渐丰富。集成整合平台背后全生命周期的工程数据,并将数据传递至工程建造各个环节当中进行应用,是BIM平台发挥作用的本质。如何在工程的全生命周期收集和整理工程数据库,并传递至各个工作流程中发挥作用,是开展BIM平台建设的重点。以乌鲁木齐市东进场高架道路工程为实例,重点研究BIM平台中工程数据库的建立,分析如何在项目的设计阶段和施工过程中采集工程数据,并将工程数据库应用于项目管理。     

基于数据驱动的电动汽车动力电池SOC预测

为准确预测电动汽车动力电池的能耗,缓解驾驶者的里程焦虑,本文中提出一种基于数据驱动的电动汽车动力电池SOC预测模型.首先分析电动汽车能耗构成并提取能耗影响因素,接着基于某款电动出租车CAN总线采集的汽车运行数据,采用机器学习算法,提出基于温度分层的能耗模型,通过宏观数据与微观数据的融合减小误差,最后使用该模型对车载BM...     

铁路客车轮对踏面硌伤自动分析系统的研究与实现

为了解决客车轮对踏面硌伤人工分析效率低且质量不高的问题,基于大数据关联分析技术,构建了一套硌伤自动分析系统.从硌伤排查、自动分析、故障定位、统计分析4个方面分析系统的主要组成和功能,探讨了实现系统的关键技术.系统的应用提高了对客车轮对踏面硌伤分析和故障排查的效率.     

车架平面度检测方法与原理

详细地介绍了平面度检测方法和误差评定,选用水准仪及特制标尺,用水平面作为车架平面度进行检测的模拟基准。分析了自制专用标尺的检测方法及原理。     

基于北斗短报文的船舶连续轨迹传输压缩方法

本文开展基于北斗短报文数据传输压缩方法的研究.该压缩方法通过设计的短报文压缩编码规则,实现利用北斗卫星系统的短报文功能传输远离海岸船舶的连续轨迹.方法设计合理、简单易行、使用方便、传输快捷有效、性能稳定可靠、应用广泛,应用效果非常显著.     

Efficient missing data imputing for traffic flow by considering temporal and spatial dependence

The missing data problem remains as a difficulty in a diverse variety of transportation applications, e.g. traffic flow prediction and traffic pattern recognition. To solve this problem, numerous algorithms had been proposed in the last decade to impute the missed data. However, few existing studies had fully used the traffic flow information of neighboring detecting points to improve imputing performance. In this paper, probabilistic principle component analysis (PPCA) based imputing method, which had been proven to be one of the most effective imputing methods without using temporal or spatial dependence, is extended to utilize the information of multiple points. We systematically examine the potential benefits of multi-point data fusion and study the possible influence of measurement time lags. Tests indicate that the hidden temporal–spatial dependence is nonlinear and could be better retrieved by kernel probabilistic principle component analysis (KPPCA) based method rather than PPCA method. Comparison proves that imputing errors can be notably reduced, if temporal–spatial dependence has been appropriately considered.     

公路工程施工资料的管理流程探讨

公路工程施工资料收集、整理、编制工作是贯穿于公路建设工程始终的一项重要工作，鉴于此，阐述公路工程施工资料收集、整理、编制的方法，对相关管理流程做了梳理，以促进公路工程施工资料管理。