基于出租车GPS数据的路段平均速度估计模型

为了解决现有基于GPS数据的路段平均速度估计模型应用条件苛刻、难以满足低成本和高精度信息需求问题,考虑不同类型GPS车辆运行特征,设计了两个基于出租车GPS数据估计路段平均速度的改进模型.基于两个改进模型,设计了路段平均速度的融合估计方法.用某城市局部路网的出租车GPS数据验证两个改进模型,并与传统模型进行了对比分析....     

关于轴载谱实测及分析方法的探讨

通过轴载称重调查法在实际中的应用,并结合实测调查资料的分析研究成果,对轴载谱分析方法及等代轴载的计算分析进行探讨,可供工程技术人员参考借鉴。     

非线性滤波器在动力定位船位估计中的应用

针对动力定位船舶在作业过程中因丢失GPS位置测量信号,从而导致动力定位系统不能正常工作,而使船舶偏离作业点的问题,设计了一种非线性滤波器,它可以利用以前保存的历史数据进行船舶位置的实时估计,从而使船舶在一定的时间内可以维持在作业点附近,当重新获得GPS信号后,又可以快速地进入正常工作状态。为了使历史数据能够更准确地反映船舶的实时位置,利用历史数据相对于作业点的平均偏差对历史数据进行了补偿。最后给出了此非线性滤波器在船舶仿真系统中的仿真曲线,分析表明在有滤波器的情况下,船舶真实位置估计的准确度比没有滤波器的情况下有明显的改善。     

融合卡尔曼滤波的高速公路状态估计误差界限分析

为分析高速公路交通流检测数据质量,本文构建平方流量误差界(Squared Flow Error Bound, SFEB)和扩展卡尔曼滤波(Extended Kalman Filter, EKF)的决策级融合模型SFEB-EKF,在检测器空间覆盖不足情况下,计算检测路段和无检测器路段的交通状态估计误差界限。与SFEB 算法相比,融合模型利用EKF交通状态估计模型估计全路段交通状态,基于得到的估计样本计算全路段交通状态估计误差下界。同时,采用最近邻法(Nearest Neighbor Method, NNM)计算全路段交通状态估计误差上界。应用开源高速公路数据集测试模型,结果表明,与需要输入真实样本的SFEB算法相比,融合模型SFEB-EKF在缺少真实样本情况下,能取得相似的结果且误差保持 在5%以内,不同检测器覆盖率实验下模型表现出良好的稳定性。本文模型通过给出无检测器路段交通状态估计界限,为高速公路交通检测器布设方案提供参考。     

A competing Markov model for cracking prediction on civil structures

Cracks on the surface of civil structures (e.g. pavement sections, concrete structures) progress in several formations and under different deterioration mechanisms. In monitoring practice, it is often that cracking type with its worst damage level is selected as a representative condition state, while other cracking types and their damage levels are neglected in records, remaining as hidden information. Therefore, the practice in monitoring has a potential to conceal with a bias selection process, which possibly result in not optimal intervention strategies. In overcoming these problems, our paper presents a non-homogeneous Markov hazard model, with competing hazard rates. Cracking condition states are classified in three types (longitudinal crack, horizontal crack, and alligator crack), with three respective damage levels. The dynamic selection of cracking condition states are undergone a competing process of cracking types and damage levels. We apply a numerical solution using Bayesian estimation and Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to solve the problem of high-order integration of complete likelihood function. An empirical study on a data-set of Japanese pavement system is presented to demonstrate the applicability and contribution of the model.     

Suspension system state estimation using adaptive Kalman filtering based on road classification

This paper provides a new method to solve the problem of suspension system state estimation using a Kalman Filter (KF) under various road conditions. Due to the fact that practical road conditions are complex and uncertain, the influence of the system process noise variance and measurement noise covariance on the estimation accuracy of the KF is first analysed. To accurately estimate the road condition, a new road classification method through the vertical acceleration of sprung mass is proposed, and different road process variances are obtained to tune the system’s variance for the application of the KF. Then, road classification and KF are combined to form an Adaptive Kalman Filter (AKF) that takes into account the relationship of different road process noise variances and measurement noise covariances under various road conditions. Simulation results show that the proposed AKF algorithm can obtain a high accuracy of state estimation for a suspension system under varying International Standards Organisation road excitation levels.     

Adhesion estimation at the wheel–rail interface using advanced model-based filtering

The railway industry in the UK is currently expanding the use of condition monitoring of railway vehicles. These systems can be used to improve maintenance procedures or could potentially be used to monitor current vehicle running conditions without the use of cost prohibitive sensors. This paper looks at a novel method for the online detection of areas of low adhesion in the wheel/rail contact that cause significant disruption to the running of a network, particularly in the autumn season. The proposed method uses a Kalman–Bucy filter to estimate the creep forces in the wheel–rail contact area; post-processing is then applied to provide information indicative of the actual adhesion level. The algorithm uses data that, in practice, would be available from a set of modest cost inertial sensors mounted on the vehicle bogie and wheel-sets. The efficacy of the approach is demonstrated using simulation data from a nonlinear dynamic model of the vehicle and its track interface.     

Contents Index Volume 35 and 36

Active safety systems would benefit from tyre force and friction potential information. Different sensor concepts, including, among others, the EU–funded Apollo–project developed tyre sensor based on optical position detection, are being studied. The sensor can measure tyre carcass deflections with respect to the rim. The carcass deflections can be used to calculate tyre forces and they may be exploited in the estimation of friction potential. The waveforms of the sensor signal are illustrated. The vertical and lateral force estimations are presented with unavoidable compensation parts. The tyre sensor measurements were compared to the measurement–vehicle results and good correlations achieved. Continuing activities are concerned with the estimation of friction potential and the detection of aquaplaning.     

船用小型汽轮机危急保安器特性分析

针对船用小型汽轮机常用的超速危急保安器结构特点，从偏心式飞锤、压紧弹簧及整个保安器三个方面对力学特性和运动特性进行了分析，获得了脱扣前、脱扣后及复位过程的特性，并得出了调整垫片厚度对脱扣转速的变化规律，可为汽轮机机组安全运行提供保障。     

Dynamic demand estimation and microscopic traffic simulation of a university campus transportation network

Abstract

This article documents the authors' experience with the modeling, simulation, and analysis of a university transportation system, using the TRansportation ANalysis and SIMulation System (TRANSIMS). The processes of data preparation and network coding are described, followed by the algorithm developed to estimate the dynamic 24-hour demand, which includes a procedure for estimating the ‘desirability’ of the different parking lots from readily available data. The dynamic demand estimation algorithm is validated by comparing estimated and observed parking lot occupancies, where it is shown that the algorithm is capable of replicating observed results. Finally, an example is included to demonstrate how the developed model can be used in campus transportation planning. Besides serving as a first case study for using TRANSIMS to model a university campus, the study's contributions include the development of a procedure for parking lot desirability ranking and a practical procedure for estimating dynamic demand on university campuses.