专家系统在分散自律调度集中系统中的应用

描述了将专家系统理论应用于分散自律调度集中系统的车站自律机的设计,给出了自律机专家系统的知识库、推理机的构架及原理,并介绍了自律机知识库自学习机制.由于采用了专家系统,从而提高了自律机的自动化和智能化程度.     

高速公路养护管理信息系统特点及主要功能分析

高速公路养护管理机构一般由管理处、养护管理站、验收小组及监理组成,在长距离的跨度上进行分工协作完成公路病害调查与养护施工等系列事务,必须要通过网络把各机构连接起来。高速公路养护管理信息系统主要特点是适时、高效,其主要功能是病害数据采集、养护施工与验收、评价与智能化决策。它涵盖GIS系统、专家系统、办公系统、档案与设备系统,是一个功能强大的专业网络。     

基于案例推理的汽车维修专家系统

依据汽车维修行业领域的专家知识和实践经验，综合运用案例推理、模糊推理和缺省推理等方法，对汽车维修中的多种故障采取原因和症状相结合的维修思路进行推理机制的设置，建立基于案例推理、模糊推理和缺省推理相结合的、能迅速确定汽车维修方案的推理模型，建立了某企业汽车维修系统的原型系统。     

宁夏地区沥青路面养护专家系统的开发

传统的项目层次的沥青路面养护决策方法是依靠养护工程师在现场进行评价决策,这种传统的决策方法虽然准确有效,但也存在效率低、决策有差异性、区域性养护标准不统一等问题。本研究通过对宁夏地区普通公路养护专家知识和经验的提取,建立了一套基于路面管理系统(CPMS)数据库和专家知识的沥青路面养护专家系统,它能够解决基层公路管理部门所面临的养护决策问题,是对CPMS网级系统的补充和对CPMS技术的完善。     

基于专家系统和证据理论的路面破损原因评价方法研究

路面破损原因评价是一项经验性很强的工作,通过采用专家系统技术,利用路面养护专家经验和知识形成产生式规则,并对单处路面破损原因进行评价。根据对单处路面破损原因的评价结果中也包含了导致整个路段路面破损主要原因的信息这一特点,介绍了引入证据理论将这方面信息提取出来,合成得出对整个路段的主要破损原因评价的方法。     

Evaluating the knowledge of experts in the maritime regulatory field

Regulations are introduced by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) into the maritime industry as the result of safety accidents and/or pollution incidents. When there is lack of historical data, then the IMO appoints experts in order to collect information regarding the costs and benefits generated to a stakeholder of the maritime industry once implementing a maritime regulation. Therefore, the role of experts in providing qualitative and quantitative information is crucial with respect to the quality of the maritime regulatory process within the IMO or other regulatory authorities. In this article, a methodology is proposed involving common criteria in determining the expertise of an individual in the maritime regulatory field. As essential part of the research methodology, analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is utilized to determine the expertise of an individual based on his/her own judgements. The regulatory authorities and other stakeholders of the maritime industry may use this method when selecting experts for decision-making. In this article, a simulation is carried showing the potentials of the AHP methodology in expertise evaluation followed by a case study.     

Projected prevalence of car-sharing in four Asian-Pacific countries in 2030: What the experts think

This paper presents a “big-picture view” for policymakers and related stakeholders regarding the future development of car-sharing services. Car-sharing has the potential to significantly disrupt the personal mobility market. Thus, understanding their market penetration and implications is urgently needed. Previous studies in this domain have predominantly focused on the views, opinions, and preferences of consumers. In this study, we complement the current demand modelling research on car-sharing by applying an expert elicitation and aggregation technique that relies on transport experts’ opinions to investigate the role of car-sharing in the future. Specifically, based on the opinions of mobility suppliers, this research elicits experts’ judgment from across government, industry, and academia to gain insights into the future of car-sharing markets in four countries – Australia, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand. The analysis reveals that, from a mobility supplier’s perspective, energy and vehicle prices will not have a statistically significant impact on the future adoption of car-sharing. The results also show that the more knowledgeable an expert is, the more pessimistic they are about the market penetration of car-sharing in 2016, and the more optimistic they are about the prevalence of car-sharing in 2030.     

基于神经网络预报的实时专家控制器设计

该文提出一种在保证控制系统稳定的前提下,能实时跟踪船舶航行环境变化和船舶操纵动态特性变化,以逐步提高自动操纵系统控制性能的实时专家控制器。仿真结果表明了此实时专家控制器的有效性,且算法简单,易在线实现。     

集装箱船初步设计的稳性咨询与诊断专家系统

本文介绍了神经网络知识库在建立专家系统中的应用及作者研制的集装箱船初步设计的稳性咨询与诊断专家系统的原理、结构概况,还给出了对２５００ＴＥＵ集装箱船的诊断实例。     

客车运行安全监控系统

客车运行安全监控系统(TCDS)包括车载安全监控系统、车地无线传输系统和地面联网应用系统3个子系统。车载安全监控系统实现车辆关键设备的监测,采用LonWorks工业现场总线作为实时通信网络,采用2级总线式网络结构。车地无线传输系统将监测报警信息实时传输到地面,选择GPRS作为传输实时信息的无线通信方式,采用无线局域网(WLAN)自动下载过程数据。地面联网应用系统采用远程联网分布数据库,数据传输平台采用JWMQ消息中间件,主要包括电子地图实时监控软件、专家系统软件,针对铁道部查询中心、铁路局监控中心、车辆段监测中心3级中心功能的不同,开发和配置相应的应用软件。TCDS系统经在13个铁路局及其管内车辆段安装和运用,系统运行良好。