次任务下的驾驶员视觉搜索能力研究

从视觉搜索的角度研究次任务对驾驶绩效的影响,通过反应时长评价驾驶接管绩效,使用视野测试和眼动数据研究驾驶员视觉搜索能力.自变量为驾驶员所执行的次任务类型和次任务沉浸时长.共采集32名被试在不同沉浸程度下的反应时长和眼动数据,结果表明,经过一段时间的反应后,被试所需要的反应时长缩短且正确率升高.被试所执行的次任务类型对其...     

What drives the drivers? Predicting turnover intentions in the Belgian bus and coach industry

The bus industry is characterized by demanding jobs and high turnover rates. In this study we gather essential insights that can help companies and industry-level policy makers increase the attractiveness of the profession and design effective retention policies. We compare the factors that induce Belgian drivers to leave their current organization with those inducing them to leave the industry. Key factors increasing the likelihood to consider quitting the company are a negative work-life balance, a lack of social support and a temporary contract. Dominant factors to consider quitting the bus driver profession are a lack of fulfillment, a demanding job environment and a negative work-life balance.     

Dynamic change of aircraft seat condition for fast boarding

Aircraft boarding is a process mainly impacted by the boarding sequence, individual passenger behavior and the amount of hand luggage. Whereas these aspects are widely addressed in scientific research and considered in operational improvements, the influence of infrastructural changes is only focused upon in the context of future aircraft design. The paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the innovative approach of a Side-Slip Seat, which allows passengers to pass each other during boarding. The seat holds the potential to reduce the boarding time by approx. 20%, even considering operational constraints, such as passenger conformance to the proposed boarding strategy. A validated stochastic boarding model is extended to analyze the impact of the Side-Slip Seat. The implementation of such fundamental change inside the aircraft cabin demands for adapted boarding strategies, in order to cover all the benefits that accompany this new dynamic seating approach. To reasonably identify efficient strategies, an evolutionary algorithm is used to systematically optimize boarding sequences. As a result, the evolutionary algorithm depicts that operationally relevant boarding strategies implementing the Side-Slip Seat should differentiate between the left and the right side of the aisle, instead of the current operationally preferred boarding from the back to the front.     

A model and optimization-based heuristic for the operational aircraft maintenance routing problem

This paper investigates the Operational Aircraft Maintenance Routing Problem (OAMRP). Given a set of flights for a specific homogeneous fleet type, this short-term planning problem requires building feasible aircraft routes that cover each flight exactly once and that satisfy maintenance requirements. Basically, these requirements enforce an aircraft to undergo a planned maintenance at a specified station before accumulating a maximum number of flying hours. This stage is significant to airline companies as it directly impacts the fleet availability, safety, and profitability. The contribution of this paper is twofold. First, we elucidate the complexity status of the OAMRP and we propose an exact mixed-integer programming model that includes a polynomial number of variables and constraints. Furthermore, we propose a graph reduction procedure and valid inequalities that aim at improving the model solvability. Second, we propose a very large-scale neighborhood search algorithm along with a procedure for computing tight lower bounds. We present the results of extensive computational experiments that were carried out on real-world flight networks and attest to the efficacy of the proposed exact and heuristic approaches. In particular, we provide evidence that the exact model delivers optimal solutions for instances with up to 354 flights and 8 aircraft, and that the heuristic approach consistently delivers high-quality solutions while requiring short CPU times.     

Recursive expected conditional value at risk in the fleet renewal problem with alternative fuel vehicles

We study the fleet portfolio management problem faced by a firm deciding which alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs) to choose for its fleet to minimise the weighted average of cost and risk, in a stochastic multi-period setting. We consider different types of technology and vehicles with heterogeneous capabilities. We propose a new time consistent recursive risk measure, the Recursive Expected Conditional Value at Risk (RECVaR), which we prove to be coherent. We then solve the problem for a large UK based company, reporting how the optimal policies are affected by risk aversion and by the clustering for each type of vehicle.     

基于时间卷积自编码网络的实时交通事件自动检测方法

为了提高道路异常交通事件检测效率并降低误报率,提出了一种基于时间卷积自编码网络的实时交通事件自动检测方法。首先设计了基于波动相似性度量的交通模式搜索算法用来筛选具有相同交通规律的样本数据;并构造了交通流模式矩阵作为网络模型输入,以避免样本不均衡与单一样本数据随机性对交通模式学习的干扰;同时设计了新的时间卷积自编码网络对交通模式特征进行无监督提取并对未来交通参数进行合理预测;为了降低交通流参数随机波动性带来的事件判别的干扰,设计了异常状态评估方法,通过对模型预测误差分布的学习,结合当前检测数据给出最终的事件判定结果。采用美国西雅图I90公路与I405公路2015年全年的交通流检测数据与历史事故数据进行实证研究,并与6种典型交通事件检测算法进行性能对比。研究结果表明:基于时间卷积自编码网络的实时交通事件自动检测算法具有较高的检测率、较低的误报率以及更快的平均检测时间;综合各种交通运行情况下,可接受误检率分别为5%、10%时,平均检测率可分别达到93%、98%;同时算法能够自适应学习交通状态的动态变化,对不同交通运行环境具有较强适应性与稳定性。     

When it comes to container port efficiency,are all developing regions equal?

In this paper we carry out a container port performance analysis of the developing world between 2000 and 2010, using both parametric and nonparametric approaches. From a unique dataset – our sample covers 70 developing countries, 203 ports, and 1750 data points–, we examine the evolution and drivers of productivity and efficiency changes across developing regions. We show that productivity growth rates between 2000 and 2010 vary significantly and that this heterogeneity is explained by pure efficiency changes rather than scale efficiency of technological changes. Therefore, we carry out a detailed efficiency analysis to determine the drivers of port efficiency. Time series results show an upward trend for port efficiency in developing regions, as it increased from 51 percent in 2000 to 61 percent in 2010. Our analysis indicates that private sector participation, the reduction of corruption in the public sector, improvements in liner connectivity and the existence of multimodal links increase the level of port efficiency in developing regions.     

关于建立新型搜救系统的思考

通过对现代搜救行动的要求、特点的讨论,说明了建立新型搜救体系的必要性。     

结构构件疲劳损伤累积的可靠性分析

在目前在船舶与海洋工程结构疲劳可靠性分析中所采用的Ｗｉｒｓｃｈｉｎｇ模型进行了较系统的分析，指出了该模型待改进的主要问题。然后，基于二维概率ＭＩＮＥＲ准则，建立了在变幅载荷谱或随机时间历程载荷谱给定的条件下，对结构构件的疲劳损伤累积进行可靠性分析的新模型。