Marginal railway track renewal costs: A survival data approach

In this paper, renewal costs for railway tracks are investigated using survival analysis. The purpose is to derive the effect from increased traffic volumes on rail renewal cycle lengths and to calculate associated marginal costs. A flow sample of censored data containing almost 1300 observations on the Swedish main railway network is used. We specify Weibull regression models, and estimate deterioration elasticities for total tonnage as well as for passenger and freight tonnages separately. Marginal costs are calculated as a change in present values of renewal costs from premature renewal following increased traffic volumes. The marginal cost for total tonnage is estimated to approximately SEK 0.002 per gross ton kilometre.     

基于数据融合的公交客流规模测算方法

公交客流规模测算往往存在调查成本受限和准确度要求较高的矛盾.提出基于公交IC卡历史数据与人工补充调查数据的数据融合测算方法,以准确推算公交客流规模.首先根据公交线路的基本属性,采用聚类分析方法划分线路类型,从每一类中选择具有代表性的线路.基于IC卡数据分析公交客流时变特征,运用有序样本聚类Fisher算法将线路小时刷卡量进行聚类分析.划分刷卡量相似时段,进而采用优化方法确定调查抽样率,确定相应的调查车辆进行人工补充调查,最终经过数据融合计算获得公交客流规模.基于上海市某辖区IC卡数据进行案例分析,测算得到三类公交线路的日均客流量.     

天津西南环线铁路钢横梁框架墩设计

当前,新建铁路临近市区或车站地段,往往铁路密集、纵横交错,新建线路与既有铁路、公路小角度交叉的情况不可避免;加之临近车站时线路纵断面抬高困难,需严格限制上跨线路的结构建筑高度.钢横梁框架墩的建筑高度较低,而横向跨度相对较大,是此类工点较好的解决方案.本文介绍了钢横梁框架墩的结构特点,分析比较了不同的墩顶固结方式,并总结了设计注意事项.     

Exchange rate and transport cost sensitivities of bilateral freight flows between the US and China

This paper explores the long-run impacts of gross domestic product, exchange rate, and transport costs on bilateral air and ocean freight flows between the US and China. The study employs a cointegration framework by using export and import data over the period of 2003:Q1-2014:Q2. Results show that gross domestic product is the key determinant of bilateral freight flows, indicating that real income of a trading partner is a driving force of the bilateral freight flows between the US and China. In examining the sensitivities of the bilateral trade flows, air freight flows are found to be more responsive to a real income change than ocean freight flows. The bilateral exchange rate is a significant factor affecting the freight flows from China to the US, suggesting that a US dollar appreciation against the Chinese yuan increases the inflows of Chinese commodities to the US. The impacts of the bilateral exchange rate and transport cost are found to vary at industry and commodity levels. These findings support the importance of employing disaggregate data in the bilateral freight flow analysis.     

297000dwt超大型油船噪声源分析及控制

研究了船舶噪声的主要来源，揭示了297000dwt超大型油船噪声源的分布规律，对实例噪声结果作了对比，并分析了噪声产生的原因及采取的降噪措施。     

高速公路面层出现裂缝的原因与预防措施

通过对河北省高速公路路面屡次出现裂缝的现象进行调查分析,并结合秦皇岛市京沈高速公路大修工程的实践,综合分析了路面产生裂缝的主要原因,并提出有效防治裂缝产生的措施和建议.     

高填深切路段装配式预制通涵的受力分析和加固处理

以某高速公路建设中高填深切路段的新工艺（装配式预制通涵）为对象，介绍分析其整体受力情况和加固处理措施，其内容可作为同类工程的参考。     

牌楼长江大桥“梁重转移”法施工钢箱梁临时锁定区域受力优化

牌楼长江大桥主桥为主跨730m的双塔混合梁斜拉桥,主跨扁平钢箱梁采用桥面吊机整体吊装、悬臂拼装法施工,施工中采用“梁重转移”技术将待拼装节段与已安装节段分2次进行临时锁定,并提出采用特制的压力调节装置调节该区域受力。为分析该装置对临时锁定区域的受力调节效果,采用ANSYS软件建立钢箱梁节段模型,模拟施工中临时锁定区域的压力调节过程,分析压力调节前、后临时锁定区域的受力及变形,并对实际应用效果进行对比分析。结果表明:压力调节装置对临时锁定区域的水平受力优化效果明显,对临时锁定区的相对高差影响不明显;该压力调节装置的实际应用效果较好。     

中日高速公路养护作业控制区对比研究

以日本阪神高速公路养护作业控制区的实际布置为例,与我国JTG H30-2015《公路养护安全作业规程》中的相关规定进行了详细对比分析,从而得出中日两国之间在高速公路养护作业控制区布置方面的差异,对指导我国高速公路养护作业控制区划分及其相关研究有一定的参考价值。