编组站系统能力协调度的计算分析

以编组站实际作业过程为研究背景,基于编组站车流到达的不均衡性,将每一时段[ti-1,ti)的车流输入强度划分为3种不同的到达状态,结合对车流状态及编组站各系统能力的分析,得出编组站系统作业能力的协调度计算公式,最后,根据某编组站的实际车流量,计算出该编组站车流密集到达状态下的系统协调度。实例计算分析表明:所得出的协调度计算结果能够反映出编组站系统能力协调的薄弱环节,为提高编组站整体作业能力提供了一种新的方法。     

松动圈理论在冬瓜山采矿巷道支护设计中的应用

基于深部巷道工程由于其复杂的赋存条件和应力环境使得浅部工程的支护技术和方法不能满足深部巷道工程的需要,采用松动圈理论对冬瓜山采矿巷道进行支护设计。通过对松动圈支护理论及松动圈测试进行研究,将不同地方围岩破坏情况(松动圈值)分为松动圈基准值(Lp1)和关键点松动圈值(Lp2),作为支护参数设计的量化指标,对巷道不同地方采取有区别的支护。将其运用于深部采矿巷道支护工程实践,通过现场位移监测验证了松动圈支护技术在深部工程应用中的合理性。     

中心地空间理论在地铁换乘枢纽设计中的应用

从地铁换乘枢纽设施的组成、分类方面,将克里斯塔勒中心地空间理论引入换乘枢纽的平面布置设计,提出按照换乘枢纽流线组织,将设施分为高级中心、次级中心、低级中心,并结合影响服务区进行布局的方法,以北京南站换乘枢纽为例,验证中心地空间理论在地铁换乘枢纽设施布置设计方面应用的有效性。     

Total cost analysis: An alternative to benefit-cost analysis in evaluating transportation alternatives

This paper explains the theory in support of total cost analysis (TCA) to compare transportation system alternatives. The full costs of each alternative are first aggregated, including travel time costs and monetizable environmental and social costs. Many costs which are considered on the benefits side of the equation in benefit-cost analysis (BCA) as "cost savings" are brought over to the costs side. Total cost differences among alternatives are then traded off against their estimated non-monetized benefits or impacts, just as a consumer trades off product quality against cost before deciding which product he or she will buy. One advantage of TCA over traditional BCA is that the concept of "total cost" is more easily understood by the public and by political decision-makers than BCA concepts such as "net present worth", "benefit-cost ratio" and "internal rate of return". A second advantage is that there is no suggestion that all "benefits" have been considered; decision-makers are free to use their own value judgements to trade off total cost against non-monetizable social, environmental and economic impacts, just as they trade off quality and convenience against cost when purchasing goods and services in their roles as consumers. The TCA approach is demonstrated in this paper through a case study of two systemwide alternatives for the Baltimore, MD urban area.     

Uncertain demand,modal competition and optimal price-capacity adjustments in air transportation

A new microeconomic model for the operation of an airline facing modal competition with uncertain total demand is developed to analyze optimal price capacity combinations. The novelty is the treatment of the capacity restriction, which is not viewed as affecting negatively individual preferences (e.g. probability of a full flight), but does influence aggregate utility. A mode choice model is used to represent unrestricted individual preferences assuming full availability (phone call demand); air capacity is treated as a variable that acts on the actual choice set. Restricted choices and total demand stochasticity are integrated in welfare calculations (users' benefits and profits). Numerical examples are given and results are analyzed in terms of load factors fare levels, and sensitivity to the stochasticity of requests.This research was partially funded by FONDECYT, Chile, Direction Génerale de l'Aviation Civile, France, the Andes Foundation and the Fulbright Commission.     

钢管混凝土拱桥在车辆荷载作用下的非线性动力响应分析

根据随动硬化理论和钢管混凝土组合材料恢复力模型 ,提出了复杂应力状态下钢管混凝土组合材料的弹塑性应力应变关系。采用非线性有限元法 ,对一钢管混凝土拱桥进行移动车辆荷载作用下车—桥体系的动力响应分析 ,并进一步研究钢管混凝土组合材料进入塑性后对体系振动的影响 ,取得了较满意的结果 ,为钢管混凝土拱桥动力性能评价提供参考。     

沥青混合料转运车模型试验研究

在分析沥青混合料转运车的工作原理及作用的基础上,根据相似理论,设计了沥青混合料转运车相似模型,试验揭示了其结构参数对改善沥青混合料离析程度的影响,得出了材料离析率与螺旋轴转速、螺距及螺旋半径之间的关系,为沥青混合料转运车的设计开发提供科学可靠的依据。     

边坡滑动面三维空间有限元分析

提出了一种用三维潜在滑移面法分析三维边坡滑动面及稳定性的新方法,该方法根据弹塑性有限元的应力分析结果,用数值积分方法确定边坡的潜在滑移面、最危险潜在滑移面和边坡稳定性安全系数,具有充分的理论依据。通过对大量三维边坡实例的稳定性安全系数及最危险滑动面的分析得出,三维边坡按平面边坡处理会引起较大的分析误差,三维边坡应该按三维问题进行分析。     

宁夏地区沥青路面养护专家系统的开发

传统的项目层次的沥青路面养护决策方法是依靠养护工程师在现场进行评价决策,这种传统的决策方法虽然准确有效,但也存在效率低、决策有差异性、区域性养护标准不统一等问题。本研究通过对宁夏地区普通公路养护专家知识和经验的提取,建立了一套基于路面管理系统(CPMS)数据库和专家知识的沥青路面养护专家系统,它能够解决基层公路管理部门所面临的养护决策问题,是对CPMS网级系统的补充和对CPMS技术的完善。     

公路交通经济增长中的制度因素分析

在总结传统的经济增长理论(资本决定论、技术进步论、人力资本论、专业化的人力资本和特殊知识积累论)的基础上,采用新制度经济学的分析方法,对建国以来中国公路交通的制度变迁和经济绩效及其相互关系进行了实证分析,指出了制度在公路交通发展中的极端重要性;提出了"生产要素的制度性边界"这一概念,指出制度边界具有随经济、技术等因素变化而不断变化的特性,在此基础上建立了新的经济增长分析框架和模型;为打破制度的"低度均衡",扩展生产要素的制度边界,最后提出了关于加快制度创新的建议。