公路客运短期运量预测研究

科学有效地预测公路客运量对于公路客运的管理和决策具有重要意义。本文结合实际应用,基于客运量中短期变化规律的分析,对公路客运量短期预测方法进行研究,给出了预测系统的总体结构和预测算法,以协助运力配置、运力调拨,进而实现运力运量的平衡。     

Recent observations in the straits of the East/Japan Sea: A review of hydrography, currents and volume transports

Recent observations of hydrography, currents and volume transports in the straits of the East/Japan Sea are reviewed. It is newly found that bottom cold water in the Korea/Tsushima Strait originating from the northern region of the East/Japan Sea appears not only in summer and autumn but also in winter. Intensive observations in the Korea/Tsushima Strait revealed two distinct cores of northeastward currents in the upper layer of the western and eastern channels. Mean volume transport through the Korea/Tsushima Strait is calculated as 2.5 ± 0.5 Sv from four-year direct and indirect measurements. As continuous monitoring has started in the Tsugaru and Soya Straits, understanding of temporal variability of currents and volume transports through the straits is in progress. For the first time, simultaneous time series of volume transports are available in the Korea/Tsushima and Tsugaru Straits during the winter of 1999–2000. Ouflow through the Tsugaru Strait accounts for about 70% of inflow through the Korea/Tsushima Strait for this period.     

交通宁静化及对路网的影响

交通宁静化的基本思想是通过采取一系列有效措施来抑制机动车需求,从而实现居民区交通的宁静化,为行人和自行车提供安全、舒适的环境。分析几种常见的交通宁静化措施及其适用性,阐述了进行交通宁静化措施影响分析的要点,探讨交通宁静化措施对路网的影响分析方法,并建立了路网影响分析模型。     

An inverse model for calculation of global volume transport from wind and hydrographic data

The P-vector inverse method has been successfully used to invert the absolute velocity from hydrographic data for the extra-equatorial hemispheres, but not for the equatorial region since it is based on the geostrophic balance. A smooth interpolation scheme across the equator is developed in this study to bring together the two already known solutions (P-vectors) for the extra-equatorial hemispheres. This model contains four major components: (a) the P-vector inverse model to obtain the solutions for the two extra-equatorial hemispheres, (b) the objective method to determine the Ψ-values at individual islands, (c) the Poisson equation-solver to obtain the Π-values over the equatorial region from the volume transport vorticity equation, and (d) the Poisson equation-solver to obtain the Ψ and depth-integrated velocity field (U, V) over the globe from the Poisson Ψ-equation. The Poisson equation-solver is similar to the box model developed by Wunsch. Thus, this method combines the strength from both box and P-vector models. The calculated depth-integrated velocity and Ψ-field agree well with earlier studies.     

大体积混凝土冬期施工控制

控制大体积混凝土冬期施工裂缝的关键是混凝土配合比设计和根据工程实际情况采取的温控措施。     

LY温拌剂对沥青混合料性能影响研究

LY温拌剂是一种使用多种废旧材料复合而成的温拌添加剂。通过对LY温拌沥青混合料和热拌沥青混合料的性能测试及比较,结果表明：添加该温拌剂对沥青混合料的性能提升效果明显,优于对应热拌沥青混合料。     

冠状动脉结扎前后容量负荷对狗两心室功能的影响

本实验研究了狗左冠状动脉前降支(LAD)结扎前后,以动脉放血和静脉输液改变容量负荷(VL),对左、右心室功能的影响。结果表明,LAD 结扎前后,两心室舒缩性能和泵功能对 VL 改变的反应均有明显差别。提示,心肌梗塞后,降低 VL可改善左心室功能,应防止 VL 过重对心功能的不利影响。     

铁路货运量的灰色预测模型

通过对近年全国铁路货运量的统计数据进行分析,运用灰色理论建立了铁路货运量预测模型。经过实际数据计算和精度检验,验证了灰色预测模型的有效性。     

锥体铁路罐车容积检定方法的研究

根据锥体铁路罐车的结构特点,研究锥体铁路罐车容积计算方法、检定方法,采用"铁路罐车容积量传系统"对检定方法进行试验验证,确定了新型锥体铁路罐车容积检定、容积表编制方法。     

城市客运交通枢纽预警分级阈值简析

交通枢纽作为服务于公共交通之间以及公共交通与其它交通方式之间客流转换的场所,是改善整个交通系统,提高居民出行效率、解决出行换乘等问题的重要影响因素。本文结合东直门综合运输枢纽信息服务平台工程,采集枢纽客流进出量,总结客流统计规律,对东直门交通枢纽预警分级阈值进行简析,相关研究成果可为交通枢纽预警分级阈值分析提供参考。