城市快速路区间旅行时间短期预测新算法

城市道路交通状况的预测,是实现未来路况查询、车辆动态导航等智能交通系统技术的关键。该文在分析浮动车数据的时间相关性的基础上,研究城市快速路的区间旅行时间短期预测算法。首先,采用统计方法和K-NN分类法相结合的新方法对缺失数据进行填充,并利用小波变换对每天的数据进行消噪处理;其次,在分别利用时间序列模型和人工神经网络模型对城市快速路区间旅行时间进行短期预测的基础上,通过模型组合获得预测值;最后,结合北京市区二环的一段快速路区间旅行时间的历史数据和实时数据,对该文所提出的快速路区间旅行时间短期预测算法进行了评价。结果显示,该算法的预测结果的平均绝对误差百分比控制在10.43%以内,具有良好的精度。     

公交车安全气压窗及火灾隐患监测预警器设计

针对紧急情况下公交乘客的逃生需求,设计了一种气压式安全公交车窗,当事故发生时,使车窗在3s内打开,为乘客提供及时有效的逃生通道。通过制作模型和力学分析计算,此设计既能在常规状态下保证车窗的强度和密封性,又能在紧急情况下使其迅速开启。此外,为预防事故,以AT89S52单片机为核心,采用2M007型可燃气体传感器和MQ-2型烟雾传感器建立公交车火灾监测报警系统,实时检测发动机舱及车体内可燃气体浓度和烟雾情况,具有声光报警功能。结合GSM通信模块,向公交车指挥中心传输报警信息,以便进行救援指挥。     

光滑深海立管涡激振动 DES模拟

针对深海立管涡激振动流场建立计算模型,分析了第一层网格高度、网格数量、时间步长对深海立管涡激振动DES模拟的升力系数、阻力系数、斯特罗哈尔数的影响,通过与文献中实验、计算数据的对比,说明SSTk-ω湍流模型基础上的 DES方法模拟低雷诺数深海立管涡激振动准确合理;网格第1层高度对计算精度影响较大,按0.51确定 DES方法的第1层网格高度可得到满足要求的。     

论海上遇险黄金救援时间

文中对海上救援时间进行分析,论述了海上遇险黄金救援时间的必要性,并提出了相关建议,有利于科学制定海上搜救措施,提高海上救助成功率。     

长江口沿海地区灾害性大风的时空分布特征

根据长江口沿海地区自动站观测资料,分析了该地区灾害性大风的时空分布特征,有利于过往船舶了解该地区灾害性大风发生的空间、季节、风向等变化情况,对提高船舶在长江口沿海航行中的安全性具有指导意义。     

Reliable Shortest Path Problems in Stochastic Time-Dependent Networks

This study investigates the time-dependent reliable shortest path problem (TD-RSPP), which is commonly encountered in congested urban road networks. Two variants of TD-RSPP are considered in this study. The first variant is to determine the earliest arrival time and associated reliable shortest path for a given departure time, referred to as the “forward” TD-RSPP. The second problem is to determine the latest departure time and associated reliable shortest path for a given preferred arrival time, referred as the “backward” TD-RSPP. It is shown in this article that TD-RSPP is not reversible. The backward TD-RSPP cannot be solved by the algorithms designed for the forward problem using the reverse search from destination to origin. In this study, two efficient solution algorithms are proposed to solve the forward and backward TD-RSPP exactly and the optimality of proposed algorithms is rigorously proved. The proposed solution algorithms have potential applications in both advanced traveler information systems and stochastic dynamic traffic assignment models.     

城际客运专线分时段通过能力计算方法初探

本文以城际客运专线为背景,根据其特征将运行图划分成不同时段,按时段要求构造相应的规格化列车组合,之后对不同时段典型的列车组合通过能力计算方法进行分析研究,并给出计算公式,最后列举算例对文中阐述的方法做形象的说明。     

迪那2气田高墩T形刚构桥抗震分析

结合迪那2气田T形刚构桥高墩的抗震时程分析,对比分析了薄壁墩和空心薄壁墩的动力特性及结构在单向激励和三维激励下的抗震性能,分析发现双薄壁墩和空心薄壁墩在截面特性和墩高基本一致的情况下,双薄壁墩较空心薄壁墩包含更多低频自振频率,频率分散,双薄壁墩的抗震性能优于空心薄壁墩。     

Designing a home-to-work bus service in a metropolitan area

This paper presents a model and an algorithm for the design of a home-to-work bus service in a metropolitan area. This type of service must display an equilibrium between conflicting criteria such as efficiency, effectiveness, and equity. To this end, we introduce a multi-objective model in which, among other aspects, equity is considered by time windows on the arrival time of a bus at a stop. Time windows can have other uses such as, for example, guaranteeing synchronization of the service with other transportation modes. This is one of the guiding principles of the proposed model which is based on concepts that simultaneously tackle several issues at once. Along this line, we propose a cluster routing approach to model both bus stop location and routing in urban road networks where turn restrictions exist. The resulting multi-objective location-routing model is solved by a tabu search algorithm. As an application, we analyze a home-to-work bus service for a large research center located in Rome, Italy. This case study provides a benchmark for the algorithmic results, and shows the practical relevance of the proposed methodology.     

资金的时间价值在公路工程施工过程中的应用

企业可持续发展的关键是实现利润最大化。施工企业面对市场日益激烈的竞争,关键是要在工程施工过程中确定切实可行的施工方案。通过实例论述了资金时间价值在施工方案选定中的作用,综述了施工过程中技术与经济的全面结合对企业利润的提高具有重要意义。