大型船舶航迹多变量随机最优控制

基于随机控制理论，研究了大型船舶航迹的随机最优控制。以Mariner号船舶为研究对象，建立了该船的运动方程和干扰模型，在此基础上，利用卡尔曼滤波器对航向角Ψ、舵角δ、船位信息(经纬度)等进行最优估计，采用LQG随机控制方法对航迹进行随机最优控制。仿真结果表明航迹控制性能良好，能精确保持航迹。     

接触网系统各部件内部应力概率分布规律

采用有限元并结合改进算法的径向基神经网络RBF,判别接触网系统各部件内部应力的随机分布规律。以兰新线武嘉段接触网腕臂为算例,把安装角度、冰负载、承力索覆冰风负载、接触线覆冰风负载等参量作为基本变量,按各变量的分布规律随机地产生50组样本数据,通过有限元计算出每一组参数对应的内部最大应力,依据随机抽样规律抽取40组,按经验分布计算出对应的应力分布函数值。利用RBF进行模式识别得到应力符合威布尔分布,并用回归分析计算出正态分布、指数分布、威布尔分布、对数正态分布二个变量的相关系数。从相关系数和拟合图可以看出,应力符合威布尔分布最好,服从指数分布的可能性最小,RBF识别的结果与回归分析的结果是一致的。     

A capacity restraint transit assignment with elastic line frequency

This paper proposes a new formulation for the capacity restraint transit assignment problem with elastic line frequency, in which the line frequency is related to the passenger flows on transit lines. A stochastic user equilibrium transit assignment model with congestion and elastic line frequency is proposed and the equivalent mathematical programming problem is also formulated. Since the passenger waiting time and the line capacity are dependent on the line frequency, a fixed point problem with respect to the line frequency is devised accordingly. The existence of the fixed point problem has been proved. A solution algorithm for the proposed model is presented. Finally, a numerical example is used to illustrate the application of the proposed model and solution algorithm.     

Real-time freeway traffic state estimation based on extended Kalman filter: Adaptive capabilities and real data testing

This paper reports on real data testing of a real-time freeway traffic state estimator, with a particular focus on its adaptive capabilities. The pursued general approach to the real-time adaptive estimation of complete traffic state in freeway stretches or networks is based on stochastic macroscopic traffic flow modeling and extended Kalman filtering. One major innovative feature of the traffic state estimator is the online joint estimation of important model parameters (free speed, critical density, and capacity) and traffic flow variables (flows, mean speeds, and densities), which leads to three significant advantages of the estimator: (1) avoidance of prior model calibration; (2) automatic adaptation to changing external conditions (e.g. weather and lighting conditions, traffic composition, control measures); (3) enabling of incident alarms. These three advantages are demonstrated via suitable real data testing. The achieved testing results are satisfactory and promising for subsequent applications.     

航班延误恢复调度的混合粒子群算法

为了优化航班延误恢复调度,考虑了航班延误的经济效益、社会影响和经济损失构成,定义了航线影响因子,构建了一种新的航班延误恢复调度模型,将局部搜索方法引入到粒子群算法中,提出了求解航班延误恢复调度问题的混合粒子群算法。计算结果表明:与先来先服务调度方法相比,混合粒子群算法可以减少航班延误损失4.2%,与基本粒子群算法和进化策略算法相比,混合粒子群算法平均可减少航班延误损失2.0%,随着航班延误恢复规模的增大,算法优势会更明显。     

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Frank-Wolfe(FW)算法是一类广泛应用于求解交通分配问题的算法。它具有容易编程实现,所需内存少的特点。但是该算法收敛速度较慢,不能得到路径信息。为了提高算法的效率,本文研究三种流量更新策略(all-at-once, one-origin-at-a-time, one-OD-at-a-time)以及不同的步长搜索策略下的FW算法,其中步长搜索策略包括精确线性搜索方法(包括二分法、黄金分割法、成功失败法)和不精确的线性搜索方法(包括基于Wolfe-Powell收敛准则的搜索方法和Gao等提出的非单调线性搜索方法)。最后,本文将上述策略应用于四种不同规模的交通网络中,并给出较适合求解的组合。     

基于Internet的汽车标准查询系统设计

随着中国加入WT0以及企业信息化步伐的加快，技术标准管理的信息化成为企业刻不容缓的任务，故有必要针对中小汽车企业，围绕汽车领域的技术标准，提出基Internet汽车标准查询系统的设计方案，并重点对系统数据库、系统分层体系结构进行分析和讨论。     

Sensitivity analysis on stochastic equilibrium transportation networks using genetic algorithm

This study deals with the sensitivity analysis of an equilibrium transportation networks using genetic algorithm approach and uses the bi‐level iterative sensitivity algorithm. Therefore, integrated Genetic Algorithm‐TRANSYT and Path Flow Estimator (GATPFE) is developed for signalized road networks for various level of perceived travel time in order to test the sensitivity of perceived travel time error in an urban stochastic road networks. Level of information provided to drivers correspondingly affects the signal timing parameters and hence the Stochastic User Equilibrium (SUE) link flows. When the information on road system is increased, the road users try to avoid conflicting links. Therefore, the stochastic equilibrium assignment concept tends to be user equilibrium. The GATPFE is used to solve the bi‐level problem, where the Area Traffic Control (ATC) is the upper‐level and the SUE assignment is the lower‐level. The GATPFE is tested for six‐junction network taken from literature. The results show that the integrated GATPFE can be applied to carry out sensitivity analysis at the equilibrium network design problems for various level of information and it simultaneously optimize the signal timings (i.e. network common cycle time, signal stage and offsets between junctions).     

邮政车辆调度问题及其优化算法

从邮政实际运营情况出发，在兼顾其他限制条件的同时，着重研究带路程长度和装载能力限制的邮车调度问题，抽象出此类问题的数学模型，并设计一个禁忌搜索算法进行求解。算例测试结果表明，采用该算法可以在很短的时间内求出较高质量的邮车调度问题的优化解。     

结构模糊可靠性分析

结构破坏准则实际上是带有模糊性的，要合理判断结构强度必须依靠模糊概率方法。本文采用基于模糊判决的限界搜索法，给出了计算结构模糊可靠性清晰解的方法。以受集中力的两端刚固梁和船首底板砰击强度为例进行了数值计算，并讨论了容差变化对模糊可靠度指标的影响。