公路运输对经济发展的影响分析

结合公路运输的基本特性,以及公路设施对人们生活出行的重要性,详细阐述公路运输对经济发展的影响。公路运输系统的发展,不仅会大大促进国民经济的发展,而且对人民生活水平的提高和社会的全面进步,都有着巨大的推动作用和重要的现实意义。     

Dynamic demand estimation and microscopic traffic simulation of a university campus transportation network

Abstract

This article documents the authors' experience with the modeling, simulation, and analysis of a university transportation system, using the TRansportation ANalysis and SIMulation System (TRANSIMS). The processes of data preparation and network coding are described, followed by the algorithm developed to estimate the dynamic 24-hour demand, which includes a procedure for estimating the ‘desirability’ of the different parking lots from readily available data. The dynamic demand estimation algorithm is validated by comparing estimated and observed parking lot occupancies, where it is shown that the algorithm is capable of replicating observed results. Finally, an example is included to demonstrate how the developed model can be used in campus transportation planning. Besides serving as a first case study for using TRANSIMS to model a university campus, the study's contributions include the development of a procedure for parking lot desirability ranking and a practical procedure for estimating dynamic demand on university campuses.     

Incorporating sustainability assessment in transportation planning: an urban transportation vehicle-based approach

Environmental assessments are on the critical path for the development of land, infrastructure and transportation systems. These assessments are based on planning methods which, in turn, are subject to continuous enhancement. The substantial impacts of transportation on environment, society and economy strongly urge the incorporation of sustainability into transportation planning. Two major developments that enhance transportation sustainability are new fuels and vehicle power systems. Traditional planning ignores technology including the large differences among conventional, hybrid and alternative fuel vehicles and buses. The introduction of alternative fuel vehicles is likely to change the traditional transportation planning process because different characteristics need to be taken into account. In this study a sustainability framework is developed that enables assessment of transportation vehicle characteristics. Identified indicators are grouped in five sustainability dimensions (Environment, Technology, Energy, Economy and Users). Our methodology joins life cycle impacts and a set of quantified indicators to assess the sustainability performance of seven popular light-duty vehicles and two types of transit buses. Bus Rapid Transit receives the highest sustainability index and the pickup truck the lowest. Hybrid electric vehicles are found to have the highest sustainability index among all other passenger vehicles. A sensitivity analysis shows the proposed sustainability dimensions produce robust sustainability assessment for several weighting scenarios. The results are both technology and policy sensitive, thus useful for both short- and long-term planning.     

Analyzing the theoretical capacity of railway networks with a radial-backbone topology

In this work we propose a mechanism to optimize the capacity of the main corridor within a railway network with a radial-backbone or X-tree structure. The radial-backbone (or X-tree) structure is composed of two types of lines: the primary lines that travel exclusively on the common backbone (main corridor) and radial lines which, starting from the common backbone, branch out to individual locations. We define possible line configurations as binary strings and propose operators on them for their analysis, yielding an effective algorithm for generating an optimal design and train frequencies. We test our algorithm on real data for the high speed line Madrid–Seville. A frequency plan consistent with the optimal capacity is then proposed in order to eliminate the number of transfers between lines as well as to minimize the network fleet size, determining the minimum number of vehicles needed to serve all travel demand at maximum occupancy.     

关于城市桥梁在8度强震区的抗震设计讨论

为了研究一般跨径城市桥梁在8度地震区的抗震设计方法,文章以具体工程为例,采用规范推荐的参数和公式,拟合出场地在E1和E2作用下水平地震动反应谱;通过有限元建模分析,对规范推荐的延性抗震体系和减隔震体系做了详细的计算和分析,研究结果标明:两种抗震体系均能满足相关规范的设计要求;但是减隔震体系在设计阶段造价更低,震后修复费用也较小,在经济性方面有较大的优势。     

城市轨道交通财务可持续发展探讨

虽然各城市的财政状况及轨道交通企业体制存在一些差异,但由于城市轨道交通本身的特性,大部分项目都面临着资本金不足、还本付息压力巨大、运营收支无法匹配等问题。从目前我国城市轨道交通财务方面的现状入手,分析其中存在的问题,并从投融资、成本控制、政策扶持等方面提出具体实施建议:减轻轨道交通企业债务成本,采取措施降低运营企业的成本负担,给予轨道交通企业必要的税费优惠政策,建立合理的票价调整机制,实现轨道交通企业收入来源多样化,建立政府购买服务的机制。     

基于“聚焦物流”理论的军事运输发展研究

＂聚焦物流＂是美军提出的一种先进物流理念,它要求在准确的地点、时间提供给联合作战各种参战人员和各类装备数量合适的后勤物资供应,它建立在以网络为基础的实时可视化信息系统之上,高效快速地连接战场指挥官和后勤供应机构,通过物流机构和程序的改革,为联合作战提供多功能的后勤保障。＂聚焦物流＂在历次局部战争中得到很好应用,取得良好...     

本土音乐与城镇老龄群体音乐活动之关系探微——以甘肃省为例

音乐与其所处文化背景构成的共生关系，是一种普遍而又复杂的社会文化现象，而本土音乐与城市特定人群音乐活动之间的关系更以其特殊的文化形态，成为音乐社会学切入社会微观领域观测音乐与社会互动的重要角度。本文以甘肃省为例，探悉本土音乐与城镇老龄群体音乐活动之间的关系，并以此为镜像，观测当前本土音乐的存在现状及其文化变迁，进而为城市音乐文化研究提供一份重要资料。     

旅客购票模式与渠道关联选择行为的建模分析

为分析多元化售票渠道下旅客购票选择行为的影响因素及交互特征，解析了多渠道情境下旅客购票过程的 3个阶段，辨识了旅客购票的 3类典型模式；运用协同进化分析思想，建立了购票模式与渠道关联选择的协同进化 Logit模型；基于道路客运联网售票信息系统数据，进行了模型的实证应用，分析了特征变量对旅客购票选择行为的影响，揭示了渠道与模式间关联选择行为特征.研究表明：性别，年龄，提前购票时间，出行时间，出行里程，发车频率等因素对旅客购票行为有显著影响；旅客购票模式和渠道选择间存在相关性，某一决策选择受另一决策结果的影响；考虑两者的交互作用有助于提高分析预测精度，2类决策模型的精度分别提高了5.98%和5.72%.