The market for second-hand ships: Further results on efficiency using cointegration analysis

This paper examines the dynamic behaviour of second-hand prices of tankers and dry-cargo vessels over various time periods, with a view to determining whether or not the markets for such assets are efficient. It extends and re-analyses the results of an earlier study by Hale and Vanags, published in this journal in 1992. Using a more modern method of testing for cointegration, it is shown that both the tanker and dry cargo markets appear to be cointegrated, a fact which would suggest that these markets are inefficient. It is suggested that the existence of cointegration does not necessarily imply market inefficiency, if the factors that create the common trends are themselves stochastic in nature. With this in mind, it is argued that the evidence put forward in this paper is still consistent with market efficiency in the long run.     

冬季无缝线路防断控制措施

由于钢轨的热胀冷缩效应,导致长轨条在冬春运期间容易断裂,危及行车安全,因此抓好防断工作有着十分重要的意义.     

带护套的高速永磁同步电动机转子涡流损耗及其径向分布解析模型

本文提出一种针对带有护套的高速永磁同步电机转子涡流损耗及其径向分布的解析模型.模型基于子域法将护套和永磁体子域径向分域,通过计算每个细分区域产生的涡流损耗进而得到转子涡流损耗的径向分布.为提高模型的计算精度,通过扩散方程和磁导模型分别考虑了涡流反作用和定子开槽的影响.利用该解析模型计算了不同气隙长度,不同护套材料及其厚度对转子涡流损耗的影响.最后采用有限元的方法对解析模型进行验证,证明解析模型的正确性.     

城市轨道交通出行者信息服务水平评价

为了提高城市轨道交通的服务水平,减少出行者在出行过程中的时空消耗,对城市轨道交通出行者信息服务评价进行了相关分析。从出行者角度出发,将城市轨道交通信息服务分为出行前信息服务、路途信息服务、车站内信息服务和列车内信息服务。根据上述分类方法来获取评价指标,同时借助轨道交通出行者满意度调查和AHP(层次分析法)分别得到各指标的满意度值和权重值。基于满意度值和权重值将信息服务指标分为四种不同类型,优化改善次序,以此提高出行者信息服务水平来吸引更多客流,营造一个优良的轨道交通出行环境。     

计算机联锁图表的作用及改进探讨

主要介绍计算机联锁图表的作用,分析目前计算机联锁图表存在的一些问题。为适应计算机联锁车站的工程特点,提出对现有计算机联锁图表编制的改进原则和编制方法。     

Ontario cottager associations and shoreline management

Abstract

Growth in the number of cottager, or lake property owner, associations in Ontario has been rapid. Cottager associations attempt to address directly, and influence government decision‐making on, issues affecting shoreline management and the recreational experience of cottagers. However, associations infrequently resolve these issues to their satisfaction. A questionnaire and case study show that the nature of the issue, human and financial resources available to the association, and the nature of the decision‐making process affect the extent to which associations influence outcomes. Unreceptiveness of government officials to association participation in decision‐making and confused agency jurisdictions over shoreline resources appear to inhibit association effectiveness. Concerns about the status of shoreline management in Ontario and public participation in decision‐making are raised.     

玉柴YC6L在上海公交中的应用与优化

采集上海市郊与市区结合的城市客车路谱工况,记录实际道路行驶大量数据并对其进行分析;提炼出路谱信息,应用到Cruise整车模拟计算中,对YC6L发动机性能等参数进行优化。     

Development of a hull form definition tool with a related knowledge-based advisory system

The development of a parametric hull form design system utilizing combined knowledge-based and objectoriented methodologies, approaches, and techniques is the major purpose of this research. One objective was the development of a powerful, intuitive, and parameter-based hull definition system with a related hull definition advisory system that would provide useful and necessary advice to the user. Object and knowledge modeling activities were conducted during the analysis and design stage to facilitate the implementation of a hull design program and advisory system. The hull design system includes the generation of a geometric model from a process of aggregating simple user-selected shapes representing different boundaries. Design involves the capability to vary simple parameters such as entrance angles, length-breadth ratios, and radii to define local and general surface geometries. Hydrostatic calculations are included for analysis; results are referred to an advisory system for evaluation and the determination of the acceptability of parameters and analysis results. The advisory system includes a knowledge bases consisting of hull form databases, results of the statistical analysis of data, design parameter constraints, and expert knowledge acquired from designers, reference materials, and technical reports. Use of the design tool with the advisory system results in the rapid generation of hull forms and associated design evaluations. Flexibility in decision making results from the separation of the design system from the advisory system. The independence of the two systems allows for a wide range of user experience with experts using the design tool with minimal reference to the advisory system. On the other hand, the expertise and knowledge stored in the advisory system is fully available to inexperienced designers and users.     

城市轨道交通网络「一票通」换乘的票款分配比例模型

应用图论中关于无向连通图的算法，用“最短时间法”确定大部分乘客愿意选择的路径；根据乘客选择路径的概率，计算路径分配比例；根据线路提供的服务，计算线路的分配比例。作者建立了一个实用的软件模型，定义了一套系统参数，能够根据轨道交通的运营和发展情况，灵活、合理地给出车站对之间票款的分配比例。