天津港回淤现状与回淤规律研究

根据天津港 1 994～ 1 998年实际维护疏浚工程参数的测定与分析 ,对全港的回淤状况有了充分认识 ,在此基础上 ,综合分析研究港域水文泥沙条件与回淤泥沙特性及影响回淤的主要因素 ,得出天津港现状下港池、航道泥沙、回淤强度分布计算式 ,并与实测资料进行了比较 ,两者结果相当一致     

智慧交通与智慧物流

智慧交通和智慧物流是智慧城市建设的重要内容.智慧交通技术的创新和发展，促进了智能交通升级.解决大规模数据计算问题是物流智能化的基础.本次论坛以“智慧交通和智慧物流”为主题，介绍了安全驾驶统一集理论、实践及成果，探讨了新一代信息技术对智能交通发展与创新的推动作用，介绍了无人驾驶技术的总体框架、发展与应用，探讨了智慧物流所面临的大规模数据计算问题及解决方案.     

Human driving data-based design of a vehicle adaptive cruise control algorithm

This paper presents a vehicle adaptive cruise control algorithm design with human factors considerations. Adaptive cruise control (ACC) systems should be acceptable to drivers. In order to be acceptable to drivers, the ACC systems need to be designed based on the analysis of human driver driving behaviour. Manual driving characteristics are investigated using real-world driving test data. The goal of the control algorithm is to achieve naturalistic behaviour of the controlled vehicle that would feel natural to the human driver in normal driving situations and to achieve safe vehicle behaviour in severe braking situations in which large decelerations are necessary. A non-dimensional warning index and inverse time-to-collision are used to evaluate driving situations. A confusion matrix method based on natural driving data sets was used to tune control parameters in the proposed ACC system. Using a simulation and a validated vehicle simulator, vehicle following characteristics of the controlled vehicle are compared with real-world manual driving radar sensor data. It is shown that the proposed control strategy can provide with natural following performance similar to human manual driving in both high speed driving and low speed stop-and-go situations and can prevent the vehicle-to-vehicle distance from dropping to an unsafe level in a variety of driving conditions.     

Forecasting travel behavior using Markov Chains-based approaches

Recent advances in agent-based micro-simulation modeling have further highlighted the importance of a thorough full synthetic population procedure for guaranteeing the correct characterization of real-world populations and underlying travel demands. In this regard, we propose an integrated approach including Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation and profiling-based methods to capture the behavioral complexity and the great heterogeneity of agents of the true population through representative micro-samples. The population synthesis method is capable of building the joint distribution of a given population with its corresponding marginal distributions using either full or partial conditional probabilities or both of them simultaneously. In particular, the estimation of socio-demographic or transport-related variables and the characterization of daily activity-travel patterns are included within the framework. The fully probabilistic structure based on Markov Chains characterizing this framework makes it innovative compared to standard activity-based models. Moreover, data stemming from the 2010 Belgian Household Daily Travel Survey (BELDAM) are used to calibrate the modeling framework. We illustrate that this framework effectively captures the behavioral heterogeneity of travelers. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the proposed framework is adequately adapted to meeting the demand for large-scale micro-simulation scenarios of transportation and urban systems.     

交通流特征深度认知的车队运行参数优化方法

为提升车队对周围交通流环境的认知能力，获取车队周围多车的运行模式，同时通过改变车队运行参数实现车队群体对周围多车群体运行模式的诱导变化，为提升车队及交通流整体运行效率提供优化策略，提出了基于狄利克雷混和高斯过程的车队周围多车运行模式获取算法，将车队周围多车车辆的复杂运行模式视为混和高斯过程，利用狄利克雷分布作为高斯混和权重的先验分布，建立车队周围多车运行模式速度场，从而获取车队周围多车运行模式并分类；通过比较不同多车运行模式下车队的运行效率，提升车队对所处运行环境的认知能力。研究结果表明：利用非参数贝叶斯算法将复杂的多车运行状态进行分类，获取的车队周围多车运行模式可表现为对车队运行效率产生不同影响的速度场；通过将车队周围的多车运行仿真数据分成多个运行模式，可获取不同多车运行模式下车队及交通流整体运行特性；通过更改车队运行参数，观察不同多车运行模式的占比变化，可获取车队运行参数对所处运行环境改变的影响趋势；车队周围多车运行模式的获取，不仅可以提升车队对周围运行环境的认知能力，使得车队能够选取有利路径行驶，同时能够为车队运行策略的优化提供有效的信息。     

用于智能驾驶系统评价的乘员损伤模型

只有较少的交通事故数据资源被用于建立基于碰撞速度信息的乘员损伤模型，致使所得到的模型精度差。为此，提出了基于车辆变形深度的乘员损伤模型。对美国不同制造年代和车辆级别的事故数据进行聚类分析，论证出车辆变形深度与乘员损伤风险具有相关性。以车辆变形深度为自变量，通过回归分析得到乘员损伤模型。不同种类车辆的乘员损伤模型拟合精度R²约为0.9，证明了该模型的正确性。为进一步验证，以此模型为基础，评价智能驾驶系统的有效性。以自动紧急制动系统为例，对比基于变形深度和速度变化量信息2种方法的有效性计算结果。结果表明：2组结果的平均误差不超过1%，验证了基于变形深度的乘员损伤模型的准确性。该模型仅需要事故数据库中准确的变形深度信息，能够获得更多的事故数据支持，从而可以更好地适应于不同类别智能驾驶系统的评价需求。     

Geometric design safety estimation based on tire–road side friction

A closed-loop drive–vehicle–road–environment system (DVRES) model was established using Adams/Car and Matlab/Simulink. Dynamic responses of lateral tire forces based on tire–road side friction and road geometric characteristics are used to investigate vehicle side slip for geometric design safety estimation. The root mean square, the maximum values of lateral tire forces, comfort limit on curves and vehicle trajectories are used to quantify the safety margin of side friction. The simulation results show that the safety margins of lateral tire forces for radius, operating speed and superelevation rate were 18.2%, 19.3% and 17.6%, respectively, to guarantee good vehicle lateral reliability and ride comfort, while lower speeds are optimal in wet and slippery roads. Finally, a case study was conducted to illustrate the analysis of road design safety, and on-site experiment testing further validated the accuracy and reliability of the closed-loop DVRES model.     

基于多维信息特征分析的驾驶人认知负荷研究

准确评估驾驶人认知负荷水平，对于深入研究驾驶人行为特性，改善驾驶安全性具有重要意义。现有的驾驶人认知负荷分类方法，大多基于心电、脑电等生理信息和车辆信息，由于特征选择上的单一性，导致驾驶人认知负荷分类模型的分类精度不高。设计基于跟驰场景的不同认知负荷N-back次任务试验，通过采集受试者的生理信号和车辆信号，结合NASA_TLX主观评分和机器学习算法，提出了基于多维信息特征融合的驾驶人认知负荷分类方法。研究表明：基于生理信息和车辆信息的多维信息特征认知负荷分类方法，其精度显著高于传统的基于生理信息的认知负荷分类方法，以多维信息特征为输入，随机森林法以其稳定性好、抗过拟合能力强的特点，表现出优异的分类效果，相比神经网络和支持向量机，具有最高的平均分类精度。     

铁道车辆轴箱弹簧断裂故障对动力学性能的影响

车辆运行过程中,当轴箱弹簧突发断裂故障,会造成动力学状态和性能突变,一系悬挂刚度突然减小,暂时失去承载能力,会威胁车辆行车安全。结合整车的动力学仿真,建立了轴箱弹簧断裂过程的力学模型,对整个断裂过程进行仿真,模拟了轴箱弹簧突然断裂工况下车辆动力学性能变化,分析了轴箱弹簧断裂条件下车辆直线行车安全性以及曲线通过安全性。计算分析结果表明:轴箱弹簧突然断裂导致一系悬挂刚度剧变,引起轮轨垂向力先减小后增大,轮重减载率、脱轨系数等参数增大直至超限,但对轮轨横向力影响不大。     

Women’s mode and trip structure choices in daily activity-travel: a developing country perspective

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we analyze the travel patterns of Iranian women, where typical patriarchal views and specific social and cultural norms may differ from the patterns of those in western societies. In addition to inherent psycho-physical gender differences, women in Iran can face special constraints forcing them not to be involved in all activity-travel patterns that people in developed countries usually undertake. We pay special attention to the role of marital and employment status on women’s activity-travel patterns. To this end, we develop a joint mode and daily activity pattern (DAP) discrete choice model, which is a two-level mixed nested Logit. The upper nest of the proposed model embodies women’s DAP choices, and the lower nest belongs to the mode choices. In this paper, we try to show how different factors in a patriarchal Muslim society like Iran affect or restrict women’s type and structure of activity-travel patterns.