Tracks to Change or Mixed Signals? A Review of the Anglo-Saxon Literature on the Economic and Spatial Impacts of High-Speed Rail

ABSTRACT

The economic development and spatial impacts of high-speed rail (HSR) are quite varied and mixed. Studies of economic impacts of HSR fall into two categories: predictions and empirical observations. We first review studies that examine predicted HSR impacts related to job growth, real estate development, and other economic effects. These are followed by studies examining observed effects of realized projects using the same categories. Several patterns emerge. Predictive studies are largely optimistic of the rail's positive effects. On the other hand, observational studies tend to identify both benefits and shortfalls. Yet, neither of these patterns are universal and depend on a number of other factors. One consistent pattern is that gains associated with HSR appear to be stronger in first-tier cities. Nevertheless, certain small towns and second-tier cities have undergone noteworthy transformations as a result of HSR, especially where the public sector has actively pursued new investment.     

高速铁路对都市区一体化的影响 ——以伦敦、马德里和巴黎为例

高速铁路建设的最初目的是连接相距400~600 km的都市区.但是近年,都市地区的郊区及城市出现了一些边缘位置的高铁车站,距都市中心的距离约100 km.重点研究位于马德里(瓜达拉哈拉、塞戈维亚和托莱多)、伦敦(斯特拉特福德、艾贝斯费特和阿什福德)和巴黎(鲁瓦西—戴高乐、马恩河谷—谢西和马西)附近的9座外围高铁车站,分析它们对都市区及当地的影响,并提取对加利福尼亚州高速铁路项目可借鉴之处.