穿浪艇喷水推进系统单、双变量智能控制的仿真比较研究

以MATLAB为工作平台,应用其仿真软件Simulink对穿浪艇的喷水推进系统进行了运动数学建模,再利用其模糊推理工具箱Fuzzy建立了模糊控制子系统的模型,然后根据航速差的大小判断准则实时分级施控.仿真结果表明,较之常规普通的只调节主机功率Ps的推进控制,通过分级调节主机功率Ps和喷口直径Da,能实现对喷水推进型穿浪艇更有效的控制,尤其是在当所需调节的速度变化量较小时,双变量的控制超调量更小、稳定更快、经济性更高.     

非饱和粘性路基土回弹模量预估模型探讨

文章根据双应力状态变量理论及Bishop提出的非饱和土有效应力公式,对Uzan模型及NCHRP 1-28A推荐的三参数复合模型进行了改进.通过室内重复加载三轴试验及土-水特性曲线标定,对模型的准确性进行了验证.结果表明:模型中引入了控制路基土力学性状的应力状态变量,不仅符合路基土的实际工作状态,还同时考虑了应力状况和含水率对路基土回弹模量的影响,弥补了原有模型未考虑湿度或将其与应力状况分开考虑之不足.     

���ڽṹ���̵Ľڼ��վ�����кͻ�����Խ�ģ����

基于结构方程模型,利用现有北京市黄金周出行调查资料,选取影响居民节假日活动和出行行为的8个影响因素作为结构模型的外生变量;以黄金周出行中维持性活动和消遣性活动的3个特征指标—活动持续时间、活动次数、出行时间共6个活动特征指标为结构方程的内生变量。同时以个体为分析单位,考虑个人和家庭的社会经济属性,建立各种活动产生模型,活动持续时间模型以及为从事各种活动的出行时间结构方程模型,分析外生变量对内生变量的影响,以及内生变量彼此之间的复杂关系,探讨节假日居民从事各种活动和出行之间的相互影响关系,以及居民的社会经济属性对其从事的活动和出行产生的影响。     

Part 1. National road safety performance: Data,the emergence of two single-outcome modeling streams and public health

This first part of the state-of-the art focuses on the origins of road safety modeling, covering data, early models and the public health context of model formulation and use.     

后金融危机下我国宏观经济调控策略分析

进入后金融危机时代以来,我国的宏观经济调控也在逐步顺应全球金融化的大趋势。面对我国当前宏观经济调控中出现的问题,结合当前的国内外经济形势,提出进一步加强和完善宏观经济调控的建议和意见。     

用逼近目标规划模型进行潜艇耐压船体最佳设计

本文把最大限度地发挥结构最佳尺度和材料最优性能作为潜艇结构优化设计的第一追逐目标,运用目标规划模型,建立单目标非线性约束优化的目标规划模型,求解连续与离散混合变量的最优解,并全部圆整到规格化变量,最后获得规格化设计变量关于满应力设计和耐压船体较轻重量的相对有效解.     

How does environmental concern influence mode choice habits? A mediation analysis

Starting from the intuition that people with high environmental concern have a better perception of public transport and therefore a better perception of the utility of public transport, we construct a theoretical model in which the effect of environmental concern on mode choice habits is mediated by the indirect utility of travel. Travel procures the direct utility of providing access to activities, but it also offers an indirect utility that is inherently personal and perceptual. We approach the indirect utility of public transport by measuring perceptions of time and feelings. The indirect utility of the car is approached by measuring affective and symbolic motives. Taking into account car use habits and habits of public transport use, the results show that people who have a high environmental concern perceive public transport use as easier, more useful and more pleasurable than people who do not have that environmental motivation. Such positive attitudes foster public transport use. Conversely, low environmental concern generates non-instrumental motives for car use, such as affective and symbolic motives. However, the relationship between affective and symbolic motives and car use habits is not robust. We can conclude that environmental concern influences mode choice habits and that the effect is partially mediated by perceptions and feelings towards public transport but not significantly by affective and symbolic motives for car use.     

含湿热效应的各向同性耦合粘弹模型

为了表征高聚物的行为并反映湿热和应力的相互影响，针对各向同性粘弹性材料，从不可逆热力学出发，引入刻划材料粘性行为的内变量，采用Helmholtz自由能建立了包含湿热效应的各向同性粘弹性材料的本构方程。讨论了该本构方程与目前计算中常用模型的关系。     

改进的模糊模式识别法在湖泊水体富营养化评价中的应用

将模糊模式识别理论模型与级别变量特征值相结合，形成改性模糊模式识别法．并运用该方法对我国9个主要湖泊水体官营养化状况进行综合评价，研究表明改进的模糊模式识别法对水质进行评价，结果合理，方法可行，有一定的参考价值。