基于多点线圈联合数据的高速公路匝道影响范围识别

为准确识别高速公路匝道对主线车流的影响等级和范围，本文提出基于速度波动特性的高速公路匝道影响量化方法。通过建立改进加权速度排列熵指标以量化各服务水平下匝道对高速公路主线车流的影响，对建立的指标进行谱聚类分析来确定匝道的影响阈值。应用京昆高速及二广高速的99个平行式合流匝道和直接式分流匝道多点主线线圈检测器数据的分析结果表 明，所提出方法可识别高速公路主线车流受匝道的影响程度。合流匝道对主线最外侧车道的影响比次外侧车道高4%~69%；A~C级服务水平下，分流匝道对上游主线最外侧车道影响程度比次 外侧车道高6%~29%，D~F级服务水平下，最外侧车道受影响程度比次外侧车道低10%~13%。合流匝道的影响范围是合流点上游350m至下游550m；其中上游160m至下游100m和下游180~ 270m为核心影响范围。分流匝道影响范围为分流点至主线上游850m，其中750~850m、450~ 600m、100~300m为核心影响范围。研究成果可为高速公路匝道交通设计、管控策略和提升仿真可靠性提供依据，可有效降低设置匝道带来的影响。     

基于卡尔曼滤波的交叉口动态O-D反推模型与算法

交叉口各进出口道之间的实时转向交通量是信号控制系统重要的输入数据,也是难以获得的数据.针对已有模型收敛速度较慢、无法满足实际系统应用需要的问题,提出了基于卡尔曼滤波的状态空间模型,设计了顺序卡尔曼滤波进行求解,并采用裁切和标准化对反推结果进行了修正.实例研究表明,模型和算法具有较高的效率和准确性,能够为实时自适应信号控制系统的开发提供支持.     

Estimation of origin‐destination matrices for a multimodal public transit network

This paper presents a procedure for the estimation of origin‐destination (O‐D) matrices for a multimodal public transit network. The system consists of a number of favored public transit modes that are obtained from a modal split process in a traditional four‐step transportation model. The demand of each favored mode is assigned to the multimodal network, which is comprised of a set of connected links of different public transit modes. An entropy maximization procedure is proposed to simultaneously estimate the O‐D demand matrices of all favored modes, which are consistent with target data sets such as the boarding counts and line segment flows that are observed directly in the network. A case study of the Hong Kong multimodal transit network is used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.     

城市轨道交通乘务排班计划方案评价方法

城市轨道交通乘务排班计划是在给定运行图的基础上制定乘务人员的工作计划,其优劣程度对城市轨道交通的运营效率和成本具有显著影响。目前有关乘务排班计划的评价方法方面还缺少深入细致的研究。在借鉴国内外研究成果的基础上,选取相关标准的符合程度、班次间的均衡程度和方案的费用大小这三个方面对城市轨道交通乘务排班计划进行评价,之后采用熵权法确定综合权重来进行综合评价。最后对三个实际方案进行了案例分析,验证了乘务排班计划方案评价方法的可行性。     

汽车急加速噪声信号分析

汽车急加速噪声信号属于短时非平稳信号，在探讨各种时频分析方法的基础上，找到了一种适合于急加速噪声信号的处理方法——短时最大熵谱方法，这将有利于急加速噪声问题的进一步深入研究。     

符号时间序列方法在汽油机燃烧循环变动特征分析中的应用

应用一种新的分析方法———符号时间序列方法对汽油机燃烧循环变动进行了研究。测量得到了某汽油机16种不同工况下的示功图,从提高精度与有利于数据的符号化观点出发,确定以缸内峰值压力作为汽油机燃烧循环变动的表征参数,把符号时间序列分析的具体技术和实施途径应用于试验数据,获得了汽油机燃烧循环变动随转速与负荷的变化规律,提出了利用改进的SHAN NON熵作为汽油机燃烧循环变动的评价指标的新观点。研究结果表明:该方法能较好地应用于汽油机燃烧循环变动特征分析。     

Travel time estimation from sparse floating car data with consistent path inference: A fixed point approach

Estimation of urban network link travel times from sparse floating car data (FCD) usually needs pre-processing, mainly map-matching and path inference for finding the most likely vehicle paths that are consistent with reported locations. Path inference requires a priori assumptions about link travel times; using unrealistic initial link travel times can bias the travel time estimation and subsequent identification of shortest paths. Thus, the combination of path inference and travel time estimation is a joint problem. This paper investigates the sensitivity of estimated travel times, and proposes a fixed point formulation of the simultaneous path inference and travel time estimation problem. The methodology is applied in a case study to estimate travel times from taxi FCD in Stockholm, Sweden. The results show that standard fixed point iterations converge quickly to a solution where input and output travel times are consistent. The solution is robust under different initial travel times assumptions and data sizes. Validation against actual path travel time measurements from the Google API and an instrumented vehicle deployed for this purpose shows that the fixed point algorithm improves shortest path finding. The results highlight the importance of the joint solution of the path inference and travel time estimation problem, in particular for accurate path finding and route optimization.     

An analysis of rail freight operational efficiency and mode share in the British port-hinterland container market

The growth in container shipping poses considerable challenges to efforts to reduce the negative externalities associated with freight transport. There are particular concerns about the impacts of the associated port-hinterland freight flows. Through empirical research, this paper examines trends in the operational efficiency of the British port-hinterland container rail freight market and to assess the impacts of any changes on the overall sustainability of this market. Original survey work conducted in 2007 and 2015 has allowed longitudinal and cross-sectional analysis of the characteristics of this market.The survey findings reveal that rail’s mode share of port container throughput (in TEU) has increased from 14.7% in 2007 to 16.6% in 2015 and it is likely that its share of the associated hinterland activity has also risen. Rail was carrying 25% more TEU by 2015 without an increase in train service provision. Increases in mean train capacity and mean load factor were observed, leading to growth in the mean train load from 44 TEU in 2007 to 55 TEU in 2015. This considerable improvement in operational efficiency is expected to have reduced the negative externalities per unit of transport activity associated with the rail-borne hinterland container flows, though scope is identified for further improvements in sustainability.     

Does crowding affect the path choice of metro passengers?

This paper investigates crowding effect on the path choice of metro passengers. We show people reroute not only to avoid the delay from crowding but also to evade crowding itself. More specifically, a logit model fits best when it uses the transit delay from crowding as well as the passenger load of a connection in addition to the conventional explanatory variables. Also, we demonstrate that crowding decreases the overall welfare of metro passengers. The model is tested on the real path choice data acquired by the recent algorithm by Hong et al. (2015) known to detect the real path choice from Smart Card data in more than 90% of the cases.