公交专用道路实施效果总体分析

目前,我国许多城市陆续设置公交专用道路,通过实现公交优先通行来切实提高公共交通系统的服务水平.通过从线路总体来分析公交专用道的设置对公交准点率的影响,对沿线车站的准点运行情况进行对比分析,提出一些关于公交专用道设置的建议.     

基于ABAQUS的板桩码头地震动力响应研究*

基于ABAQUS软件的隐式模块和有限元-无限元方法对单锚板桩码头进行了地震动响应研究。研究发现,在相同地震波不同加速度峰值情况下,峰值加速度对板桩码头的板桩弯矩、剪力和拉杆拉力有重要影响,与静力分析时的情况相比较,地震加速度峰值每增大0.1g,板桩最大弯矩相应增大约40%,拉杆拉力增大约10%~50%,但拉杆拉力增幅在后期逐渐趋于稳定;地震作用下,拉杆最大拉力与板桩墙最大剪力(单宽)基本相等;地震加速度峰值对板桩墙底与锚碇之间塑性区开展范围也有一定的影响。结果表明,与静载相比,地震对板桩码头的影响不容忽视。研究结果可为板桩码头考虑地震影响的设计提供参考。     

不同无机质对球磨脱氯的影响及中间产物的研究

基于提高脱氯效率的目的,向研磨反应中分别掺杂九种不同的无机质,并对脱氯结果进行比较,结果表明,在过量氧化钙的环境中,二氧化硅的加入有利于脱氯反应的进行,并能大大提高脱氯率,远高于其他八种物质;另外,金属碱性的强弱是影响脱氯效果的一个重要因素;水分的加入不利于脱氯反应的进行.对于研磨后样品随研磨时间的变化,本实验也通过XRD,TG,DTG和FTIR等手段进行了表征,观察发现在5 h之后,脱氯率没有明显变化,但大分子有机质仍然会进行反应,生成小分子有机物质.     

考虑可靠性的降级路网最优路径搜索方法

针对路网降级时路网出行时间的随机性和可靠性对出行者路径选择影响较大的问题,研究了降级路网可靠性路径的选择方法．基于BPR路段出行时间模型,构建了降级路网路径出行时间的均值模型及其可靠度模型．以路径出行时间最小、路径出行时间最可靠为目标,构建了路径选择的双目标加权规划模型,设计了基于改进蚁群算法的模型求解算法．算例分析表明：该算法能快速获取可靠的路径．     

An empirical model for estimating berth and sailing times of mega container ships

ABSTRACT

We provide two empirical models for calculating the sailing time and berth time of maritime container liner networks to effectively model the ambiguity associated with sea and port contingency for ex-ante decisions of fleet deployment and route planning. The models are based on recorded AIS data of 110 mega vessels including all the operating container mega vessels with a capacity of 16,000 TEU or more during the summer of 2015. The models are able to estimate the sailing time (with R² of 0.974) and the berth time (with R² of 0.895) without knowledge of any operational-level explanatory variables. The models are validated against the published East Asia–North Europe services. Moreover, the study reveals that vessel operators adopt different berthing and sailing strategies even under the same conditions.     

船员娱乐的组织与管理探讨

文中对我国船员娱乐现状和存在的问题以及造成的原因进行了分析,提出了应当采取的措施,并对下一步应当进行的工作和研究进行了展望。     

A State-of-the-Art Review: Developments in Utility Theory,Prospect Theory and Regret Theory to Investigate Travellers' Behaviour in Situations Involving Travel Time Uncertainty

Abstract

Despite the wide use of utility theory to model travellers' behaviour, the interest in non-expected utility theories has increased due to their potential to capture more realistic behaviour. A main question raised is whether travellers are better described as utility maximizers or should be qualified differently.

This paper presents a literature review on the use of expected utility theory (EUT), prospect theory (PT) and regret theory (RT) to model travellers' behaviour. Gaps in the literature are identified and a discussion about advantages and disadvantages of each theory is presented. A case study illustrates the differences between the theories.

Under certain conditions, PT and RT restrict themselves to EUT. Their added value, however, is the possibility of capturing loss aversion, risk aversion and risk-seeking (PT) and regret aversion (RT). On the practical level, the use of EUT is well established, while contributions of PT and RT are marginal. On the theoretical level, however, RT seems to be (marginally) more suitable to model travellers' behaviour, while EUT and PT are equally suitable. This suggests that the large use of EUT is highly influenced by its very tractable framework. We do not claim the superiority of any theory, but propose to compare them through a systematic review.     

堤防水泥固化培土强度的试验研究

水泥固化土是近年来用于堤防防渗、提高边坡稳定性及提高抗冲刷能力的一种新技术，为了提高水泥土的应用水平，通过室内试验研究了水泥土的无侧限强度与水泥掺人比、水灰比、龄期的关系，认为满足工程应用的最佳水泥掺量比大于8％。     

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针对城市道路环境中驾驶人的应激响应操作时间特性,基于虚拟现实技术搭建了测试平台,对28名驾驶人在不同应激场景下的应激操作时间进行了研究.不同应激场景下的数据分析结果表明,非熟练驾驶人的应激操作时间要小于熟练驾驶人,且时间值较为稳定.青年驾驶人的操作时间值最小,且数据最为稳定.此外,随着车速的上升,驾驶人操作时间呈现下降趋势,两者之间符合对数函数关系.以驾驶经验、驾驶人年龄和车速为自变量,采用对数函数的多元线性预测模型能够对驾驶人的应激操作时间进行准确预测,被试样本实测值落在预测区间的比例达到了98.37%.