影响经济型车市场的若干因素分析

首先通过统计数据，说明2005年初以来经济型车市场的繁荣状况。并通过汽车的购买和使用成本、国家有关行业指导性政策、汽车产品定位和消费升级及宏观经济4个角度进行分析，预测了经济型车市场的巨大容量和发展潜力。同时，简要阐述了对经济型车厂商的规划思路和产业格局的理解。     

航运市场中的牛鞭效应研究

揭示了航运市场中存在的牛鞭效应。结合航运产品的特点及H.L.Lee对牛鞭效应的研究,分析了对航运产品需求的预测、船舶建造周期、批量运输及运输的不平衡性、运输价格的波动、定量供应与短缺博弈是产生航运市场牛鞭效应的主要原因,并由此提出了相应的对策框架。     

基于交易费用的物流运作模式研究

从交易费用理论及物流运作模式着手,探讨了市场采购、物流自营,物流外包与物流内包的适应环境及运作对象。即:对于一般的物流活动应该从市场上进行采购,对于集成化的物流服务应该采用外部外包,当第三方物流市场走向垄断时,要积极寻求物流内包。     

Projected prevalence of car-sharing in four Asian-Pacific countries in 2030: What the experts think

This paper presents a “big-picture view” for policymakers and related stakeholders regarding the future development of car-sharing services. Car-sharing has the potential to significantly disrupt the personal mobility market. Thus, understanding their market penetration and implications is urgently needed. Previous studies in this domain have predominantly focused on the views, opinions, and preferences of consumers. In this study, we complement the current demand modelling research on car-sharing by applying an expert elicitation and aggregation technique that relies on transport experts’ opinions to investigate the role of car-sharing in the future. Specifically, based on the opinions of mobility suppliers, this research elicits experts’ judgment from across government, industry, and academia to gain insights into the future of car-sharing markets in four countries – Australia, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand. The analysis reveals that, from a mobility supplier’s perspective, energy and vehicle prices will not have a statistically significant impact on the future adoption of car-sharing. The results also show that the more knowledgeable an expert is, the more pessimistic they are about the market penetration of car-sharing in 2016, and the more optimistic they are about the prevalence of car-sharing in 2030.     

航运市场预测方法研究

引入灰色理论和回归预测模型,提出预测海运市场容量的方法,运用马尔科夫法预测未来公司的市场占有率,并运用敏感性分析搜寻盈利的关键因素。结合实例计算分析,证明该方法的衫性与有效性。     

Instantaneous communication throughputs of vehicular ad hoc networks

Vehicular ad hoc networks (VANETs) formed by connected vehicles in a traffic stream could be applied to improve safety, mobility, and environmental impacts of a transportation system. In this paper, we present analytical models for the instantaneous communication throughputs of VANETs to measure the efficiency of information propagation under various traffic conditions at a time instant. In particular, we define broadcast and unicast communication throughputs by the wireless channel bandwith multiplied by the average probabilities that one vehicle is a successful receiver and sender in a VAENT, respectively. With a protocol communication model, we derive formulas to determine the probabilities for an equipped vehicle to be a successful broadcast receiver and a successful unicast receiver/sender, and obtain broadcast and unicast throughputs along discrete and continuous traffic streams. We further examine the impacts on communication throughputs of the transmission range and the interference range of dedicated short range communication devices as well as the market penetration rate of equipped vehicles and the percentage of senders. Finally, we investigate the influence of shock waves on communication throughputs.     

新机遇下我国新能源汽车换电模式发展前景分析

换电模式是一种新能源汽车快速补电方式,具有补电速度快、自动化水平高、集成度高等优点,可大大降低消费者里程焦虑。还可实现“车电分离”销售,解决消费者购车成本高的难题。由于受到换电标准不统一、换电车型少等因素限制,新能源汽车换电模式发展较为缓慢。随着财政补贴退坡,换电模式重新引起政府部门和行业企业重视。文章重点研究了换电模式技术路线、应用现状和技术优势,分析了新的机遇下换电模式的发展空间和市场前景。     

铁路货运市场化定价机制探讨

为发挥价格政策对资源配置的引导和调节作用,以提高效益为目的,综合运用各种价格调节手段,构建合理的运价体系和结构,理顺不同环节间的价格关系,实现科学合理定价,在分析货运价格体系现状的基础上,提出市场化定价的基本原则和定价依据,从运作机制、定价关系、定价手段等方面对铁路货运市场化定价进行研究,制定实施符合铁路运输行业特征、...     

市场经济下公路工程机械台班定额问题的探讨

《公路工程机械台班费用定额》是公路机务管理工作的关键性基础文件之一。随着公路工程机械被推向市场，现行《定额》编制依据的不合理成份日趋增多，使用弊端也愈加突出。本文通过对《定额》现状的分析，提出了试图适合市场经济发展，有利于维持机械简单再生产的“指数定额”。     

我国摩擦材料设备的技术与市场定位

介绍了加拿大3家公司(CORSTEEL公司、CTP公司、AE公司)摩擦材料的生产工艺、生产设备以及相关附件、模具的生产规模,结合我国摩擦材料行业设备、模具、背板和附件的供应体系现状,对我国摩擦行业发展提出了更高的要求,即如何造出精品、树立品牌及发展相应附件使之规模化、专业化等。从加拿大设备和模具制造、压机的特点、模具厂的生产规模、背板生产的自动化、专用设备和测试设备等方面与我国目前的现状进行了对比分析。最后对我国摩擦材料专用设备的技术与市场定位进行了预测。