Simulation of the mean zero-up-crossing wave period using artificial neural networks trained with a simulated annealing algorithm

The aim of this work was to develop a predictive model to forecast the mean zero-up-crossing wave periods (T _z ) for 3-hourly sea states at a location in the Pacific using artificial neural networks (ANNs). Seven multilayer ANNs were trained with a simulated annealing algorithm. The output of each trained ANN was used to estimate each of the seven parameters of a new distribution called the hepta-parameter spline proposed for the conditional distribution of T _z , given some mean zero-up-crossing wave periods and significant wave heights. After estimating the parameters of the distribution, the model was used to simulate and predict future values of T _z . Forecasting a sea state and developing the joint distribution of sea state characteristics with the help of the simulated characteristics are also discussed in this article.     

基于神经网络的感应电动机特性辨识新方法

提出并论证了一种基于神经网络的感应电动机特性辨识新方法,只需测得电机两相电流数值便可以辨识出电动机转矩和转速,用改进的Levenberg-Marquardt算法对神经网络进行学习和训练,构建了适合电动机转矩转速观测的BP神经网络。由于RBF神经网络无论是在逼近能力、函数拟合和学习速度方面都优于BP网络,也利用RBF网络进行了辨识。该方法较已经提出的方法相比,需要的检测量少,辨识方法简单。仿真研究表明,RBF神经网络辨识效果优于BP神经网络。     

大型物流企业运营质量的综合评价方法研究

针对大型物流企业运营质量评价问题,讨论了评价指标的选取原则,提出了评价运营质量的10项关键指标和模糊综合评判方法。结合在大型物流企业获得的调研数据,详细说明了对其运营质量进行模糊综合评判的方法和步骤。该方法能将定性分析和定量分析统一起来,使评价结果更为客观可信。     

多跳水下传感器网络中的功率分配算法

水下无线传感器网络的研究越来越受到学术界的重视,其典型特点是能量和带宽有限.多数水下无线传感器网络的应用都可以归结为参数估计问题.本文针对多跳水下无线传感器网络,对递进式的分布式参数估计算法进行了性能分析.在此基础上,利用交替最小化方法得到功率分配方案,目标是在给定的均方误差性能要求下,使得网络消耗的总功率最小.     

交通基础设施建设投资对国民经济拉动作用的定量分析

运用投入产出模型定量分析了公路交通基础设施建设投资对国民经济的拉动作用。拉动作用主要表现为公路建设投资所产生的直接、间接和诱导经济效益,其总和为公路建设投资的乘数效应,可分别用产出乘数、GDP乘数和就业乘数来测算。分析测算了我国近年来公路建设投资对国民经济的拉动作用。估算结果表明,(1)公路建筑业对其他部门的波及影响程度大于各部门的平均影响水平;(2)拉动作用在1998年最为显著,自1999年开始,公路投资拉动经济增长的百分比呈逐年上升的趋势。     

Multiple criteria optimization method for the vehicle assignment problem in a bus transportation company

A vehicle assignment problem (VAP) in a road, long‐haul, passenger transportation company with heterogeneous fleet of buses is considered in the paper. The mathematical model of the VAP is formulated in terms of multiobjective, combinatorial optimization. It has a strategic, long‐term character and takes into account four criteria that represent interests of both passengers and the company's management. The decision consists in the definition of weekly operating frequency (number of rides per week) of buses on international routes between Polish and Western European cities. The VAP is solved in a step‐wise procedure. In the first step a sample of efficient (Pareto‐optimal) solutions is generated using an original metaheuristic method called Pareto Memetic Algorithm (PMA). In the second step this sample is reviewed and evaluated by the Decision Maker (DM). In this phase an interactive, multiple criteria analysis method with graphical facilities, called Light Beam Search (LBS), is applied. The method helps the DM to define his/her preferences, direct the search process and select the most satisfactory solution.     

基于B/S方式的运输生产管理系统设计与实现

介绍基于B/S方式的运输生产管理系统的设计和实现过程,就设计思路、系统目标、功能模块进行阐述,并对关键技术的设计作了具体论述.本系统已在淄博车务段试运行成功,并在原青岛铁路分局站段内推广使用.     

Synthesis and Characterization of Polyurethane and Epoxy Resin Interpenetrating Polymer Network

A series of Polyurethane (PU)/bisphenol A based Epoxy Resin (EP) Interpenetrating Polymer Networks(IPN) were synthesized and characterized by SEM, DSC, TGA and DMTA. It was found that IPN shows the best compatibility and damping properties when the ratio of PU/EP is 80 to 20. The results show that chain-extender and higher molecular weight of PPG are able to improve the properties of compatibility, damping and thermal properties.     

基于时间序列相似性搜索的交通流短时预测方法

为了进一步提高交通流短时预测的效果,在分析现有预测模型存在问题的基础上,设计了1种基于时间序列相似性搜索的交通流短时多步预测方法.利用界标模型对交通流时间序列数据进行模式表示,在历史数据库中搜索与当前交通流时间序列相似度较高的历史时间序列,进而确定与预测时刻相对应的历史数据,利用回声状态网络模型实现交通流的短时多步预测.采用某特大城市快速路5 min采样间隔的交通流量数据进行实验验证和对比分析.实验结果表明,回声状态网络模型的预测精度分别比ARIMA模型和BP神经网络模型提高了6.25%和3.85%,以时间序列相似性搜索结果作为模型输入数据能够进一步提高交通流短时预测的精度.