Strategies to achieve deep reductions in metropolitan transportation GHG emissions: the case of Philadelphia

ABSTRACT

This paper investigates strategies that could achieve an 80% reduction in transportation emissions from current levels by 2050 in the City of Philadelphia. The baseline daily lifecycle emissions generated by road transportation in the Greater Philadelphia Region in 2012 were quantified using trip information from the 2012 Household Travel Survey (HTS). Emissions were projected to the year 2050 accounting for population growth and trends in vehicle technology for both the Greater Philadelphia Region and the City of Philadelphia. The impacts of vehicle technology and shifts in travel modes on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2050 were quantified using a scenario approach. The analysis of 12 different scenarios suggests that 80% reduction in emissions is technically feasible through a combination of active transportation, cleaner fuels for public transit vehicles, and a significant market penetration of battery-electric vehicles. The additional electricity demand associated with greater use of electric vehicles could amount to 10.8 TWh/year. The use of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) shows promising results due to high reductions in GHG emissions at a potentially manageable cost.     

Modeling the relationships among urban passenger travel carbon dioxide emissions,transportation demand and supply,population density,and proxy policy variables

To support the development of policies that reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by encouraging reduced travel and increased use of efficient transportation modes, it is necessary to better understand the explanatory effects that transportation, population density, and policy variables have on passenger travel related CO₂ emissions. This study presents the development of a model of CO₂ emissions per capita as a function of various explanatory variables using data on 146 urbanized areas in the United States. The model takes into account selectivity bias resulting from the fact that adopting policies aimed at reducing emissions in an urbanized area may be partly driven by the presence of environmental concerns in that area. The results indicate that population density, transit share, freeway lane-miles per capita, private vehicle occupancy, and average travel time have a statistically significant explanatory effect on passenger travel related CO₂ emissions. In addition, the presence of automobile emissions inspection programs, which serves as a proxy indicator of other policies addressing environmental concerns and which could influence travelers in making environmentally favorable travel choices, markedly changes the manner in which transportation variables explain CO₂ emission levels.     

Commuters’ behavior towards upgraded bus services in Greater Beirut: Implications for greenhouse gas emissions,social welfare and transport policy

Climate change is one of the most critical environmental challenges faced in the world today. The transportation sector alone contributes to 22% of carbon emissions, of which 80% are contributed by road transportation. In this paper we investigate the potential private car greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction and social welfare gains resulting from upgrading the bus service in the Greater Beirut Area. To this end, a stated preference (SP) survey on mode switching from private car to bus was conducted in this area and analyzed by means of a mixed logit model. We then used the model outputs to simulate aggregate switching behavior in the study area and the attendant welfare and environmental gains and private car GHG emissions reductions under various alternative scenarios of bus service upgrade. We recommend a bundle of realistic bus service improvements in the short term that will result in a reasonable shift to buses and measurable reduction in private car emissions. We argue that such improvements will need to be comprehensive in scope and include both improvements in bus level of service attributes (access/egress time, headway, in-vehicle travel time, and number of transfers) and the provision of amenities, including air-conditioning and Wi-Fi. Moreover, such a service needs to be cheaply priced to achieve reasonably high levels of switching behavior. With a comprehensively overhauled bus service, one would expect that bus ridership would increase for commuting purposes at first, and once the habit for it is formed, for travel purposes other than commuting, hence dramatically broadening the scope of private car GHG emissions reduction. This said, this study demonstrates the limits of focused sectorial policies in targeting and reducing private car GHG emissions, and highlights the need for combining behavioral interventions with other measures, most notably technological innovations, in order for the contribution of this sector to GHG emissions mitigation to be sizable.     

混合不确定条件下绿色多式联运路径优化

主要研究了当运输时间、中转时间、客户需求和中转集拼货运量四重混合不确定因素服从随机分布时的绿色多式联运路径优化问题，运用随机优化理论，以运输成本、碳排放成本和时间惩罚成本为目标，建立混合不确定条件下绿色多式联运路径优化模型.通过对各子目标函数权重进行赋值，得出考虑不同成本因素的多式联运路径优化方案.探讨时间、需求和网络服务能力对多式联运路径优化结果的灵敏度分析，发现各成本随时间变动而变化的规律和边际运输成本最小时的服务时间；当货运量形成规模效应后可降低边际运输成本；不同网络服务规模的运输路径优化结果，以及满足客户不确定需求的最小网络配置.     

Marginal costs of freeway traffic congestion with on-road pollution exposure externality

The health cost of on-road air pollution exposure is a component of traffic marginal costs that has not previously been assessed. The main objective of this paper is to introduce on-road pollution exposure as an externality of traffic, particularly important during traffic congestion when on-road pollution exposure is highest. Marginal private and external cost equations are developed that include on-road pollution exposure in addition to time, fuel, and pollution emissions components. The marginal external cost of on-road exposure includes terms for the marginal vehicle’s emissions, the increased emissions from all vehicles caused by additional congestion from the marginal vehicle, and the additional exposure duration for all travelers caused by additional congestion from the marginal vehicle. A sensitivity analysis shows that on-road pollution exposure can be a large portion (18%) of marginal social costs of traffic flow near freeway capacity, ranging from 4% to 38% with different exposure parameters. In an optimal pricing scenario, excluding the on-road exposure externality can lead to 6% residual welfare loss because of sub-optimal tolls. While regional pollution generates greater costs in uncongested conditions, on-road exposure comes to dominate health costs on congested freeways because of increased duration and intensity of exposure. The estimated marginal cost and benefit curves indicate a theoretical preference for price controls to address the externality problem. The inclusion of on-road exposure costs reduces the magnitudes of projects required to cover implementation costs for intelligent transportation system (ITS) improvements; the net benefits of road-pricing ITS systems are increased more than the net benefits of ITS traffic flow improvements. When considering distinct vehicle classes, inclusion of on-road exposure costs greatly increases heavy-duty vehicle marginal costs because of their higher emissions rates and greater roadway capacity utilization. Lastly, there are large uncertainties associated with the parameters utilized in the estimation of health outcomes that are a function of travel pollution intensity and duration. More research is needed to develop on-road exposure modeling tools that link repeated short-duration exposure and health outcomes.     

透平发电机组的自动控制

透平发电机组在实际运行过程中，一方面为乙烯装置提供不同压力等级的蒸汽动力，一方面又将热能转化为电能。因此，透平发电机组的自动控制对整个乙烯装置的平衡运行都非常重要。而透平发电机组要完成减温减压和发电两个任务，常规控制仪表是很难实现的，完成这两个任务主要是由DG505E电子自动高速速器来完成的。文中在简单介绍透平发电机组工艺原理基础上，着重讨论了透平发电机的自控制系统、联锁保护系统的设计方案。     

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随着城市机动车保有量的逐年增加,汽车尾气排放已成为许多大城市空气的主要污染源。以一氧化碳（CO）、氮氧化物（NOx）和碳氢化合物（HC）为评价因子,基于单车排放因子与车速之间的关系、交通流三参数的关系,建立了路段总排放量与车速、车型比例、交通量三个因素之间的数学模型。运用非线性规划理论,建立了以路段通行能力为主要约束条件,以污染物排放量最小为目标的最优化模型,以及求解算法。通过实例证明,通过调控路段上车型构成来调控实际交通量的大小,间接地调控行驶车速,进行排放量控制的方法是可行的。     

基于绝对坐标的商用车排气管设计

针对常规设计方法容易引起的排气管漏气、排气管难以加工及整车排气系振动较大的问题,文章使用CAD、CATIA和EXCEL工具,提出利用绝对坐标对商用车排气管进行精确化设计的方法,使设计、计算和检验一体化,大大缩短设计和检验周期,已在生产实践中得到应用。     

共轨柴油机燃烧纯生物柴油的试验研究

对一台国产涡轮增压直喷柴油机燃烧0#柴油和纯生物柴油的动力性、燃油经济性和排放性能进行对比试验研究。试验结果表明,在柴油机不进行任何调整的情况下,燃烧纯生物柴油会降低其动力性和燃油经济性,但可大幅度改善CO、HC和PM的排放性能。     

缓速器和排气制动联合作用恒速仿真模型研究

通过液力缓速器和排气制动外特性曲线,借助simulink建立包括环境因素在内的缓速器和排气制动联合制动的恒速仿真模型,通过PID算法对恒速模型进行控制,仿真实验表明该恒速仿真模型可以有效的保证车辆恒速下坡功能并适应更为复杂的工况。