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In this research, a Bayesian network (BN) approach is proposed to model the car use behavior of drivers by time of day and to analyze its relationship with driver and car characteristics. The proposed BN model can be categorized as a tree-augmented naive (TAN) Bayesian network. A latent class variable is included in this model to describe the unobserved heterogeneity of drivers. Both the structure and the parameters are learned from the dataset, which is extracted from GPS data collected in Toyota City, Japan. Based on inferences and evidence sensitivity analysis using the estimated TAN model, the effects of each single observed characteristic on car use measures are tested and found to be significant. The features of each category of the latent class are also analyzed. By testing the effect of each car use measure on every other measure, it is found that the correlations between car use measures are significant and should be considered in modeling car use behavior. 相似文献
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在2004年的国家助学贷款新政策背景下,尽管出现了许多利好方面,仍存在一些尚未解决的问题。而完整的国家助学贷款市场应当是由一级市场和二级市场组成的一个有序开放式的市场体系:一级市场是创造国家助学贷款形成借贷关系的市场,二级市场是创造国家助学贷款债权转让的市场。资产证券化是我国目前解决问题、完善市场、金融创新的重要选择,这项选择不仅很有必要,且基本具备了可行条件。当然,我国如果进行国家助学贷款资产证券化,还需要建立良好的征信制度和其它保障制度。 相似文献
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英语影视教学的课堂组织技巧 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
王雅芳 《广东交通职业技术学院学报》2008,7(3):70-73
本文从外语教学理论分析了影视教学的可行性,并阐述了影视教学目的和策略,再以学生为中心的英语教学模式深入探讨影视教学的课堂组织技巧,最后以美国电视剧《Friends》为例阐述了具体的课堂设计和安排。通过探讨英语影视教学过程中的技巧,说明影视教学作为一种现代教学手段,应该积极且有效地引入到大学英语教学中。 相似文献
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Over the past decade, activity scheduling processes have gained increasing attention in the field of transportation research. However, still little is known about the scheduling of social activities even though these activities account for a large and growing portion of trips. This paper contributes to this knowledge. We analyze how the duration of social activities is influenced by social activity characteristics and characteristics of the relationship between the respondent and the contacted person(s). To that end, a latent class accelerated hazard model is estimated, based on social interaction diary data that was collected in the Netherlands in 2008. Chi-square tests and analyses of variance are used to test for significant relations between the latent classes and personal and household characteristics. Findings suggest that the social activity characteristics and the characteristics of the relationship between the socializing persons are highly significant in explaining social activity duration. This shows that social activities should not be considered as a homogenous set of activities and it underlines the importance of including the social context in travel-behavior models. Moreover, the results indicate that there is a substantial amount of latent heterogeneity across the population. Four latent classes are identified, showing different social activity durations, and different effects for both categories of explanatory variables. Latent class membership can be explained by household composition, socio-economic status (education, income and work hours), car ownership and the number of interactions in 2 days. 相似文献
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This paper applies the relatively new method of latent class transition analysis to explore the notion that qualitative differences in travel behavior patterns are substantively meaningful and therefore relevant from explanatory point of view. For example, because the bicycle may function as an important access and egress mode, a car user who also (occasionally) uses the bicycle may be more likely to switch to a public transit profile than someone who only uses the car. Data from the Dutch mobility panel are used to inductively reveal travel behavior patterns and model transitions in these patterns over time. Additionally, the effects of seven exogenous variables, including two important life events (i.e. moving house and changing jobs), on cluster membership and the transition probabilities are assessed. The results show that multiple-mode users compared to single-mode users are more likely to switch from one behavioral profile to another. In addition, age, the residential environment, moving house and changing jobs have strong influences on the transition probabilities between the revealed behavioral patterns over time. 相似文献
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王斌英 《广州航海高等专科学校学报》2014,(4):44-46
通过网络和电话访问,对国内17所本科高校图书馆航海类专业特色数据库的建设情况进行了调查,从数量、类型和内容进行了归类和分析。指出目前各校航海类专业特色数据建设存在的主要问题,从提高建设质量、提高资源利用率、走可持续发展之路3个方面,对高校图书馆航海类专业特色数据的建设提出了明确的对策和建议。 相似文献
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雷云 《武汉船舶职业技术学院学报》2012,11(3):149-151
随着教学改革的不断深入,英语教师越来越重视活动在课堂中的运用。本文首先分析了大学英语课堂活动中存在的问题,再从五个方面提出了策划课堂活动时提高活动有效性的原则及改进方法,这五个方面分别是:明确活动的目标性、加强活动实用性、确保活动的可行性、把握活动的可控性、提高活动的参与性。 相似文献
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提出万吨级列车车站改造工程中信号设计需要解决的几个技术问题,并给出了新型站内电码化电路,这些电路在施工与运营中得到应用与验证,电路符合设计要求而且安全可靠。 相似文献