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41.
为剖析家庭属性差异对大学生出行方式选择行为的影响,基于非集计理论,构建家庭属性差异的大学生出行选择多元Logit 模型. 根据四川省2 571 份大学生出行行为调查问卷,运用SPSS 软件标定模型参数,获取影响大学生出行选择的主要家庭属性因素,并进行敏感性分析. 结果表明:家庭平均年收入、经济净流对大学生出行方式选择有显著的影响;以航空运输为参考,家庭平均年收入、经济净流对公路运输方式选择的影响大于铁路运输;“祖辈替孙辈购买机票”的折扣票务形式可提高大学生选择航空出行的概率.  相似文献   
42.
非收放式减摇鳍作为减摇鳍产品中非常重要的一个组成部分,而鳍轴也是其减摇力矩传力链中非常重要的一环,对于鳍轴综合应力的校核也就成了非收放式减摇鳍设计中的关键。通过比较考虑剪力的新算法以及仅做弯扭综合应力校核的2种算法,及它们在不同强度理论下的状态,综合讨论得出能使鳍轴应力值更加精确的算法。  相似文献   
43.
During the last years, many governments have set targets for increasing the share of biofuels in the transportation sector. Understanding consumer behavior is essential in designing policies that efficiently increase the uptake of cleaner technologies. In this paper we analyze adopters and non-adopters of alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs). We use diffusion of innovation theory and the established notion that the social system and interpersonal influence play important roles in adoption. Based on a nationwide database of car owners we analyze interpersonal influence on adoption from three social domains: neighbors, family and coworkers. The results point primarily at a neighbor effect in that AFV adoption is more likely if neighbors also have adopted. The results also point at significant effects of interpersonal influence from coworkers and family members but these effects weaken or disappear when income, education level, marriage, age, gender and green party votes are controlled for. The results extend the diffusion of innovation and AFV literature with empirical support for interpersonal influence based on objective data where response bias is not a factor. Implications for further research, environmental and transport policy, and practitioners are discussed.  相似文献   
44.
A smart design of transport systems involves efficient use and allocation of the limited urban road capacity in the multimodal environment. This paper intends to understand the system-wide effect of dividing the road space to the private and public transport modes and how the public transport service provider responds to the space changes. To this end, the bimodal dynamic user equilibrium is formulated for separated road space. The Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram (MFD) model is employed to depict the dynamics of the automobile traffic for its state-dependent feature, its inclusion of hypercongestion, and its advantage of capturing network topology. The delay of a bus trip depends on the running speed which is in turn affected by bus lane capacity and ridership. Within the proposed bimodal framework, the steady-state equilibrium traffic characteristics and the optimal bus fare and service frequency are analytically derived. The counter-intuitive properties of traffic condition, modal split, and behavior of bus operator in the hypercongestion are identified. To understand the interaction between the transport authority (for system benefit maximization) and the bus operator (for its own benefit maximization), we examine how the bus operator responds to space changes and how the system benefit is influenced with the road space allocation. With responsive bus service, the condition, under which expanding bus lane capacity is beneficial to the system as a whole, has been analytically established. Then the model is applied to the dynamic framework where the space allocation changes with varying demand and demand-responsive bus service. We compare the optimal bus services under different economic objectives, evaluate the system performance of the bimodal network, and explore the dynamic space allocation strategy for the sake of social welfare maximization.  相似文献   
45.
Recent studies demonstrated the efficiency of feedback-based gating control in mitigating congestion in urban networks by exploiting the notion of macroscopic or network fundamental diagram (MFD or NFD). The employed feedback regulator of proportional-integral (PI)-type targets an operating NFD point of maximum throughput to enhance the mobility in the urban road network during the peak period, under saturated traffic conditions. In previous studies, gating was applied directly at the border of the protected network (PN), i.e. the network part to be protected from over-saturation. In this work, the recently developed feedback-based gating concept is applied at junctions located further upstream of the PN. This induces a time-delay, which corresponds to the travel time needed for gated vehicles to approach the PN. The resulting extended feedback control problem can be also tackled by use of a PI-type regulator, albeit with different gain values compared to the case without time-delay. Detailed procedures regarding the appropriate design of related feedback regulators are provided. In addition, the developed feedback concept is shown to work properly with very long time-steps as well. A large part of the Chania, Greece, urban network, modelled in a microscopic simulation environment under realistic traffic conditions, is used as test-bed in this study. The reported results demonstrate a stable and efficient behaviour and improved mobility of the overall network in terms of mean speed and travel time.  相似文献   
46.
在充分分析典型四相位交叉口行人二次过街设置前、后的行人流与右转车流冲突的前提下,以行人过街时间占有率和行人群到达分布作为分析指标,利用可插车间隙理论得出行人单向通行和双向通行条件下的右转车通行能力计算公式;根据行人流随机消散和集中消散的不同特征,应用随机分布理论推导出右转车穿越行人流的延误模型;并通过算例对比分析行人二次过街设置前、后右转车通行能力和延误的变化值。结果表明,除了在少数行人流量比较大的情况下, 行人二次过街的设置会小幅度减少右转车的延误;在其他大多数情况下,行人二次过街设置后, 右转车的通行能力将受到限制,延误增大,其中,平均通行能力降低了16.68%,平均延误时间增大 了21%,所以,当右转车交通需求较大时,需同时考虑行人和右转车的交通运行状态,优化设计是否采用行人二次过街,避免右转车超出极限忍耐时间而增大与行人冲突的概率。  相似文献   
47.
In this paper, a novel mesoscopic multilane model is proposed to enable simultaneous simulation of mandatory and discretionary lane-changing behaviors to realistically capture multilane traffic dynamics. The model considers lane specific fundamental diagrams to simulate dynamic heterogeneous lane flow distributions on expressways. Moreover, different priority levels are identified according to different lane-changing motivations and the corresponding levels of urgency. Then, an algorithm is proposed to estimate the dynamic mandatory and discretionary lane-changing demands. Finally, the lane flow propagation is defined by the reaction law of the demand–supply functions, which can be regarded as an extension of the Incremental-Transfer and/or Priority Incremental-Transfer principles. The proposed mesoscopic multilane cell transmission model is calibrated and validated on a complex weaving section of the State Route 241 freeway in Orange County, California, showing both the positive and negative impact of lane changing maneuvers, e.g., balancing effect and capacity drop, respectively. Moreover, the empirical study verifies that the model requires no additional data other than the cell transmission model does. Thus, the proposed model can be deployed as a simple simulation tool for accessing dynamic mesoscopic multilane traffic state from data available to most management centers, and also the potential application in predicting the impact of traffic incident or lane control strategy.  相似文献   
48.
以新五维超混沌系统为对象,基于Lyapunov稳定性理论,采用非线性控制法、主动控制法及全局控制法,分别设计了控制器,实现了新五维超混沌系统的反同步。通过数值仿真,对三种方法的反同步效果进行了验证和对比分析,结果显示主动控制法优于其它两种方法。  相似文献   
49.
合理设置高速公路收费站ETC (Electronic Toll Collection)车道数量,对高速公路通行效率至关重要。针对目前路网中ETC与MTC (Manual Toll Collection)车辆混行的情况,考虑ETC的普及率,结合多用户路网均衡模型和排队论方法,建立基于双层规划模型的高速路网ETC车道优化布设方法。上层模型以车辆总通行时间最小为目标,优化设置进出收费站的ETC车道数量;下层模型为多用户路网均衡模型,反映ETC和MTC车辆的路径和收费车道选择行为。下层模型通过设计收费站的等价拓扑结构,表征收费站的车道使用规则及车辆的收费车道选择行为,并采用排队论方法估计ETC和MTC车道的收费排队时间。根据模型的特点设计了基于主动集的启发式算法,利用参数二进制与拉格朗日函数法确定迭代下降方向,解决了下降方向与步长难以计算的问题;通过内嵌优化函数的方式,保证在主动集转化过程中上层约束均不会失效,且避免了迭代过程中的模型解退化问题。基于上海市绕城高速进行实证分析,结果表明:随着ETC普及率的提升,收费排队时长按照负指数趋势下降;与按比例布设ETC车道的方法相比,所提方法最高可降低57.4%的收费排队时间,且该方法可以避免ETC车道布设过多对于MTC车道通行能力挤压造成的负面效果。研究成果可以有效指导高速路网ETC车道的布设,提高路网通行效率。  相似文献   
50.
在构建桥梁损伤等级评定指标体系的基础上,采用 AHP确定了各指标的权重,运用物元分析的方法建立了桥梁损伤等级评定的数学模型,并利用模型评定结果,得到了某桥梁的损伤等级。  相似文献   
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