Decision Model for Market of Performing Arts with Factorization Machine

Performing arts and movies have become commercial products with high profit and great market potential. Previous research works have developed comprehensive models to forecast the demand for movies. However, they did not pay enough attention to the decision support for performing arts which is a special category unlike movies. For performing arts with high-dimensional categorical attributes and limit samples, determining ticket prices in different levels is still a challenge job faced by the producers and distributors. In terms of these difficulties, factorization machine (FM), which can handle huge sparse categorical attributes, is used in this work first. Adaptive stochastic gradient descent (ASGD) and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are both explored to estimate the model parameters of FM. FM with ASGD (FM-ASGD) and FM with MCMC (FM-MCMC) both can achieve a better prediction accuracy, compared with a traditional algorithm. In addition, the multi-output model is proposed to determine the price in multiple price levels simultaneously, which avoids the trouble of the models’ repeating training. The results also confirm the prediction accuracy of the multi-output model, compared with those from the general single-output model.     

基于多源文本挖掘的城市交通舆情分析——以苏州为例

通过多媒体收集的各类交通信息构成了丰富的交通舆情,充分挖掘舆情中所蕴含的信息对宏观掌控交通问题的发展变化、制定全面的交通解决方案具有重大意义.基于网络论坛、热线电话及交通广播听众路况播报的文本数据,采用多种文本挖掘方法研究交通舆情价值.文本数据预处理后,利用SVM模型进行交通舆情主题自动分类,并通过对应分析探究不同数据源的舆情特点及其差异,基于Apriori算法利用关联规则分析关键词隐含的交通现象,另外,使用共现网络分析方法深入挖掘舆情所反映的交通问题及其随时间的变化.通过对姑苏区投诉数据和苏州交通广播微信路况数据的实证研究发现:姑苏区交通基础设施相关的投诉最多;通过不同渠道反映的舆情内容有明显差异;道路改造后,实施新的交通管理方案时会引发较多的争议和抱怨.此外,通过文本挖掘还发现了苏州市早高峰由西向东方向拥堵严重,晚高峰时各方向均较为拥堵的规律.      

R12V280ZJ型柴油机组装工艺研究

对R12V280ZJ型柴油机的组装工艺进行了深入分析,制定了可行的组装方案,经过实施验证,效果良好。