Research on probability distribution of port cargo throughput

In order to more accurately examine developing trends in gross cargo throughput, we have modeled the probability distribution of cargo throughput. Gross cargo throughput is determined by the time spent by cargo ships in the port and the operating efficiency of handling equipment. Gross cargo throughput is the sum of all compound variables determining each aspect of cargo throughput for every cargo ship arriving at the port. Probability distribution was determined using the Wald equation. The results show that the variability of gross cargo throughput primarily depends on the different times required by different cargo ships arriving at the port. This model overcomes the shortcoming of previous models： inability to accurately determine the probability of a specific value of future gross cargo throughput. Our proposed model of cargo throughput depends on the relationship between time required by a cargo ship arriving at the port and the operational capacity of handling equipment at the port. At the same time, key factors affecting gross cargo throughput are analyzed. In order to test the efficiency of the model, the cargo volume of a port in Shandong Province was used as an example. In the case study the actual results matched our theoretical analysis.     

永鑫大桥主桥结构设计及受力分析

矮塔斜拉桥因其受力合理、施工简单、造型美观及造价经济的特点,在我国桥梁建设中得到了快速发展。文章以来宾市永鑫大桥主桥设计为例,介绍了该双塔单索面预应力混凝土矮塔斜拉桥各主要部位的结构设计要点,并采用相关模型计算分析了主桥结构的受力情况。     

杭州湾跨海大桥车桥空间耦合振动参数分析

将整个车桥系统划分为车辆与桥梁两个子系统,引入车桥系统几何协调条件和力学平衡关系,采用含增量动力平衡迭代格式的Newmark-β方法编制了汽车-桥梁系统空间耦合振动分析程序,并采用弹簧质量系统匀速通过简支梁对程序的可靠性进行了验证。然后以杭州湾跨海大桥为工程实例,运用所编制程序详细研究了车辆数目、车辆间距、不同车道、车辆相向行驶、不同路面粗糙度以及不同车速时车流通过桥梁时主梁跨中的动力响应和冲击系数。研究发现:主梁跨中冲击系数随着路面粗糙度变坏而明显增大,与车辆数目、车辆间距、车辆相向行驶以及车速没有必然联系。     

矢量泵喷推进器水动力性能

传统水下航行器采用鳍舵装置控制航向和航速，舵的存在降低了推进器的进流品质，增强了推进器直发声，引起艇体结构振动。为解决这一问题，设计一种全新的泵喷推进方式，在泵喷推进器的导管尾缘处加装一段能够调整和控制方向的尾喷管。基于STAR-CCM+软件进行数值计算，结果显示：此种矢量泵喷推进器可以产生较大的横向操纵力，可以实现舵的操纵效果。     

Large deformation coupled analysis of embedded pipeline – Soil lateral interaction

Subsea pipelines buried in the seabed may undergo large lateral displacement under environmental, operational, and accidental loads at different interaction rates and hence different drainage conditions. The undrained shear strength is commonly used in practice to assess the pipe-soil interaction assuming a sufficiently high displacement rate. This approach neglects consolidation effects and the rate-dependent response of the soil and may significantly underestimates the lateral resistance for a pipeline moving slowly relative to the ground. In this study, a coupled large deformation finite element (LDFE) framework is developed via a remeshing and interpolation technique with small strain (RITSS). A Modified Cam-Clay (MCC) model with efficient numerical integration is used. The proposed coupled LDFE framework is verified against selected physical model tests. Effects of the interaction rate and hence drainage condition on the p-y curve, excess pore pressure generation and dissipation, and failure mechanisms are discussed. An empirical relationship between the ultimate resistance and the normalized velocity of the pipe (denoting the drainage condition) is proposed, which may be applied for the integrity and safety analysis of buried pipes in landslide or fault-crossing regions.     

一种新型船用吊机防晃装置及非线性动力学分析

针对深水吊装作业摆动抑制问题，设计了一种新型船用吊机防晃装置，采用仿真建模技术及拉格朗日方程，在Simulink仿真软件上，建立船用吊机防晃装置非线性动力学模型，得到了在不同拉力、吊索长度、波浪频率下吊物运动角度时程响应。结果表明，有防晃装置的情况下吊物的位移可减小80%左右，新型船用吊机防晃装置具有明显的消摆作用。     

沥青路面早期病害的成因分析

从路面结构设计问题、现场施工质量控制、投入运营后超载车辆管理等方面,结合本人的工程实践,分析了沥青路面早期破坏的原因。     

Uncertainty in predictions of oil spill trajectories in a coastal zone

A method is introduced to determine the uncertainties in the predictions of oil spill trajectories using a classic oil spill model. The method considers the output of the oil spill model as a function of random variables, which are the input parameters, and calculates the standard deviation of the output results which provides a measure of the uncertainty of the model as a result of the uncertainties of the input parameters.In addition to a single trajectory that is calculated by the oil spill model using the mean values of the parameters, a band of trajectories can be defined when various simulations are done taking into account the uncertainties of the input parameters. This band of trajectories defines envelopes of the trajectories that are likely to be followed by the spill given the uncertainties of the input.The method was applied to an oil spill that occurred in 1989 near Sines in the southwestern coast of Portugal. This model represented well the distinction between a wind driven part that remained offshore, and a tide driven part that went ashore. For both parts, the method defined two trajectory envelopes, one calculated exclusively with the wind fields, and the other using wind and tidal currents. In both cases reasonable approximation to the observed results was obtained.The envelope of likely trajectories that is obtained with the uncertainty modelling proved to give a better interpretation of the trajectories that were simulated by the oil spill model.     

裂纹损伤柱壳刚架结构的弹塑性分析

从裂纹损伤结构的整体系统弹塑性分析出发，以一具有周向穿透裂纹损伤的圆柱壳门形刚架结构作为研究对象，利用理想化结构单元，分析了裂纹损伤直至裂纹扩展对结构的影响，探讨了理想化结构单元用于结构分析的适用范围及精度。