快速路入口匝道与衔接交叉口联动控制优化方法

针对快速路入口匝道排队过长造成的衔接交叉口拥堵问题,提出一种快速路入口匝道和 衔接交叉口的联动控制优化方法。分析快速路匝道排队溢出原因,提出基于交通状态估计的入 口匝道与衔接交叉口的系统控制策略。以系统总通行能力最大和交叉口车均延误最小为目标, 分别从交叉口配时、匝道调节及系统排队长度这3个方面构建系统约束方程,建立快速路入口匝 道与衔接交叉口联动控制优化模型。以长春市典型快速路和交叉口为例,选择高峰、平峰、低峰 这3种交通环境,运用联动控制优化模型进行仿真实验,并与经典优化方法进行对比分析,结果表 明：不同交通状况下,联动控制优化方法均能有效改善快速路运行情况,缓解入口匝道排队溢出 现象,同时提高衔接交叉口通行效率;特别是在饱和交通状态下,联动控制优化方法表现优异,系 统整体车均延误和排队长度分别降低了5.67%和19.25%。     

航运企业非理性投资行为影响因素的实证研究

非理性投资行为是导致航运危机的重要原因,也是航运企业可持续发展的关键障碍.基于行为金融学理论,分析组织因素、环境因素、个人因素与航运企业非理性投资行为间的关系,并构建非理性投资行为影响因素的结构方程模型.实证结果显示:问责制度、激励措施、项目熟悉度和经验水平对非理性投资行为具有显著的负向影响;运价走势和竞争压力对非理性投资行为具有显著的正向影响;非理性投资行为会导致航运企业投资风险增加,投资绩效降低.     

珠三角洲软土不排水剪强度与稠度指标相关性分析

为了建立物理性质与力学性质之间的相关性,通过室内异向固结三轴剪切试验,获得不排水剪强度与上覆土层有效压力的比值Su/p′0,分析Su/p′0与液性指数、塑性指数和液限的相关关系,建立珠三角洲入海口正常固结软土Su/p′0与稠度指标的相关公式,建立归一化特性。     

Financing Beach Improvements: Comparing Two Approaches on the Georgia Coast

Fifty-five percent of Georgia's developed coastline has been armored with various types of erosion protection devices. This article is about beach improvement projects at Jekyll Island that would operate under (a) a nourishment policy or (b) a retreat policy. Benefits are calculated from an intensive, on-site survey of beach visitors and the costs are calculated from observable sources. Two financing methods are considered: general revenue and user fee financing. The analyses imply recommending beach improvement as an effective policy within the considered time frame.     

Testing the Effects of Constraints on Climate Change–Friendly Behavior among Groups of Australian Residents

This study explores the relationship between Australian's attitudes toward climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) and environmentally responsible behavior (ERB). We hypothesize that general attitudes toward climate change, subjective norms, and perceived behavioral control predict intended and reported behavior, and that attitude negatively influences constraints on adopting ERB. The moderating effect of residential condition (urban vs. rural contexts) was tested across these hypothesized relationships. We randomly selected 200 individuals from eight regions: Five within 50 km of the GBR Coastline and three from the Statistical Metropolitan Areas in Australia. We yielded 1,623 surveys by telephone interviews. Findings confirm our hypotheses and suggest the most important predictor of intentions is perceived behavioral control. The two groups of respondents (urban vs. rural) illustrate different relationships. This study offers insight on how managers of the GBR can effectively shape residents' behavioral tendencies that minimize human impacts on the natural environment.     

Part 2. Beyond single-outcome models: Decompositions of aggregate and disaggregate road safety risk

The second part of the state-of-the-art focuses on the development of the founders' double streams explaining single-outcome indicators (probability of accidents and fatalities, respectively) by fixed form regression, as outlined in the Part 1. Following Page (1997, pp. 67–122, 2001) and others, we use as turning point of the evolution of both aggregate and discrete approaches the DRAG-1 model of 1984, itself based on aggregate data, which introduced four key innovations in principle applicable to both streams.     

A cause of oversupply and failure in the shipping market: measuring herding behavior effects

ABSTRACT

The shipping market is volatile. In general, the shipping market cycle shows four stages, through—recovery—peak—collapse, while a upward trend lasts for 7~8 years and a downward trend for another 7~8 years. So the market’s bubble is not sustainable but always ends in a recessionary trend. The economic cycle is common knowledge and an axiom of the shipping industry, but many ship-owners take no account of it. Previous study stated that ship-owners’ fears, triggered by a violently changeable market, make them mimic the crowd mind or herd mentality, following market sentiment. This study aims to measure the effects of herding behavior (HB), triggered by market sentiment, on the shipping market. We attempt to address two research questions: (1) How does HB arise, and what course does it follow? (2) How many vessels (or how many tons) were purchased under the influence of HB? We estimate that 50.5% (227.8 vessels) of the total vessels or 30.4% (3,670.2 tons) of the total tonnage were purchased under the influence of HB. Looking at international finance, we found that ship investment HB is a very strong factor of the recent shipping market, at least in Korea.     

Peak current control strategy with extended-state tracking compensator for DC-DC in hybrid energy storage system

Because variations of ultra-capacitor voltage and battery voltage generate subharmonic and chaotic behaviors in hybrid energy storage system (HESS) application when a DC-DC converter is under the peak current control, a novel digital control strategy, i.e., peak current control with extended-state tracking compensator, is introduced to deal with the stability. The gains of the control algorithm are selected based on pole locations formulated from the Bessel filter. The simulation results validate that under the peak current control strategy with compensator, the DC-DC converter does not have the subharmonic and chaotic behaviors. The response time under the peak current control with compensator is the same as that under the peak current control. The ripple voltage and ripple current of battery are less. The tracking error of inductor current tends to zero.     

钢箱拱临时合拢构造措施及力学行为分析

钢箱一砼组合拱桥采用两段钢箱吊装合拢施工,在拱脚、拱顶利用连接板临时合拢整个钢箱拱肋,合拢连接板的力学行为对拱肋受力、安全显得十分必要,通过对钢箱拱肋临时合拢连接板的参数计算,得出钢箱拱两段合拢中拱脚、拱顶处连接板的合理布置理论依据,并建立有限元分析合拢过程中钢箱拱肋的受力行为,获得典型作用下的连接板布置数量。