Comparative analysis of three user equilibrium models under stochastic demand

Recent empirical studies on the value of time and reliability reveal that travel time variability plays an important role on travelers' route choice decision process. It can be considered as a risk to travelers making a trip. Therefore, travelers are not only interested in saving their travel time but also in reducing their risk. Typically, risk can be represented by two different aspects: acceptable risk and unacceptable risk. Acceptable risk refers to the reliability aspect of acceptable travel time, which is defined as the average travel time plus the acceptable additional time (or buffer time) needed to ensure more frequent on‐time arrivals, while unacceptable risk refers to the unreliability aspect of unacceptable late arrivals (though infrequent) that have a travel time excessively higher than the acceptable travel time. Most research in the network equilibrium based approach to modeling travel time variability ignores the unreliability aspect of unacceptable late arrivals. This paper examines the effects of both reliability and unreliability aspects in a network equilibrium framework. Specifically, the traditional user equilibrium model, the demand driven travel time reliability‐based user equilibrium model, and the α‐reliable mean‐excess travel time user equilibrium model are considered in the investigation under an uncertain environment due to stochastic travel demand. Numerical results are presented to examine how these models handle risk under travel time variability.     

Travel time estimation for urban road networks using low frequency probe vehicle data

The paper presents a statistical model for urban road network travel time estimation using vehicle trajectories obtained from low frequency GPS probes as observations, where the vehicles typically cover multiple network links between reports. The network model separates trip travel times into link travel times and intersection delays and allows correlation between travel times on different network links based on a spatial moving average (SMA) structure. The observation model presents a way to estimate the parameters of the network model, including the correlation structure, through low frequency sampling of vehicle traces. Link-specific effects are combined with link attributes (speed limit, functional class, etc.) and trip conditions (day of week, season, weather, etc.) as explanatory variables. The approach captures the underlying factors behind spatial and temporal variations in speeds, which is useful for traffic management, planning and forecasting. The model is estimated using maximum likelihood. The model is applied in a case study for the network of Stockholm, Sweden. Link attributes and trip conditions (including recent snowfall) have significant effects on travel times and there is significant positive correlation between segments. The case study highlights the potential of using sparse probe vehicle data for monitoring the performance of the urban transport system.     

I. intercity passenger transportation: energy consumption characteristics

The objective of this paper is to report energy consumption characteristics of Canadian intercity travel modes from a total energy viewpoint. For line haul as well as terminal access/egress operations, both the direct energy consumed for vehicle propulsion and the indirect energy required for the provision of intercity transportation services are investigated. In addition to a discussion of methods of estimating energy efficiency, factors affecting modal energy consumption are identified and the energy efficiency impact of technical developments are assessed. Energy efficiency information reported here is believed to be essential for planning, policy and conservation research at the disaggregated level.     

Designing heterogeneous sensor networks for estimating and predicting path travel time dynamics: An information-theoretic modeling approach

With a particular emphasis on the end-to-end travel time prediction problem, this paper proposes an information-theoretic sensor location model that aims to minimize total travel time uncertainties from a set of point, point-to-point and probe sensors in a traffic network. Based on a Kalman filtering structure, the proposed measurement and uncertainty quantification models explicitly take into account several important sources of errors in the travel time estimation/prediction process, such as the uncertainty associated with prior travel time estimates, measurement errors and sampling errors. By considering only critical paths and limited time intervals, this paper selects a path travel time uncertainty criterion to construct a joint sensor location and travel time estimation/prediction framework with a unified modeling of both recurring and non-recurring traffic conditions. An analytical determinant maximization model and heuristic beam-search algorithm are used to find an effective lower bound and solve the combinatorial sensor selection problem. A number of illustrative examples and one case study are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.     

Applying behavioural theories to studying the influence of climate change on young people’s future travel intentions

Transport policy in the UK is seeking to promote the development of low carbon transport technology and to encourage people to choose to use low carbon travel options. This paper draws on existing behavioural theories to study young people’s travel behaviour intentions and the influence on these from their knowledge of, and willingness to act on, climate change. The study involved a series of focus groups with young people aged 11-18 years, where attitudes to transport modes, attitudes towards climate change and travel behaviour intentions were discussed. Knowledge and values are established as the key determinants of young people’s attitudes and behaviour intentions towards transport in the context of climate change. More specifically it is established that young people’s values emphasise speed and freedom and that it is important to young people that the mode of transport they choose is reflective of the image they want to portray.     

一种无短停止距离及短环的准循环LDPC码构造方法

短停止距离及短环的存在使准循环LDPC（QC-LDPC）码的BER性能比随机构造的LDPC码的性能差,然而现有的准循环LDPC（QC-LDPC）码设计方法并没有同时考虑消除短停止距离和短环.为此,本文给出构造准循环LDPC码无短停止距离（停止距离为2和3）和无短环（4环和6环）的充要条件,解决了构造任意长度无短停止距离且无短环的QC-LDPC码的设计问题,为系统分析法构造校验矩阵提供了理论依据.在有效消除了短停止距离和短环的同时,使QC-LDPC码具有较大的最小汉明距离.实验结果表明,在中短码和长码时按照本文所提出定理设计的QC-LDPC码具有明显优于随机构造的LDPC码性能,且无错误平层.     

高速公路广告牌距指示牌距离对驾驶员的影响分析

随着高速公路的迅猛发展，高速公路广告牌日渐增多。它在为广告主带来高额收益的同时，也分担了高速公路的建设与管理成本。与此同时，高速公路广告的安全问题也开始受到关注。为了分析广告牌对驾驶员驾驶车辆产生的影响，规范高速公路广告牌设置，利用眼动仪采集相关数据，通过统计学方法分析影响驾驶员读取广告牌的因素，并提出相关建议，使广告牌设置能在保证驾驶员行驶安全的前提下兼顾广告商的利益。     

Illuminating the unseen in transit use: A framework for examining the effect of attitudes and perceptions on travel behavior

This study develops the Perception–Intention–Adaptation (PIA) framework to examine the role of attitudes, perceptions, and norms in public transportation ridership. The PIA framework is then applied to understand the relative importance of socio-demographic, built environment, transit service, and socio-psychological factors on public transit use for 279 residents of south Los Angeles, California, a predominately low-income, non-white neighborhood. Confirmatory factor analysis based on 21 survey items resulted in six transit-relevant socio-psychological factors which were used in regression models of two measures of transit use: the probability of using transit at least once in the 7-day observation period, and the mean number of daily transit trips. Our analysis indicates that two PIA constructs, attitudes toward public transportation and concerns about personal safety, significantly improved the model fit and were robust predictors of transit use, independent of built environment factors such as near-residence street network connectivity and transit service level. Results indicate the need for combined policy approaches to increasing transit use that not only enhance transit access, but also target attitudes about transit service and perceptions of crime on transit.     

大宗散货输送工程中长距离带式输送机的选择

根据长距离带式输送设备的特点和工程应用条件,按照输送效率、投资额度、地形条件适应性、环境敏感性、运行经济性等五大要素及其限制程度和调改性,对普通带式输送机、管状带式输送机、曲线带式输送机这3种代表机型进行综合分析,提出各种工程条件下的选型策略.