Integrated models of land use and transportation for the autonomous vehicle revolution

ABSTRACT

The advent of the autonomous vehicle (AV) will affect not only the transportation system, but also future patterns of land development. Integrated land use and transportation models will be critical tools in assessing the path forward with this technology. Key questions with respect to land use impacts of AVs arise from potential changes in sensitivity to travel and reduced demand for parking. It is an open question whether AVs will induce urban sprawl, or whether spatial economies of agglomeration will mitigate any reductions in travel time sensitivity. The deployment of shared fleets of AVs would likely reduce parking demand, producing yet to be explored impacts on property development within existing urban footprints. We perform a critical assessment of currently operational models and their ability to represent the adoption of AVs. We identify the representation of time in such models as a vital component requiring additional development to model this new technology. Existing model applications have focused on the discrete addition of new infrastructure or policy at a fixed point in time, whereas AV adoption will occur incrementally through time. Stated adaptation surveys are recommended as tools to quantify preferences and develop relevant model inputs. It is argued that existing models that assume comparatively static equilibrium have been convenient in the past, but are insufficient to model technology adoption. In contrast, dynamic model frameworks lack sufficient structure to maintain reasonability under large perturbations from base conditions. The ongoing advancement of computing has allowed models to move away from being mechanistic aggregate tools, towards behaviourally rich depictions of individual persons and firms. However, much work remains to move from projections of existing conditions into the future, to the evolution of the spatial economy as it evolves through time in response to new technologies and exogenous stresses. Principles from complex and evolutionary systems theory will be important in the development of models with the capacity to consider such dynamics.     

OCIMF MEG4新要求对油船系泊设计影响浅析

石油公司国际海事论坛最新发布的《系泊设备指南(第四版)》,对系泊设备布置和船对船设备布置提出了新的要求。该文通过对相关新要求的梳理解读,并结合设计实例,分析了新要求对油船系泊设计的主要影响,相关研究内容可供后续类似船舶设计参考。     

城市轨道交通接触轨故障的应急处置

根据城市轨道交通接触轨的运行特点,基于列车有效取流长度,分析了可能存在的接触轨故障情况,详细描述了应急组织及实施方案,并研究了抢修过程中的难题,初步构建了接触轨故障情况下的应急处置框架,为今后运营出现该类故障的应急处置提供技术支持。     

防抱制动系统基于模型的最佳滑移率计算方法

提出了一种基于μ-λ曲线的近似数学模型来实现最佳滑移率的递推最小二乘算法(RLS)。应用累积求和统计控制法(CUSUM)，解决了RLS算法在检测跃变路面时响应滞后的问题。通过计算机仿真，验证了算法在车辆防抱制动系统中的可行性和有效性。     

市域列车救援工况溜逸风险分析及制动策略优化

针对市域铁路在运营过程中的救援场景研究缺乏及现有市域动车组能力不能完全满足救援的及时性要求等问题,本文研究了市域列车救援工况的溜逸风险及制动策略。首先,建立多编组列车连挂时的纵向动力学模型;然后,以北京大兴机场线为例,分析在救援工况下现有运营方式可能带来的列车溜逸风险;最后,结合相关标准,分析救援过程不同制动模式下乘客的舒适性。研究结果表明：在 33‰坡道上救援车以 5 km/h 连挂时,保持制动模式下列车加速度和冲击率将会达到 10.5 m/s2和 9.9 m/s3,且发生溜逸,而采用紧急制动模式时,列车的加速度和冲击率分别下降了 63.1%和 54.7%,未发生溜逸;当救援车连挂速度降低至 3 km/h 后,列车最大加速度和最大冲击率分别降低至 2.1 m/s2和 2.4 m/s3,乘客舒适性明显提高。在坡道停车时,由于存在制动-牵引切换过程,为保证在最大坡道上不溜车,列车保持制动力需达到 60%最大常用制动力以上。     

考虑辅路缓冲的快速路紧急疏散最优控制

针对紧急疏散中单向需求激增的情况,提出利用地面辅路缓冲容纳部分疏散车流,从而降低快速路疏散的整体时空风险.基于宏观交通流模型建立了快速路疏散车流演化方程,明确了上匝道车速对主线车速的影响,从而实现经典宏观交通流模型对路网状态演变处理的一致性.针对由下匝道、地面并行道路和上匝道构成的地面辅路行程时间的二分特征,建立了相应的离散时间的流量演化方程.辅路系统方程不仅可以刻画地面辅路疏散车流的主要特征,而且能与已有快速路的状态演化系统实现无缝结合.数值分析表明,利用匝道控制和辅路分流两种手段可以实现系统整体时空疏散风险的最小化控制.     

浅谈沿海航行船舶应急演练存在的问题与改进措施

在日常船舶安全检查中,发现应急训练与演习存在一些问题,这些问题影响了船员应急反应能力的提升,带来了船舶安全隐患。根据国内航行货船应急训练与演习的要求,提出改进建议,旨在提高船员对应急训练与演习的认识,加强日常训练与演习,不断提升应急反应能力,以保障船舶和船员生命安全。     

Limit braking of a high-performance motorcycle

A mathematical-model-based study of the limit braking of a high-performance motorcycle and rider is described. Front and rear brakes are operable independently. A dry road and high friction are presumed, such that full braking of the front wheel would lead to an overturn or ‘stoppie’ in colloquial parlance. Effective braking needs to maintain some loading on the rear wheel. A planar but otherwise detailed system model is set up and braking strategies for front and rear are devised. Parameters of the braking control schemes are derived with the help of an optimisation process, minimising the final speed in braking from high speed over a fixed time interval. Simulation results are examined critically and the strategy is developed until efficient use of the friction available is made. The nature of optimal braking events is demonstrated. The influences of slipper-clutch torque setting and the rear-tyre target load chosen are shown.     

Dynamics of railway wagons subjected to braking torques on defective tracks

It is well known that track defects cause profound effects to the dynamics of railway wagons; normally such problems are examined for cases of wagons running at a constant speed. Brake/traction torques affect the speed profile due to the wheel–rail contact characteristics but most of the wagon–track interaction models do not explicitly consider them in simulation. The authors have recently published a model for the dynamics of wagons subject to braking/traction torques on a perfect track by explicitly considering the pitch degree of freedom for wheelsets. The model is extended for cases of lateral and vertical track geometry defects and worn railhead and wheel profiles. This paper presents the results of the analyses carried out using the model extended to the dynamics of wagons containing less ideal wheel profiles running on tracks with geometry defects and worn rails.     

A novel fuzzy logic correctional algorithm for traction control systems on uneven low-friction road conditions

The traction control system (TCS) might prevent excessive skid of the driving wheels so as to enhance the driving performance and direction stability of the vehicle. But if driven on an uneven low-friction road, the vehicle body often vibrates severely due to the drastic fluctuations of driving wheels, and then the vehicle comfort might be reduced greatly. The vibrations could be hardly removed with traditional drive-slip control logic of the TCS. In this paper, a novel fuzzy logic controller has been brought forward, in which the vibration signals of the driving wheels are adopted as new controlled variables, and then the engine torque and the active brake pressure might be coordinately re-adjusted besides the basic logic of a traditional TCS. In the proposed controller, an adjustable engine torque and pressure compensation loop are adopted to constrain the drastic vehicle vibration. Thus, the wheel driving slips and the vibration degrees might be adjusted synchronously and effectively. The simulation results and the real vehicle tests validated that the proposed algorithm is effective and adaptable for a complicated uneven low-friction road.