交通流预测方法综述

实时交通流预测是智能运输系统研究的一个重要问题。为此,建立了许多预测模型,有历史平均模型、时间序列模型、卡尔曼滤波模型、非参数回归模型、神经网络模型和组合模型等。总结评述现存的各类模型,提出交通流预测研究领域今后可能的发展趋势。     

公路特大型泥石流研究及防治新理念

作为我国一种严重的公路水毁类型，公路特大型泥石流灾害至今尚未解决，本文建构了该类泥石流研究及防治新理念，对于公路建筑物的安全与稳定、确保公路交通有序进行具有重要意义。研究认为，公路泥石流研究及防治的主要对象是具有大冲大淤性能、毁损作用强烈的特大型泥石流；必须遵循以泥石流发育机理研究为基础、防治技术研究为手段、防治工程研究为目的的研究原则；详细分析了公路泥石流水毁模式，概化分析了冲淤变动型沟谷泥石流的发育特性；开发了防治效果极佳的速流结构，运用运动状态函数法建构了速流结构设计理念，运用动力学建构了泥石流最大抛程计算理论。     

公路特大型泥石流灾害控制技术研究

公路特大型泥石流是国内外迄今尚未解决的主要公路病害，具有大冲大淤、冲击路径变化不确定以及毁损作用极其强烈的特性，是公路泥石流研究及防治的核心。本文基于两相流理论建立了泥石流冲击力计算公式；遵循特大型泥石流发育特点及公路泥石流防治特殊要求建构了泥石流综合治理模式，并开发了速流结构、底埋隧道、翼型墩汇流技术及糙桩技术，并对相关的核心技术进行了深入分析。研究成果对于彻底解决公路特大型泥石流病害奠定了重要的技术基础。     

液力变矩器泵轮流场数值分析

应用计算流体动力学(CFD)方法，采用非结构网格和稳态交互面技术，模拟了液力变矩器三维内流场，并与试验相对照，验证了数值模拟的正确性。分析了泵轮进口、中弦面、出口面速度场和压力场，以及泵轮流道流场形态及流场形成的机理。     

Bus Priority Using pre-signals

The need to provide efficient public transport services in urban areas has led to the implementation of bus priority measures in many congested cities. Much interest has recently centred on priority at signal controlled junctions, including the concept of pre-signals, where traffic signals are installed at or near the end of a with-flow bus lane to provide buses with priority access to the downstream junction. Although a number of pre-signals have now been installed in the U.K., particularly in London, there has been very little published research into their design, operation and optimisation. This paper addresses these points through the development of analytical procedures which allow pre-implementation evaluation of specific categories of pre-signals. The paper initially sets out three categories of pre-signal, which have different operating characteristics, different requirements for signalling and different impacts on capacity and delay. Key issues concerning signalling arrangements for these categories are then discussed, together with a summary of the analytical approach adopted and the assumptions required. Equations are developed to allow appropriate signal timings to be calculated for pre-signalised intersections. Further equations are then developed to enable delays to priority and non-priority traffic, with and without pre-signals, to be estimated with delay being taken here as the key performance criterion. The paper concludes with three application examples illustrating how the equations are applied and the impacts of pre-signals in different situations.The analyses confirm the potential benefits of pre-signals, where these signals apply to non-priority traffic only. Where buses are also subject to a pre-signal, it is shown that disbenefits to buses can often occur, unless bus detectors are used to gain priority signalling.     

轿车三维分离流动特性的研究

本文介绍了使用激光片光技术及激光多普勒测速仪对某型国产轿车尾流的三维分离流的尾迹和速度分布测定的试验研究。本项研究表明，光学流态显示和数字图象技术相结合，可以有效地揭示汽车的尾流结构，诊断阻力来源，本项研究为建立汽车三维分离流动的动态仿真理论模型提供了依据。     

设计-施工总承包在武汉阳逻长江大桥南锚碇工程中的应用

介绍武汉阳逻长江公路大桥南锚碇工程采用设计-施工总承包模式的经验,对相关的招标和项目管理工作进行总结.针对我国的实际情况,分析该模式在工程建设中的适用范围.     

小型铣刨机车体升降油缸动态过程的分析

通过对小型铣刨机车体升降系统的简化,建立了液压缸运动速度与流量的传递函数,并且在系统参数静态设计方法的基础上,考虑了系统参数对其动态特性的影响.     

非港湾式公交停车对道路交通流的影响分析

公交车进出站点不仅影响本身,也给其他车辆运行带来很大干扰。文章首先比较全面地分析非港湾式公交停车影响下道路交通流特征,然后借助于EXCEL软件,构建关于公交停车频率、公交停车时间、最大公交停车长度及其存在时间、道路流量的车速和车头时距多元线性模型,并进行了严格的数学检验。该研究为合理分析路段交通流状况、正确计算区间行驶车速与车头时距提供了依据。     

Experimental and empirical investigations of traffic flow instability

Traffic instability is an important but undesirable feature of traffic flow. This paper reports our experimental and empirical studies on traffic flow instability. We have carried out a large scale experiment to study the car-following behavior in a 51-car-platoon. The experiment has reproduced the phenomena and confirmed the findings in our previous 25-car-platoon experiment, i.e., standard deviation of vehicle speeds increases in a concave way along the platoon. Based on our experimental results, we argue that traffic speed rather than vehicle spacing (or density) might be a better indicator of traffic instability, because vehicles can have different spacing under the same speed. For these drivers, there exists a critical speed between 30 km/h and 40 km/h, above which the standard deviation of car velocity is almost saturated (flat) along the 51-car-platoon, indicating that the traffic flow is likely to be stable. In contrast, below this critical speed, traffic flow is unstable and can lead to the formation of traffic jams. Traffic data from the Nanjing Airport Highway support the experimental observation of existence of a critical speed. Based on these findings, we propose an alternative mechanism of traffic instability: the competition between stochastic factors and the so-called speed adaptation effect, which can better explain the concave growth of speed standard deviation in traffic flow.