汽车制造、使用及回收的生命周期分析

为了研究汽车全生命过程对环境产生的影响,采用生命周期分析的方法对汽车制造、使用及回收3个阶段中所产生的排放物进行了分析和计算,并对汽车使用90号无铅汽油、液化石油气、液化天然气、车用乙醇汽油对环境造成的影响进行了比较。结果表明:3个阶段对环境都有一定的污染;使用液化天然气和车用乙醇汽油为汽车燃料以及对报废汽车进行能源化回收利用是有益的。     

西部地区高速公路发展规划生态环境影响评价——指标体系构建及评价方法探讨

在探讨战略环境评价意义的基础上，按照战略环境评价指标体系构建的一般步骤，针对高速公路规划自然生态环境的影响因素，建立了公路交通发展的战略性生态环境评价的可选指标集，并根据指标的特点给出了一种基于GIS技术的评价方法。这种构建指标体系的方法简单易行，评价要素明确，层次分明，构建的可选指标集可为西部地区高速公路发展规划生态环境评价提供参考。     

车辆随机动态荷载的多层次分析

根据影响车辆随机动态荷载的主要因素，在设定的多层次指标体系的基础上，将层次分析法（AHP）用于随机动态荷载的评定中。该方法将复杂的车辆随机动态荷载问题分解成若干层次，在各层次上对随机动态荷载进行定量分析。根据分析结果,建立了随机动态荷载的分级标准，为合理荷载模型的确定提供了依据。     

运营公路隧道安全评估

通过对某运营公路隧道的衬砌和路面状况、衬砌厚度与其背后回填状况、衬砌混凝土强度、隧道净空断面、风道吊杆和吊顶板、隧道路面横坡及抗滑性能等的调查与检测,对其安全性进行了评估,结果表明下行隧道病害严重,已达到“2A”级,需要尽早对隧道衬砌背后的空洞、隧道衬砌裂缝和渗漏水等问题进行全面综合整治。文章介绍了该隧道安全评估的检测项目、方法及频率。     

Extensive study on the design loads used for strength assessment of tanker and bulk carrier structures

ClassNK has undertaken wide-ranging basic research covering many aspects related to the safety of ship structures, including design loads, structural analysis, strength assessment of buckling, collapse, and fatigue, and rational corrosion margins to develop new design standards which have transparency and consistency. Among the wide-ranging basic research, this article summarizes the results of extensive work on the design loads used for strength assessments of tanker and bulk carrier structures. The main aim of the research was to develop practical estimation methods of design loads with rational technical backgrounds relating to the actual loads acting on the primary structural members of tankers and bulk carriers. During this study, we proposed the following methodology. Design sea states that closely resemble the actual sea states which are considered to be the most severe for hull structures. Find practical estimation methods for the design sea states by parametric studies using the results of series calculations on representative tankers and bulk carriers. Find practical estimation methods for design regular waves which will result in the same level of stresses as those induced in irregular waves under the design sea states. We also briefly introduced some practical estimation methods for the design loads, such as ship motions, accelerations, hull-girder bending moments, and hydrodynamic pressures that are induced under design regular waves. The findings in this study have been summarized and implemented in the new design standards for tanker and bulk carrier structures.Updated from the Japanese original which won the 2003 SNAJ prize (J Soc Nav Archit Jpn 2002; 191:195–207; 2002; 191:208–220; and 2002; 192:723–733)     

An integrated assessment of alternative land-based passenger transport policies: A case study in Tenerife

Over recent decades, there have been numerous cases of land-based transport policies that have lacked clear and coherent strategies. This has not only hampered the resolution of issues like road congestion, but has also created new ones (e.g. strong social opposition to new train infrastructures). The absence of such strategies highlights the need for long-term transport policies with a wider vision of the issues, since land-based transport cannot be considered from just a technical perspective.The main objective of this article is to implement a participatory integrated approach to facilitate the understanding of land-based passenger transport governance issues on Tenerife, in the Canary Islands. Relevant policy issues and alternatives are identified by the stakeholders involved. The inclusion of stakeholders in the assessment process is crucial to frame transport governance issues appropriately and to define and assess plausible policy alternatives. This assessment process even included a final step of validation of the results by stakeholders to foster discussion among them about transport issues and policy alternatives.Finally, due to the obstructive role played by some stakeholders in influencing past transport policies, an analysis of possible coalitions among stakeholders is also discussed.     

Estimating economic losses of industry clusters due to port disruptions

Seaport operations are highly important for industries which rely heavily on imports and exports. A reliable evaluation of port risks is essential to govern the normal running of seaborne transportation and thus the industrial economies. The occurrence of a breakdown in the trade facilitators, such as ports, will disrupt the smooth flow of supply chains for the industries. The estimation of the economic loss for an industry when a port gets disrupted is a challenging task as the relationship between the port and industry clusters is complex. This study aims to develop a systematic framework for performing economic loss estimation of industry clusters due to port disruptions. The whole risk assessment is split into three stages focusing on the establishment of a network flow model, economic estimations and evaluating risk mitigation strategies. The proposed idea is demonstrated by a case study on Shenzhen port and its related manufacturing industries. A dynamic inventory control strategy used by manufacturers is found to be beneficial for mitigating port disruption risks.     

基于盲数理论的我国海上战略通道安全风险评价

对我国海上战略通道进行安全风险评价是保障海上通道安全的重要环节。由于海上战略通道的安全风险具有多种不确定性，故可运用盲数理论建立我国海上战略通道安全风险等级评价的盲数模型。通过专家打分的方法对影响因素进行未确知测度，构造判断矩阵获得影响因素的权重，从而得到模型的综合未确知测度，根据既定的评价准则获得海上通道的安全风险级别。文中对我国重要的海上通道马六甲海峡进行了安全风险评价，其评价结果为：马六甲海峡的安全级别为较危险级别，验证了该盲数模型的有效性。     

铁路隧道震害评估中标度法及权重值的确定研究

基于层次分析法原理,建立了铁路隧道结构构造和常见震害形式的层次模型,通过采用1-9标度法、9/9-9/1分数标度法、10/10-18/2分数标度法、20/2~28/2指数标度法、90/8~98/8指数标度法等5种方法分别构建判断矩阵,借助Matlab软件求最大特征值λmax后,运用计算一致性指标(CI)和平均随机一致性指标(RI),得出计算一致性比例CR指标值,对5种常用权重值计算方法的适用性进行检验。研究表明:在铁路隧道地震灾害损失定量评估时,采用9/9~9/1分数标度法计算权重值较为快速、准确、合理、便捷,可作为铁路隧道灾害定量损失评估权重值的计算依据。     

模糊层次分析法在高技术企业创业环境评价中的应用

研究高技术企业创业环境评价问题，运用系统分析方法构建了高技术企业创业环境评价指标体系，在此基础上深入研究了模糊层次分析法在高技术企业创业环境评价中的具体运用．结果表明模糊层次分析法是高技术企业创业环境评价的一个新的、有效的方法，最后对模糊层次分析法应用的局限性作了简要的分析．