预防性维修最佳维修周期决策

综合考虑预防性维修最小费用准则和最大可用度准则,利用多目标规划法优化模型,并利用实例进行验证,证实了这种方法的可行性。     

铁道机车车辆电子产品的RAMS

根据IEC 62278-2002提出的铁道风险评估框架，阐述了铁道机车车辆电子产品的RAMS。对电子产品危害出现的频度进行了量化，对各种电子产品可能引发的危害严重等级进行了细化，并提出降低风险的3种设计对策。     

Understanding the relationships between private automobile availability, overall physical activity, and travel behavior in adults

In most developed countries motorized transportation is the dominant form of travel for long and short journeys. Transport-related physical activity (TPA), however, is advocated as an appropriate transport mode for traveling short distances. The purpose of this study is to explore the associations between private automobile availability, overall physical activity levels, and TPA engagement in the adult population. A population-representative telephone survey assessed socio-demographics, private automobile availability, overall physical activity levels, and travel to place of work/study and the convenience shop with an adult sample (n = 2,000) residing in North Shore City, Auckland, New Zealand in April 2005. The majority of respondents reported unrestricted (80%) or frequent (12%) private automobile availability. After controlling for covariates, binary logistic regression analyses revealed those with no private automobile available were less likely to be classified as sufficiently active for health benefits when compared to respondents with unrestricted private automobile availability. However, this finding was based on a small minority (4%). Also, those reporting no private automobile availability were more likely to walk or cycle to place of employment and the convenience shop when compared to those with unrestricted private automobile availability. Similar to other self-report travel and physical activity survey tools, the questionnaire used potentially did not adequately capture TPA engagement. Future TPA research needs to incorporate objective measures to address this issue.

舰艇柴油发电机组系统稳态可用度分析磁

柴油发电机组系统是船舶动力系统的重要组成部分,为船舶设备正常工作提供用电保障。作为船舶独立电源,其性能稳定性和工作可靠性是设计、使用部门最为关注的问题。船舶一般配置4～8台柴油发电机组,通过控制柜,构成比较复杂的供电电网。论文针对船舶柴油发电机组及供电网络的特点,运用马尔科夫模型,对系统可用度进行计算、分析,找出提高机组系统可用度的措施,为柴油发电机组系统设计、使用提供参考。     

服务道向行动化资讯整合平台研发

目前运输业者所建置的车队监控管理系统虽已广泛包含即时追踪、快速回报、线上客服等功能,然而在协助运输业者提昇经营品质与效率上仍有许多问题尚待解决。本计画之目的即是道人目前广为各界所采行的,服务道向架构（serviceoriented architecture,SOA）,建构一个．实现异质系统整合,的车队管理平台,以简化作业流程、节省经营成本,达到辅助决策与管理的目的,提供客户高品质、高效率、低成本的陆路运输服务。     

建立由国家负责的海上专业学生认识实习船队的构想

海上专业学生的认识实习是改善航海类专业实践教学的重要手段,是理论教学成果转化为学生应用能力的重要途径.由于种种原因,学生海上认识实习问题一直未能得到很好的解决.通过分析国内外航海院校学生认识实习的基本情况,提出一条适合中国航海教育发展的认识实习之路非常必要.     

基于动态贝叶斯网络的列控中心可靠性及可用性评估

为解决共因失效、动态失效及恢复机制等问题,本文基于动态贝叶斯网络对联锁车站和中继站列控中心可靠性及可用性进行评估.在分析列控中心系统结构的基础上构建系统动态故障树,并将动态故障树转化为动态贝叶斯网络,实现结构学习和参数学习.通过动态贝叶斯网络正向推理得到两种类型列控中心可靠度和可用度并进行比较分析.通过动态贝叶斯网络反向推理得到列控中心系统薄弱环节.研究系统敏感性因素并讨论恢复机制对系统可靠性及可用性的影响.结果表明：考虑共因失效的联锁车站和中继站列控中心的稳态可用度分别为0.999 960和0.999 977;电源及驱动采集单元为系统薄弱环节,需要重点关注.该方法能有效提高列控中心智能维修维护水平.     

典型任务剖面内舰船机电单部件系统备件配置方法研究

根据舰船机电设备在典型任务剖面内的航渡、作战和撤离返航三个阶段不同故障特点,建立了任务周期内新的备件配置模型:航渡和撤离返航两个阶段利用以可用度为中心的Monte-Carlo仿真方法进行备件配置;作战阶段根据战损情况进行备件配置;系统总的备件配置数量等于三个阶段备件配置数量的和.计算实例表明,文中提出的备件配置方法能更准确地反映舰船系统备件的实际需求.     

Assessment of motor vehicle use characteristics in three Indian cities

Estimates of emissions and energy consumption by vehicular fleet in India are not backed by reliable values of parameters, leading to large uncertainties. We report new methods, including primary surveys and secondary data sources, to estimate in-use fleet size, annual mileage (kilometers per year), and fuel efficiency of cars and motorised two-wheelers (MTW) for Delhi, and except fleet size and annual mileage of cars, for Visakhapatnam and Rajkot. We estimated that the official number of registered cars and MTW in Indian cities is more than two times the actual number of in-use vehicles. The private vehicular fleet in India is the youngest, its fuel efficiency one of the highest, and annual kilometers travelled is the lowest, compared to many high-income countries, such as the USA and those in European Union. Along with high renewal rate of fleet, the data suggest that it is possible for India to have one of the most fuel-efficient vehicle fleets in the world in the future, if fuel-efficiency standards and fiscal policies to contain growing dieselization are implemented in the country at the earliest.     

世界LNG海运市场回顾与展望

LNG海上贸易作为世界天然气贸易的一种重要方式,得到了快速的发展。分析了世界LNG海运市场运量和运力的情况,并对未来市场的发展进行了展望。